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FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus match centre

FC Midtjylland badgeFC MidtjyllandHome · 2 in league
DWLLD
Momentum↘ Falling30/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Aarhus badgeAarhusAway · 1 in league
WDDDW
Momentum→ Steady60/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Hansen83′ (og)
J. Emefile90+3′
H. Dalsgaard20′
MCH Arena · HerningSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate95.3%FC Midtjylland
Draw4.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Aarhus
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: FC Midtjylland 3.4% · no further goal 91.8% · Aarhus 4.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
FC MidtjyllandAarhus
3Corner Kicks5
13Fouls19
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves1
486Total passes248
403Passes accurate168

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Superliga , Championship Round

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Aarhus33+2967—
2FC Midtjylland33+3763—
3FC Nordsjaelland32+550—
4Brondby32+945—
5Viborg32-244—
6Sonderjyske32-544—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC Midtjylland 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Aarhus 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FC Midtjylland

4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect FC Midtjylland’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Aarhus

4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Aarhus’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Midtjylland at home with Aarhus away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Superliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

FC MidtjyllandAarhus
26Matches played26
51Points earned56
14Wins16
2.5Goals scored / match2.0
1.1Goals conceded / match1.0
8Clean sheets7
4Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Midtjylland at home with Aarhus away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC Midtjylland

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Mike Tullberg
  1. 16E. OlafssonG
  2. 3Lee Han-BeomD
  3. 6M. ErlicD
  4. 22M. Bech SorensenD
  5. 11D. OsorioM
  6. 21D. CastilloM
  7. 20V. ByskovM
  8. 55V. BakM
  9. 10Cho Gue-SungF
  10. 41M. GogorzaF
  11. 58A. SimsirF
Substitutes (9)

1 · J. Lossl

14 · E. Chilufya

29 · Paulinho

7 · Franculino

35 · B. Konteh

13 · A. Gabriel

39 · Junior Ze

38 · J. Emefile

34 · A. Ndiaye

Aarhus

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Jakob Poulsen
  1. 1J. HansenG
  2. 2F. BeijmoD
  3. 3H. DalsgaardD
  4. 19E. KahlD
  5. 11G. LinksM
  6. 4M. KnudsenM
  7. 17K. YakobM
  8. 26J. AndersenM
  9. 31T. BechF
  10. 10K. Arnstad
  11. 13J. SerraF
Substitutes (9)

21 · M. Hedenstad

9 · P. Mortensen

40 · J. Jensen-Abbew

39 · F. Emmery

6 · N. Poulsen

5 · F. Tingager

8 · S. Jorgensen

57 · J. Bogere

20 · T. Kristjansson

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC Midtjylland

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Elías Ólafsson908.2—0—42—
Han-Beom Lee906.6—01592
Martin Erlić907.2—0—66—
Mads Bech Sørensen907.3—0—821
Darío Osorio907.3—02362
Valdemar Byskov906.9—01511
Denil Castillo547.2—0—162
Victor Bak Jensen846.9—01433
Gue-sung Cho716.3—01101
Mikel Gogorza547.2—0—15—
Aral Şimşir907.2—0—47—
Paulinho367.5—1—10—
Franculino Djú366.2—0—6—
Edward Chilufya196.7—0—3—
Julius Emefile127.71011—
Jonas Lössl———————
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye———————
Bilal Konteh———————
Adam Gabriel———————
Junior Zé———————

Aarhus

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jesper Hansen905.3—0—16—
Felix Beijmo906.3—0—232
Henrik Dalsgaard897.6102221
Eric Kahl906.5—0131—
Gift Links907.0—01213
Magnus Knudsen896.3—0—153
Kevin Yakob757.3—01292
Jacob Andersen637.0—0—125
Tobias Bech906.9—01271
Kristian Arnstad906.2—02201
Janni Serra636.3—0213—
Frederik Tingager276.3—0—5—
Patrick Mortensen276.6—019—
Nicolai Poulsen156.2—017—
Jonas Jensen-Abbew1——0———
Sebastian Jørgensen1——0—1—
Mads Hedenstad———————
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson———————
Frederik Emmery———————
James Bogere———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerFC MidtjyllandDrawAarhus
Bet3651.953.403.75

Snapshot from 19 Apr 2026, 21:03 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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