Sturm Graz
5/9Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Sturm Graz’s results
BundesligaChampionship Group - 24THE MATCH CENTRESturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Gorenc Stankovic45+5′
Y. Vertessen32′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.0%Sturm Graz
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.6%Red Bull Salzburg
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Sturm Graz 4.0% · no further goal 92.3% · Red Bull Salzburg 3.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Sturm GrazRed Bull Salzburg
0.490Expected goals · API-Football1.310
3Shots on target1
11Total Shots15
48%Ball Possession52%
3Corner Kicks1
11Fouls11
3Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves2
293Total passes319
157Passes accurate187
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga , Championship RoundProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lask Linz | 32 | +14 | 39 | — |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 33 | +16 | 38 | — |
| 3 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 33 | +15 | 30 | — |
| 4 |  Austria Vienna | 32 | -5 | 29 | — |
| 5 |  Rapid Vienna | 32 | -5 | 27 | — |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 32 | 0 | 25 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Sturm Graz 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Red Bull Salzburg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Red Bull Salzburg
3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Red Bull Salzburg’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Sturm Graz
9 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals3 of 9
Both teams scored3 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
Red Bull Salzburg
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Rapid ViennaHome · Bundesliga0–1Rapid ViennaAway · Bundesliga0–1SCR AltachHome · Cup0–1TSV HartbergHome · Bundesliga0–0Lask LinzAway · Bundesliga5–1Grazer AKAway · Bundesliga1–1Austria ViennaHome · Bundesliga0–2Wolfsberger ACAway · Cup1–0Aston VillaAway · UEFA Europa League2–3FC Basel 1893Home · UEFA Europa League3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sturm Graz at home with Red Bull Salzburg away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Sturm GrazRed Bull Salzburg
23Matches played23
41Points earned37
13Wins10
1.7Goals scored / match1.8
1.2Goals conceded / match1.2
9Clean sheets5
2Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sturm Graz at home with Red Bull Salzburg away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Sturm Graz
Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Fabio Ingolitsch
- 40
M. BignettiG - 23
A. MalicD - 5
A. VallciD - 2
J. MitchellD - 17
E. KaricD - 43
J. HodlM - 4
J. Gorenc StankovicM - 80
R. FossoM - 10
O. KiteishviliM - 15
G. MamageishviliF - 20
S. JattaF
Substitutes (9)
53 · D. Khudyakov
77 · M. Malone
8 · F. Rozga
39 · L. Weinhandl
25 · S. Hierlander
47 · E. Aiwu
35 · N. Geyrhofer
9 · R. Wilson
11 · A. Kayombo
Red Bull Salzburg
Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Daniel Beichler
- 1
A. SchlagerG - 21
T. DrexlerD - 91
A. ChaseD - 44
J. SchusterD - 3
A. TerzicD - 18
M. BidstrupM - 5
S. DiabateM - 13
F. KratzigM - 11
Y. VertessenM - 20
E. BaidooF - 19
K. KonateF
Substitutes (9)
92 · S. Hamzic
25 · O. Lukic
27 · K. Alajbegovic
9 · K. Onisiwo
24 · D. Redzic
15 · M. Diambou
8 · S. Kitano
49 · M. K. Yeo
37 · T. Trummer
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Sturm Graz
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matteo Bignetti | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Arjan Malić | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | 2 |
| Albert Vallci | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 2 |
| Jeyland Mitchell | 39 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Emir Karić | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 1 |
| Jacob Hödl | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Jon Gorenc Stanković | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Ryan Fosso | 87 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Otar Kiteishvili | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 2 |
| Gizo Mamageishvili | 70 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | — |
| Seedy Jatta | 87 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Emanuel Aiwu | 51 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Filip Rózga | 20 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Maurice Malone | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Axel Kayombo | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Daniil Khudyakov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niklas Geyrhofer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Hierländer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rory Wilson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Red Bull Salzburg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Schlager | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Tim Drexler | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1 |
| Anrie Chase | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Jannik Schuster | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 2 |
| Aleksa Terzić | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 35 | — |
| Mads Bidstrup | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Soumaïla Diabaté | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 5 |
| Frans Krätzig | 83 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 4 |
| Yorbe Vertessen | 75 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 |
| Edmund Baidoo | 75 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Karim Konaté | 85 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | — |
| Sota Kitano | 15 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Damir Redzic | 15 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Karim Onisiwo | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Salko Hamzić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Trummer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Lukić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamady Diambou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kerim Alajbegović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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