Ried
2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Ried’s results
BundesligaRelegation Group - 28THE MATCH CENTRERied vs Grazer AK match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Bajic28′
K. Mutandwa35′
M. Grosse67′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.5%Ried
Draw3.4%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Grazer AK
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Ried 4.5% · no further goal 91.9% · Grazer AK 3.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.RiedGrazer AK
2.220Expected goals · API-Football0.530
6Shots on target2
16Total Shots5
52%Ball Possession48%
5Corner Kicks4
6Fouls12
1Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
368Total passes338
291Passes accurate257
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sturm Graz | 22 | +7 | 38 | — |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 22 | +16 | 37 | — |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 22 | +2 | 37 | — |
| 4 |  Austria Vienna | 22 | +4 | 36 | — |
| 5 |  TSV Hartberg | 22 | +5 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 6 |  Rapid Vienna | 22 | +1 | 33 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  WSG Wattens | 22 | +1 | 31 | — |
| 8 | Ried | 23 | -3 | 31 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  SCR Altach | 22 | -1 | 29 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Wolfsberger AC | 22 | -1 | 26 | — |
| 11 |  Grazer AK | 23 | -15 | 20 | — |
| 12 |  FC BW Linz | 22 | -16 | 15 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Ried 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Grazer AK 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Grazer AK
4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Grazer AK’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Ried
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Grazer AKAway · Bundesliga1–1Wolfsberger ACAway · Bundesliga0–0SCR AltachHome · Bundesliga3–2FC BW LinzAway · Bundesliga2–3WSG WattensHome · Bundesliga2–1Austria ViennaHome · Bundesliga0–2Grazer AKAway · Bundesliga1–2WSG WattensAway · Bundesliga1–1Lask LinzHome · Bundesliga1–1Sturm GrazAway · Bundesliga0–1
Grazer AK
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
RiedHome · Bundesliga1–1SCR AltachAway · Bundesliga0–1FC BW LinzHome · Bundesliga2–1WSG WattensAway · Bundesliga5–1Wolfsberger ACHome · Bundesliga2–0WSG WattensAway · Bundesliga0–2RiedHome · Bundesliga2–1TSV HartbergAway · Bundesliga0–1Red Bull SalzburgHome · Bundesliga1–1Wolfsberger ACAway · Bundesliga2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ried at home with Grazer AK away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
RiedGrazer AK
27Matches played27
36Points earned30
10Wins7
1.2Goals scored / match1.2
1.4Goals conceded / match1.5
6Clean sheets3
8Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ried at home with Grazer AK away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Ried
Confirmed formation3-3-3-1Maximilian Senft
- 1
A. LeitnerG - 5
N. HavenaarD - 23
M. SollbauerD - 30
O. SteurerD - 17
P. PomerM - 6
Y. MaartM - 28
N. BajliczM - 12
A. BajicF - 19
J. NasraweM - 29
A. van WykF - 7
K. MutandwaF
Substitutes (9)
36 · M. Kostenbauer
3 · J. Scherzer
25 · D. Kirnbauer
26 · J. Mayer
13 · P. Kiedl
24 · C. Wernitznig
8 · M. Rasner
47 · E. E. Aisowieren
15 · J. Boguo
Grazer AK
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Ferdinand Feldhofer
- 12
F. StolzG - 82
B. OwusuD - 2
D. PinesD - 3
L. Vraa-JensenD - 6
M. OlesenM - 32
L. KlassenM - 8
T. KochM - 10
C. LichtenbergerM - 23
M. Bagrationi - 25
A. HofleitnerF - 22
R. HarakateF
Substitutes (9)
26 · C. Nicht
1 · J. Meierhofer
7 · M. Satin
16 · F. Baumgartner
4 · M. Kreuzriegler
28 · D. Frieser
11 · M. Grosse
15 · L. Graf
24 · T. Paumgartner
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Ried
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Leitner | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 40 | — |
| Nikki Havenaar | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Michael Sollbauer | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Oliver Steurer | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Philipp Pomer | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | — |
| Yusuf Maart | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Nicolas Bajlicz | 72 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | 5 |
| Ante Bajić | 90 | 9.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| Yussef Nasrawe | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 36 | — |
| Antonio Van Wyk | 78 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Kingstone Mutandwa | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | — |
| Jonas Mayer | 18 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Martin Rasner | 18 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Evan Eghosa | 12 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Marcel Kostenbauer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Scherzer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Kirnbauer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Wernitznig | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peter Kiedl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joris Boguo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Grazer AK
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Stolz | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Beres Owusu | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 3 |
| Donovan Pines | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Ludwig Vraa-Jensen | 45 | 5.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Mathias Olesen | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Leon Klassen | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 5 |
| Tobias Koch | 75 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Christian Lichtenberger | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Mukhran Bagrationi | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Alexander Hofleitner | 62 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 2 |
| Ramiz Harakate | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| Martin Kreuzriegler | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Dominik Frieser | 45 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 2 |
| Murat Satin | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Mark Große | 28 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Tim Paumgartner | 15 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Jakob Meierhofer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christoph Nicht | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Graf | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felix Baumgartner | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Ried | Draw | Grazer AK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
Snapshot from 20 Apr 2026, 21:12 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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