Corinthians
4/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Corinthians’s results
CONMEBOL LibertadoresGroup Stage - 3THE MATCH CENTRECorinthians vs Penarol match centre
90′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Gustavo Henrique11′
J. Lingard25′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.9%Corinthians
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Penarol
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Corinthians 4.3% · no further goal 91.9% · Penarol 3.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.CorinthiansPenarol
2.050Expected goals · API-Football0.310
4Shots on target2
15Total Shots9
78%Ball Possession22%
5Corner Kicks4
6Fouls12
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
593Total passes161
530Passes accurate93
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Group EProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians | 7 | +6 | 14 | — |
| 2 |  Platense | 6 | +1 | 10 | — |
| 3 |  Santa Fe | 6 | -1 | 8 | — |
| 4 |  Penarol | 7 | -6 | 3 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Corinthians 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Penarol 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Penarol
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Penarol’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Corinthians
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals1 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Penarol
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
WanderersAway · Primera División - Apertura0–1JuventudHome · Primera División - Apertura2–2PlatenseHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–2Liverpool MontevideoHome · Primera División - Apertura0–2Santa FeAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–1ProgresoAway · Primera División - Apertura2–0Racing MontevideoHome · Primera División - Apertura1–2Boston RiverAway · Primera División - Apertura2–0CerroHome · Primera División - Apertura3–1Albion FCAway · Primera División - Apertura1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Corinthians at home with Penarol away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:05 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2026/27 · all league matches
CorinthiansPenarol
2Matches played2
6Points earned1
2Wins0
2.0Goals scored / match1.0
0.0Goals conceded / match1.5
2Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Corinthians at home with Penarol away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Corinthians
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Fernando Diniz
- 1
Hugo SouzaG - 2
MatheuzinhoD - 3
Gabriel PaulistaD - 13
Gustavo HenriqueD - 21
Matheus BiduD - 49
AndreM - 14
RanieleM - 7
Breno BidonM - 8
R. GarroM - 77
J. LingardM - 9
Yuri AlbertoF
Substitutes (12)
51 · Kaue
52 · Z. Labyad
5 · Andre Ramalho
26 · F. Angileri
23 · M. Pereira
20 · P. Milans
37 · Kaio Cesar
19 · A. Carrillo
11 · Vitinho
29 · Allan
18 · Pedro Raul
61 · Dieguinho
Penarol
Confirmed formation4-3-3Diego Aguirre
- 29
W. AguerreG - 25
M. GonzalezD - 22
F. AlvezD - 3
M. LemosD - 93
D. LaxaltD - 5
E. RemediM - 21
Jesus TrindadeM - 32
L. UmpierrezM - 8
N. FernandezF - 19
M. ArezoF - 23
G. TogniF
Substitutes (11)
1 · S. Britos
11 · A. Hernandez
27 · Lucas Hernandez
9 · F. Batista
77 · L. Angulo
80 · F. Gonzalez
30 · S. Muhlethaler
18 · G. Barbas
36 · B. Barboza
40 · B. Alvarez
14 · K. Rodriguez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Corinthians
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Souza | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Matheuzinho | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 61 | 3 |
| Gabriel Paulista | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 106 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 91 | 1 |
| Matheus Bidu | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 68 | — |
| André Luiz | 60 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 |
| Raniele | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 4 |
| Breno Bidon | 80 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | 2 |
| Rodrigo Garro | 80 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 4 | 51 | 2 |
| Jesse Lingard | 88 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 1 |
| Yuri Alberto | 88 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | 17 | — |
| Kaio César | 30 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| André Carrillo | 10 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Vitinho | 2 | — | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Pedro Raul | 2 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Kauê | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabrizio Angileri | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Ramalho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Milans | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penarol
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Aguerre | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Matías González | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 5 |
| Facundo Alvez | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Mauricio Lemos | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Diego Laxalt | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 2 |
| Eric Remedi | 73 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Jesús Trindade | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 2 |
| Leandro Umpierrez | 73 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 3 |
| Matías Arezo | 80 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Gastón Togni | 57 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Luis Miguel Angulo | 24 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Rodríguez | 17 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Stiven Muhlethaler | 17 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Abel Hernández | 10 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Franco González | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Sebastián Britos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Barboza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Hernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Álvarez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| German Barbas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Batista | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Corinthians | Draw | Penarol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.30 | 7.50 |
Snapshot from 30 Apr 2026, 22:47 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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