Libertad Asuncion
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Libertad Asuncion’s results
CONMEBOL LibertadoresGroup Stage - 3THE MATCH CENTRELibertad Asuncion vs Independiente del Valle match centre
90′ · Live
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Melgarejo37′
L. Melgarejo85′ (pen)
C. Gonzalez33′
C. Gonzalez51′
C. Gonzalez65′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Libertad Asuncion
Draw3.5%at full time
Current result estimate96.4%Independiente del Valle
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Libertad Asuncion 3.7% · no further goal 91.9% · Independiente del Valle 4.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Libertad AsuncionIndependiente del Valle
0.290Expected goals · API-Football0.370
3Shots on target6
7Total Shots14
42%Ball Possession58%
0Corner Kicks6
7Fouls14
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
325Total passes437
261Passes accurate364
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Group HProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 7 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 2 |  Rosario Central | 6 | +8 | 13 | — |
| 3 |  UCV | 6 | -4 | 9 | — |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | -10 | 0 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Libertad Asuncion 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Independiente del Valle 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Independiente del Valle
7/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Independiente del Valle’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Libertad Asuncion
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
OlimpiaHome · Division Profesional - Apertura3–2Rosario CentralHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores0–1Sportivo TrinidenseHome · Division Profesional - Apertura1–1UCVAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–3Club GuaraniAway · Division Profesional - Apertura0–1Deportivo RecoletaHome · Division Profesional - Apertura1–0Sportivo AmelianoAway · Division Profesional - Apertura0–2Cerro PortenoHome · Division Profesional - Apertura2–3Nacional AsuncionHome · Division Profesional - Apertura2–12 de MayoAway · Division Profesional - Apertura2–0
Independiente del Valle
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Leones del NorteHome · Liga Pro2–1Delfin SCAway · Liga Pro1–0LDU de QuitoHome · Liga Pro0–2UCVHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores3–1Deportivo CuencaAway · Liga Pro3–2Rosario CentralAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores0–0Orense SCHome · Liga Pro2–0Tecnico UniversitarioAway · Liga Pro2–1AucasHome · Liga Pro2–2Mushuc Runa SCHome · Liga Pro3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Libertad Asuncion at home with Independiente del Valle away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:54 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2026/27 · all league matches
Libertad AsuncionIndependiente del Valle
2Matches played2
0Points earned4
0Wins1
0.5Goals scored / match1.5
2.0Goals conceded / match0.5
0Clean sheets1
1Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Libertad Asuncion at home with Independiente del Valle away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Libertad Asuncion
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Francisco Arce
- 12
R. M. Morinigo AcostaG - 3
R. RojasD - 5
D. VieraD - 4
N. GimenezD - 17
M. D. Espinoza AcostaD - 21
L. SanabriaM - 6
A. CampuzanoM - 18
I. FrancoM - 8
F. CarrizoM - 14
A. FretesM - 10
L. MelgarejoF
Substitutes (12)
25 · A. Gonzalez
19 · J. Recalde
2 · I. Ramirez
22 · H. Martinez
27 · A. Molinas
7 · M. Rojas
26 · H. Caballero
11 · G. Aguilar
28 · M. Fernandez
24 · R. Villalba
31 · T. Fernandez
34 · E. Villalba
Independiente del Valle
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Joaquin Papa
- 1
A. QuintanaG - 13
D. A. Romero PadillaD - 14
M. CarabajalD - 33
A. VelascoD - 19
L. LoorD - 6
J. AlcivarM - 11
M. PerelloM - 53
J. LermaM - 16
R. BrionesM - 17
A. RodriguezM - 9
C. GonzalezF
Substitutes (12)
12 · E. Bores
15 · G. Cortez
99 · D. Reasco
4 · J. Espinoza
8 · Y. Ochoa
20 · A. Gomez
32 · J. Mendez
2 · L. Zarate
31 · E. Pata
18 · S. Gongora
55 · D. Guagua
50 · J. Angulo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Libertad Asuncion
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Morínigo | 49 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 11 | — |
| Robert Rojas | 49 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 6 | 1 |
| Diego Viera | 49 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 18 | — |
| Néstor Giménez | 49 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 16 | 1 |
| Matías Espinoza | 49 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 11 | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | 49 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 14 | 4 |
| Álvaro Campuzano | 49 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 16 | — |
| Iván Franco | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Federico Carrizo | 49 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 14 | — |
| Alexis Fretes | 49 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 2 |
| Lorenzo Melgarejo | 49 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | — |
| Marcelo Fernandez | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángel González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Fernandez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Estiven Villalba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Ramírez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Recalde | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Villalba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amin Molinas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hernesto Caballero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Martínez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Rojas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Aguilar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Independiente del Valle
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldair Quintana | 49 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 16 | — |
| Daykol Romero | 49 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 40 | — |
| Mateo Carabajal | 49 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 54 | — |
| Andy Velasco | 49 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 53 | — |
| Layan Loor | 49 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | — |
| Jordy Alcivar | 49 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 28 | 1 |
| Matías Perello | 49 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 17 | 1 |
| Justin Lerma | 49 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 25 | 1 |
| Ronald Briones | 49 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 9 | 1 |
| Arón Rodríguez | 49 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 2 |
| Carlos Gonzalez | 49 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | — |
| Eduardo Bores | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aníbal Gómez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Cortez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Felipe Zárate | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jhon Espinoza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jhegson Méndez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Darwin Guagua | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emerson Pata | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youri Ochoa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djorkaeff Reasco | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Angulo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Steven Gongora | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Libertad Asuncion | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
Snapshot from 28 Apr 2026, 18:57 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →