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ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns match centre

ES Tunis badgeES TunisHome
WWWWD
Momentum↘ Falling83/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Mamelodi Sundowns badgeMamelodi SundownsAway · 2 in league
WWLWW
Momentum↗ Rising80/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
B. Leon52′
Stade Olympique Hammadi AgrebiSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.2%ES Tunis
Draw5.6%at full time
Current result estimate94.2%Mamelodi Sundowns
Another goal7.8%before full time

Next goal: ES Tunis 5.8% · no further goal 92.2% · Mamelodi Sundowns 2.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
ES TunisMamelodi Sundowns
8Corner Kicks3
14Fouls18
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
347Total passes343
287Passes accurate273

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Semi-finalsES Tunis 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns
Current progressionMamelodi Sundowns
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

ES Tunis 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Mamelodi Sundowns 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

ES Tunis

7/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect ES Tunis’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

ES Tunis

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Mamelodi Sundowns

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results8 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare ES Tunis at home with Mamelodi Sundowns away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

CAF Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches

ES TunisMamelodi Sundowns
12Matches played10
27Points earned18
8Wins5
1.8Goals scored / match1.9
0.6Goals conceded / match0.9
7Clean sheets4
2Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares ES Tunis at home with Mamelodi Sundowns away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

ES Tunis

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Patrice Beaumelle
  1. 32B. Ben SaidG
  2. 23I. KeitaD
  3. 6H. JelassiD
  4. 15M. TougaiD
  5. 20M. Ben HamidaD
  6. 14O. OgbeluM
  7. 10Yan SasseM
  8. 8H. TkaM
  9. 21A. KonateM
  10. 7K. BoualiaM
  11. 22F. DanhoF
Substitutes (9)

1 · A. Memmiche

37 · M. Drager

2 · M. Ben Ali

34 · J. Diarra

29 · A. Diakite

24 · H. Rafia

39 · M. Haj Ali

27 · K. Guenichi

19 · A. Jabri

Mamelodi Sundowns

Confirmed formation4-1-3-2Miguel Cardoso
  1. 30R. WilliamsG
  2. 25K. MudauD
  3. 20G. KekanaD
  4. 24K. CupidoD
  5. 29D. LungaD
  6. 8J. AdamsM
  7. 27T. MorenaM
  8. 11M. AllendeM
  9. 4T. MokoenaM
  10. 9Arthur SalesF
  11. 12B. LeonF
Substitutes (9)

1 · D. Onyango

28 · Z. Mdunyelwa

3 · K. Ndamane

18 · T. Zwane

13 · I. Rayners

23 · F. Basadien

15 · B. J. Aubaas

17 · T. Matthews

34 · T. Ntsabeleng

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

ES Tunis

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Bechir Ben Said906.3—0—18—
Ibrahima Keita906.9—0—491
Hamza Jelassi906.7—02521
Mohamed Tougai907.0—02451
Amine Ben Hmida907.0—0—461
Onuche Ogbelu907.0—0232—
Yan Sasse636.9—01161
Houssem Teka816.5—0—251
Abdramane Konate897.5—0—244
Kouceila Boualia636.2—0—17—
Florian Danho906.6—04101
Aboubacar Diakite276.5—0———
Jack Diarra276.2—019—
Moez Haj Ali96.7—0—7—
Achref Jabri106.7—0—11
Hamza Rafia———————
Mohamed Ben Ali———————
Amanallah Memmiche———————
Mohamed Dräger———————
Khalil Guenichi———————

Mamelodi Sundowns

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ronwen Williams907.7—0—52—
Khuliso Mudau907.9—0—293
Grant Kekana846.2—0—40—
Keanu Cupido907.0—0137—
Divine Lunga906.9—0—24—
Jayden Adams907.0—0—401
Thapelo Morena886.9—1—21—
Marcelo Allende766.9—0—281
Teboho Mokoena906.9—01432
Arthur Sales736.9—0—183
Brayan Léon Muñiz887.310310—
Tashreeq Matthews176.2—012—
Bathusi Aubaas146.7—0—2—
Khulumani Ndamane136.2—0———
Zuko Mdunyelwa136.7—0—21
Iqraam Rayners———————
Denis Onyango———————
Tsiki Ntsabeleng———————
Themba Zwane———————
Fawaaz Basadien———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

CAF Champions League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · CAF Champions League , Group C. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Al Hilal Omdurman632197211
LDWLW
2Mamelodi Sundowns62319639
DWWWL
3MC Alger621356-17
LWWLD
4Saint Eloi Lupopo612348-45
LDLWD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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