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Larisa vs Atromitos match centre

Larisa badgeLarisaHome · 12 in league
LLDDD
Momentum↗ Rising23/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Atromitos badgeAtromitosAway · 9 in league
WDDLD
Momentum↘ Falling35/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Y. Macon13′
L. Tupta34′
M. Baku90′
AEL FC Arena · LarissaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate95.6%Larisa
Draw4.3%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Atromitos
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Larisa 3.7% · no further goal 91.9% · Atromitos 4.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
LarisaAtromitos
3Corner Kicks6
11Fouls17
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves3
422Total passes390
351Passes accurate320

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Super League

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1AEK Athens FC26+3260—
2Olympiakos Piraeus26+3458—
3PAOK26+3557—
4Panathinaikos26+1849—
5Levadiakos26+1442—
6OFI26-1132—
7Volos NFC26-1231—
8Aris Thessalonikis26-730—
9Atromitos27-529—
10Kifisia26-1027—
11Panetolikos26-1426—
12Larisa27-1626—
13Asteras Tripolis26-1917↑ 1
14Panserraikos26-3917↓ 1
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Larisa 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Atromitos 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Larisa

0/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Larisa’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Atromitos

4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Atromitos’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Larisa at home with Atromitos away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:49 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Super League 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

LarisaAtromitos
32Matches played32
25Points earned40
4Wins10
0.9Goals scored / match1.2
1.6Goals conceded / match1.2
6Clean sheets10
10Failed to score11

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Larisa at home with Atromitos away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Larisa

Confirmed formation4-4-1-1Gianluca Festa
  1. 21T. VenetikidisG
  2. 22A. PapageorgiouD
  3. 33L. RosicD
  4. 28D. BatubinsikaD
  5. 27Y. MaconD
  6. 8F. PerezM
  7. 15G. NaorM
  8. 31J. AtanasovM
  9. 29L. TuptaM
  10. 25A. SagalF
  11. 19G. PasasF
Substitutes (12)

1 · N. Melissas

23 · L. Garate

18 · Z. Chatzistravos

14 · E. Ferigra

4 · T. Iliadis

17 · D. Diminikos

5 · G. Kakuta

6 · E. Pantelakis

20 · D. Olafsson

26 · P. Staikos

10 · L. Andrada

3 · K. Grozos

Atromitos

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dusan Kerkez
  1. 25L. GugeshashviliG
  2. 7E. UkakiD
  3. 44D. TsakmakisD
  4. 24G. MitoglouD
  5. 21J. UronenD
  6. 6A. KaramanisM
  7. 92S. MoutoussamyM
  8. 23S. TsiloulisM
  9. 77S. ZuberM
  10. 99G. Tzovaras
  11. 19P. Tsantilas
Substitutes (12)

1 · L. Choutetsiotis

30 · V. Athanasiou

70 · Mansur

20 · S. Ampartzidis

10 · S. Pnevmonidis

33 · K. Batos

9 · T. van Weert

5 · T. Tsingaras

32 · M. Baku

4 · D. Stavropoulos

17 · Quini

16 · G. Papadopoulos

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Larisa

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Theodoros Venetikidis906.9—0—29—
Athanasios Papageorgiou907.0—0—342
Lazar Rosić896.6—0—461
Dylan Batubinsika907.0—0—38—
Yvann Maçon907.9103493
Facundo Pérez906.7—0—421
Goni Naor906.9—0—53—
Jani Atanasov907.2—0160—
Lubomir Tupta907.210328—
Ángelo Sagal847.3—1129—
Giannis Pasas896.2—01131
Zisis Chatzistravos176.3—0—62
Leandro Garate126.5—0—2—
Theocharis Iliadis86.7—0—1—
Nikolaos Melissas———————
Epameinondas Pantelakis———————
Konstantinos Grozos———————
Erick Ferigra———————
Paschalis Staikos———————
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson———————
Luca Andrada———————
Gaël Kakuta———————
Dimitrios Diminikos———————

Atromitos

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luka Gugeshashvili906.9—0—30—
Ehije Ukaki876.5—0—251
Dimitrios Tsakmakis906.3—01421
Gerasimos Mitoglou905.9—0135—
Jere Uronen906.5—0—414
Athanasios Karamanis906.7—11582
Samuel Moutoussamy877.3—0—583
Sotiris Tsiloulis686.7—0—164
Steven Zuber906.3—03421
Georgios Tzovaras786.9—03156
Panagiotis Tsantilas686.5—0—8—
Stavros Pnevmonidis226.6—01101
Makana Baku227.61035—
Tom van Weert126.5—0—2—
Quini146.6—0—10—
Spyros Abartzidis146.7—0—4—
Lefteris Choutesiotis———————
Vasilios Athanasiou———————
Dimitrios Stavropoulos———————
Mansur———————
Georgios Papadopoulos———————
Theocharis Tsingaras———————
Konstantinos Batos———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerLarisaDrawAtromitos
Bet3652.253.203.00

Snapshot from 15 May 2026, 20:49 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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