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Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC match centre

Atromitos badgeAtromitosHome · 9 in league
WDWWD
Momentum↑ Strong71/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
AEK Athens FC badgeAEK Athens FCAway · 1 in league
DWDWW
Momentum↗ Rising77/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
G. Mitoglou33′
S. Moutoussamy71′
L. Jovic63′
L. Jovic69′
Peristeri Stadium · AthensSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.7%Atromitos
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.8%AEK Athens FC
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Atromitos 3.8% · no further goal 92.3% · AEK Athens FC 3.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
AtromitosAEK Athens FC
1Corner Kicks7
19Fouls16
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
256Total passes440
192Passes accurate374

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Super League

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1AEK Athens FC27+3261—
2Olympiakos Piraeus26+3458—
3PAOK26+3557—
4Panathinaikos26+1849—
5Levadiakos26+1442—
6OFI26-1132—
7Volos NFC26-1231—
8Atromitos27-430↑ 1
9Aris Thessalonikis26-730↓ 1
10Kifisia26-1027—
11Panetolikos26-1426—
12Larisa26-1723—
13Asteras Tripolis26-1917↑ 1
14Panserraikos26-3917↓ 1
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Atromitos 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

AEK Athens FC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Atromitos

5/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Atromitos’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

AEK Athens FC

7/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect AEK Athens FC’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atromitos at home with AEK Athens FC away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:50 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Super League 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

AtromitosAEK Athens FC
24Matches played24
28Points earned56
7Wins17
1.0Goals scored / match1.8
1.2Goals conceded / match0.6
8Clean sheets14
9Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atromitos at home with AEK Athens FC away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Atromitos

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dusan Kerkez
  1. 25L. GugeshashviliG
  2. 17QuiniD
  3. 4D. StavropoulosD
  4. 24G. MitoglouD
  5. 21J. UronenD
  6. 6A. KaramanisM
  7. 92S. MoutoussamyM
  8. 7E. UkakiM
  9. 11D. JubitanaM
  10. 32M. BakuM
  11. 77S. ZuberF
Substitutes (10)

1 · L. Choutetsiotis

30 · V. Athanasiou

20 · S. Ampartzidis

19 · P. Tsantilas

10 · S. Pnevmonidis

9 · T. van Weert

23 · S. Tsiloulis

99 · G. Tzovaras

44 · D. Tsakmakis

16 · G. Papadopoulos

AEK Athens FC

Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Marko Nikolic
  1. 1T. StrakoshaG
  2. 12L. RotaD
  3. 2H. MoukoudiD
  4. 44F. RelvasD
  5. 29J. PenriceD
  6. 20P. MantalosM
  7. 18R. MarinM
  8. 23R. LjubicicM
  9. 11A. KoitaM
  10. 9L. JovicF
  11. 25B. VargaF
Substitutes (12)

91 · A. Brignoli

37 · R. Pereyra

19 · N. Eliasson

8 · M. Gacinovic

7 · D. Kutesa

3 · S. Pilios

10 · Joao Mario

21 · D. Vida

4 · M. Grujic

13 · O. Pineda

90 · Zini

15 · M. Georgiev

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Atromitos

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luka Gugeshashvili907.3—0—32—
Quini906.6—0—166
Dimitrios Stavropoulos906.9—0—262
Gerasimos Mitoglou907.5102222
Jere Uronen907.5—2—213
Athanasios Karamanis906.5—01382
Samuel Moutoussamy898.0101443
Ehije Ukaki896.5—01162
Denzel Jubitana626.9—01132
Makana Baku796.2—01121
Steven Zuber907.2—04214
Panagiotis Tsantilas286.3—0—5—
Stavros Pnevmonidis116.7—0—3—
Dimitrios Tsakmakis1——0—3—
Georgios Tzovaras1——0—1—
Lefteris Choutesiotis———————
Vasilios Athanasiou———————
Georgios Papadopoulos———————
Spyros Abartzidis———————
Sotiris Tsiloulis———————
Tom van Weert———————

AEK Athens FC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Thomas Strakosha906.9—0—20—
Lazaros Rota906.3—0—401
Harold Moukoudi906.2—02611
Filipe Relvas906.6—01841
James Penrice776.3—0—382
Petros Mantalos536.9—0131—
Răzvan Marin786.9—0—584
Robert Ljubičić526.0—0—10—
Aboubakary Koita886.6—11192
Luka Jović908.720424—
Barnabás Varga906.5—0112—
Orbelín Pineda386.3—0127—
João Mário376.7—0—27—
Stavros Pilios136.9—0—81
Niclas Eliasson126.3—0—2—
Dereck Kutesa96.3—0—4—
Alberto Brignoli———————
Domagoj Vida———————
Martin Georgiev———————
Marko Grujić———————
Mijat Gaćinović———————
Roberto Pereyra———————
Zini———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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