Madagascar
3/6Wins
1.8Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Madagascar’s results
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 2THE MATCH CENTREMadagascar vs Tanzania match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Nicolas Paul Julien Fontaine50′
Cyprian Kachwele39′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 29 Sep 13:12 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MadagascarTanzania
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target2
7Total Shots11
59%Ball Possession41%
3Corner Kicks0
18Fouls15
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
546Total passes388
474Passes accurate312
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Madagascar 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Tanzania 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Tanzania
1/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Tanzania’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Madagascar
6 matchesResults3 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game2.2
Games with 3+ goals5 of 6
Both teams scored4 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
Tanzania
10 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Guinea-BissauHome · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification0–2MacauAway · FIFA Series6–0LiechtensteinHome · FIFA Series0–1MoroccoAway · Africa Cup of Nations0–1TunisiaHome · Africa Cup of Nations1–1UgandaAway · Africa Cup of Nations1–1NigeriaAway · Africa Cup of Nations1–2KuwaitAway · Friendlies3–4IranAway · Friendlies0–2ZambiaHome · World Cup - Qualification Africa0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Madagascar at home with Tanzania away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 2027/28 · all league matches
MadagascarTanzania
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Madagascar at home with Tanzania away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Madagascar
1wins4MEETINGS
Tanzania
2winsSep 2021 – Aug 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Madagascar first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Madagascar
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1C. Martins
- 1
G. DupireG - 2Radoniaina RabemanantsoaD
- 15
E. KariD - 5
S. TrémouletD - 3
M. Jean-PierreD - 7
R. RavelosonM - 6
M. IlaimaharitraM - 17
L. LapoussinM - 10
El HadariM - 13
N. FontaineM - 9
W. CaddyF
Substitutes (12)
14 · C. Couturier
22 · M. Acapandié
18 · R. Ferber
21 · Thomas Fontaine
23 · Sonny Laiton
11 · R. Ponti
12 · Bono Stephanot Randriamirehitra
16 · R. Rakotohasimbola
4 · Rijaniaina Nicolas Randriamanampisoa
20 · Nantenaina Elysee Tony Randriamanampisoa
8 · Behaja Tsirava
19 · H. Abdallah
Tanzania
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1M. Gamondi
- 1Yonna GeoffreyG
- 22
N. ChilamboD - 4
I. HamadD - 26
Miano van den BosD - 15
M. HusseinD - 7
H. MaoM - 6
F. SalumM - 9Abdul Hamisi SuleimanM
- 17
A. MsangaM - 11Denis KibuM
- 21
Cyprian KachweleF
Substitutes (11)
13 · M. Mnata
19 · S. Mwalimu
16 · M. Abraham
10 · T. Allarakhia
28 · Z. Foba
2 · P. Msindo
20 · L. Lawi
8 · C. M'Mombwa
25 · H. Mnoga
12 · Simon Happygod Msuva
23 · Mudathir Yahya Abbas
2027/28 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table
Current standings · Group L. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guinea-Bissau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 3 | Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 4 | Madagascar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Madagascar | Draw | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.27 | 3.02 | 3.18 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 2.88 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43 | 2.70 | 3.53 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 2.70 | 2.66 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 2.75 | 3.25 |
Snapshot from 29 Sep 2026, 13:12 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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