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HNLMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTRE

HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin match centre

HNK Gorica badgeHNK GoricaHome · 9 in league
LDLDD
Momentum↗ Rising22/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
NK Varazdin badgeNK VarazdinAway · 4 in league
LWDWD
Momentum↗ Rising55/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Bruno Bogojevi?53′
ivan cvijanovic90+5′
luka mamic57′
Valentin Akrap85′
Gradski stadion Velika Gorica · Velika GoricaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
HNK GoricaNK Varazdin
1Corner Kicks3
12Fouls12
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves1
402Total passes550
301Passes accurate473

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

HNK Gorica 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

NK Varazdin 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

HNK Gorica

1/10Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect HNK Gorica’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

NK Varazdin

7/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect NK Varazdin’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare HNK Gorica at home with NK Varazdin away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:01 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

HNL · 2026/27 · all league matches

HNK GoricaNK Varazdin
6Matches played6
1Points earned13
0Wins4
0.3Goals scored / match1.8
1.7Goals conceded / match0.9
1Clean sheets3
4Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares HNK Gorica at home with NK Varazdin away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

HNK Gorica

1wins
2 draws

NK Varazdin

2wins

Oct 2025 – Sep 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with HNK Gorica first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

HNK Gorica

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1M. Carević
  1. 1R. JosipovićG
  2. 45S. PerićD
  3. 32J. FilipovićD
  4. 15D. StevanovićD
  5. 5Gonçalo CostaD
  6. 6T. LacouxM
  7. 66Juraj FriganM
  8. 4K. ČustovićM
  9. 24D. PavičićM
  10. 25B. BogojevićM
  11. 9P. MijićF
Substitutes (12)

50 · A. Erceg

2 · F. Braut

10 · F. Brodić

26 · Keenan Nino Carole

34 · I. Cvijanović

20 · L. Vrzić

30 · D. Žarkov

67 · Tomislav Prgomet

8 · J. Pranjić

71 · D. Matijaš

18 · B. Kardum

7 · O. Bakić

NK Varazdin

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1N. Šafarić
  1. 33J. SilićG
  2. 23F. MaglicaD
  3. 13M. MladenovskiD
  4. 16N. TepšićD
  5. 20G. SikošekD
  6. 28I. CanjugaM
  7. 24M. MarinaM
  8. 10A. LatkovićM
  9. 22L. MamićM
  10. 38Iuri TavaresM
  11. 9S. JurićF
Substitutes (11)

11 · E. Uchegbu

4 · L. Škaričić

30 · L. Posinkovic

21 · I. Posavec

1 · R. McCrorie

5 · Sven Lesjak

8 · T. Duvnjak

3 · E. Duraković

12 · P. Bočkaj

44 · M. Barać

17 · V. Akrap

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

NK Varazdin

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
E. Uchegbu276.6002110
V. Akrap277.710260
M. Barać00.000000
P. Bočkaj00.000000
E. Duraković00.000000
T. Duvnjak276.4000242
Sven Lesjak00.000000
R. McCrorie00.000000
I. Posavec55.900020
L. Posinkovic00.000000
L. Škaričić26.200020
J. Silić906.1000350
F. Maglica907.7000482
M. Mladenovski907.3000743
N. Tepšić906.8000632
G. Sikošek906.4002731
I. Canjuga636.5001441
M. Marina906.5001503
A. Latković856.9002301
L. Mamić888.2105341
Iuri Tavares636.3004380
S. Jurić636.7011160

HNK Gorica

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
B. Kardum00.000000
D. Matijaš00.000000
J. Pranjić00.000000
Tomislav Prgomet00.000000
D. Žarkov00.000000
L. Vrzić96.600140
I. Cvijanović287.810192
Keenan Nino Carole00.000000
F. Brodić336.3002110
F. Braut456.2000140
A. Erceg00.000000
O. Bakić335.9000102
R. Josipović907.1000460
S. Perić906.1000522
J. Filipović906.4000530
D. Stevanović906.0001480
Gonçalo Costa626.3000161
Juraj Frigan907.4010484
T. Lacoux575.8001292
B. Bogojević906.5103200
K. Čustović456.0000111
D. Pavičić816.4000261
P. Mijić576.400170
2026/27 STANDINGS

HNL table

League centre ↗

Current standings · HNL. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Dinamo Zagreb7511179816
WLWDW
2HNK Hajduk Split8512168816
LWWWW
3NK Osijek85121711616
DWLWL
4NK Varazdin8431137615
DDDWL
5HNK Rijeka7421137614
WDWDW
6Istra 19618233141319
LWDDL
7NK Lokomotiva Zagreb82151116-57
LDLLL
8NK Slaven Belupo8215716-97
DLWLW
9HNK Gorica8125512-75
WDLDL
10Rudes81161024-144
DLLLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerHNK GoricaDrawNK Varazdin
Bet3653.253.102.05

Snapshot from 14 Sep 2026, 12:32 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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