Likeliest match result
Atletico Nacional to win65.1% market implied
Stored odds 1.50 · Betano
Primera AClausura - 3THE MATCH CENTREAtletico Nacional vs Junior match centre
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Andrés Sarmiento8′
Andrés Román17′
Andrés Román71′
Guillermo Paiva24′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Bookmaker marketOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Pre-match research only
Atletico Nacional to win
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Market-implied chance65.1%
Best stored price1.50Betano
Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. A market-based lean does not establish a profitable edge.
Break-even at this price: 66.7%.
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals57.5% market implied
Stored odds 1.67 · Pinnacle
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes52.5% market implied
Stored odds 1.83 · Bet365
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw86.0% market implied
Stored odds 1.13 · Betano
Projected team goals and scorelines are unavailable until a current, consistent Kickoff Edge goal model passes review. The goals market above is a separate bookmaker view.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 1 Oct 01:04 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Atletico NacionalJunior
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Atletico Nacional 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Junior 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atletico Nacional
7/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Atletico Nacional’s resultsJunior
2/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Junior’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Atletico Nacional
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Chapecoense-scHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1MillonariosHome · Primera A1–1LlanerosAway · Primera A0–2Internacional de BogotaAway · Primera A3–2Águilas DoradasHome · Primera A2–0Deportivo CaliHome · Copa Colombia3–0Alianza ValleduparAway · Primera A5–1Deportivo CaliHome · Primera A2–1Fortaleza FCAway · Primera A2–1JaguaresAway · Primera A3–0
Junior
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Independiente MedellinHome · Primera A2–0Fortaleza FCAway · Primera A4–1Alianza ValleduparAway · Primera A0–1JaguaresHome · Primera A3–3Santa FeHome · Primera A1–1America de CaliAway · Primera A2–4Once CaldasHome · Primera A1–1MillonariosHome · Primera A0–1BarranquillaAway · Copa Colombia3–3Deportes TolimaAway · Primera A1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico Nacional at home with Junior away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:27 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primera A · 2026/27 · all league matches
Atletico NacionalJunior
33Matches played33
73Points earned50
24Wins14
2.0Goals scored / match1.5
0.9Goals conceded / match1.3
11Clean sheets9
9Failed to score7
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico Nacional at home with Junior away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
3 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Atletico Nacional
1wins3MEETINGS
Junior
2winsNov 2025 – Jun 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Atletico Nacional first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Atletico Nacional
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Junior
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primera A table
Current standings · Apertura. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 | WLDDL |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 | WWDLD |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 | LWLLW |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 | DLLWW |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 | LWWDW |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 | LLWDD |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 | WWWDD |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 | WDLWW |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 | DLDDD |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 | WDWDD |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 | WLLLL |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 | LDDLD |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 | LDDDW |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 | LWWLL |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 | LLWWD |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 | LLDLW |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 | DLDLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Atletico Nacional | Draw | Junior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.05 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 4.34 | 7.79 |
| SBO | 1.40 | 4.02 | 5.42 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
Snapshot from 1 Oct 2026, 01:04 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →