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Serie AMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Cagliari vs Lecce match centre

Cagliari badgeCagliariHome · 4 in league
DWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling42/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Lecce badgeLecceAway · 12 in league
WWLWL
Momentum→ Steady54/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
D. Maldini29′
Unipol Domus · CagliariSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
CagliariLecce
7Corner Kicks5
9Fouls13
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves8
368Total passes514
302Passes accurate423

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Cagliari 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Lecce 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Cagliari

5/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Cagliari’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Lecce

6/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Lecce’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cagliari at home with Lecce away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:42 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches

CagliariLecce
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cagliari at home with Lecce away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Cagliari

Confirmed formation4-3-2-1Fabio Pisacane
  1. 1E. CaprileG
  2. 2J. PedroD
  3. 14A. DeiolaD
  4. 15J. RodriguezD
  5. 33A. ObertD
  6. 8M. AdopoM
  7. 4A. RomanoM
  8. 6H. WinksM
  9. 70D. MaldiniM
  10. 10J. FazziniM
  11. 31P. MendyF
Substitutes (14)

23 · B. Radunovic

12 · A. Sherri

24 · G. Aurelio

32 · I. Sulev

27 · J. Liteta

36 · N. Grandu

30 · D. Akarakiri

21 · R. Gagliardini

17 · M. Felici

22 · R. Kofler

79 · Y. Massolin

39 · A. Fadera

35 · A. Sugamele

20 · R. Ciervo

Lecce

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Eusebio Di Francesco
  1. 30W. FalconeG
  2. 17D. VeigaD
  3. 4K. GasparD
  4. 44Tiago GabrielD
  5. 25A. GalloD
  6. 20I. IlicM
  7. 79O. NgomM
  8. 50S. PierottiM
  9. 29L. CoulibalyM
  10. 99J. MonteiroM
  11. 9N. StulicF
Substitutes (15)

1 · M. Bleve

33 · P. Penev

5 · J. Siebert

8 · S. Fofana

2 · A. Dembele

31 · E. Scott

3 · C. Ndaba

18 · G. Jean

14 · Y. Maleh

16 · O. Gandelman

28 · O. Gorter

11 · K. Ndri

10 · M. Berisha

22 · P. Esteban

7 · A. Fatah

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Cagliari

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Elia Caprile907.9—0—32—
Zé Pedro906.9—0—282
Alessandro Deiola907.2—0—363
Juan Rodríguez667.3—0—321
Adam Obert906.6—0128—
Michel Adopo906.6—0236—
Alessandro Romano906.9—02342
Harry Winks907.2—0—531
Daniel Maldini667.910416—
Jacopo Fazzini617.3—11303
Paul Mendy746.0—0216—
Mattia Felici136.9—015—
Raphael Kofler247.2—0—2—
Alieu Fadera246.7—0261
Roberto Gagliardini166.9—0—9—
Alessandro Sugamele166.6—015—
Boris Radunović———————
Alen Sherri———————
Nicola Grandu———————
Riccardo Ciervo———————
Giuseppe Aurelio———————
Ivan Sulev———————
Yanis Massolin———————
Joseph Liteta———————
Demi Akarakiri———————

Lecce

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Wladimiro Falcone908.2—0—26—
Danilo Veiga906.7—0—481
Kialonda Gaspar666.2—0—612
Tiago Gabriel907.3—0—802
Antonino Gallo906.3—0—321
Ivan Ilić666.9—01551
Oumar Ngom457.3—01335
Santiago Pierotti826.3—0—232
Lassana Coulibaly906.9—01551
Joël Monteiro666.5—01153
Nikola Štulić906.0—0115—
Amar Fatah456.9—0—112
Jamil Siebert246.7—0123—
Youssef Maleh246.7—0—211
N'Dri Konan246.6—0—7—
Medon Berisha86.9—019—
Plamen Penev———————
Marco Bleve———————
Corrie Ndaba———————
Gaby Jean———————
Ali Dembélé———————
Elijah Scott———————
Omri Gandelman———————
Sadik Fofana———————
Olaf Gorter———————
Paco Esteban———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1AS Roma54101431113
DWWWW
2Inter5410158713
DWWWW
3Lazio541083513
WDWWW
4Cagliari540152312
WWWLW
5AC Milan5320104611
WDDWW
6Frosinone531194510
WDWWL
7Juventus531184410
WLDWW
8Como531196310
LWWWD
9Napoli52127617
DWLLW
10Sassuolo52129907
LWDWL
11Atalanta520357-26
LLLWW
12Lecce5203510-56
LWLLW
13Udinese5113811-34
LLLWD
14Torino511358-34
DLWLL
15Parma511347-34
WLDLL
16Monza5113812-44
WLDLL
17Fiorentina5113612-64
DWLLL
18Bologna502336-32
DLDLL
19Genoa5014310-71
LDLLL
20Venezia5005413-90
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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