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Serie AMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRE

AS Roma vs Inter match centre

AS Roma badgeAS RomaHome · 1 in league
WWWDW
Momentum↘ Falling85/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Inter badgeInterAway · 2 in league
WWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling77/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Kone6′
M. Kone37′
L. Martinez46′
L. Martinez79′
Stadio Olimpico · RomeSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 14:00 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 14:22 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.70Our model 57.3%Market 35.1% Draw3.40Our model 20.0%Market 27.8% Away win2.55Our model 22.8%Market 37.1% Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 14:22 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AS RomaInter
4Corner Kicks2
12Fouls7
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
445Total passes455
373Passes accurate395

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

AS Roma 1 reported

M. BahKnee Injury
Reported out

Inter 3 reported

H. CalhanogluMuscle Injury
Reported out
J. StonesInjury
Reported out
D. SpenceInjury
Doubtful

Fetched 18 Sep, 21:30 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

AS Roma

5/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect AS Roma’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Inter

7/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Inter’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AS Roma at home with Inter away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 05:31 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches

AS RomaInter
3Matches played3
9Points earned9
3Wins3
3.3Goals scored / match2.7
0.3Goals conceded / match1.0
2Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AS Roma at home with Inter away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

AS Roma

1wins
0 draws

Inter

3wins

Oct 2024 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with AS Roma first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

AS Roma

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Piero Gasperini Gian
  1. 99Mile SvilarG
  2. 23Gianluca ManciniD
  3. 26Leonardo BalerdiD
  4. 22Mario HermosoD
  5. 43WesleyM
  6. 4Bryan CristanteM
  7. 17Manu KonéM
  8. 20Nahuel MolinaM
  9. 21Paulo DybalaF
  10. 18Matías SouléF
  11. 14Donyell MalenF
Substitutes (12)

5 · Evan Ndicka

61 · Niccolò Pisilli

2 · Devyne Rensch

87 · Daniele Ghilardi

3 · Konstantinos Koulierakis

70 · Giorgio De Marzi

95 · Pierluigi Gollini

15 · Marten de Roon

86 · Rodrigo Mora

77 · Emanuele Lulli

9 · Santiago Castro

7 · Lorenzo Pellegrini

Inter

Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Cristian Chivu
  1. 1Josep MartínezG
  2. 31Yann BisseckD
  3. 25Manuel AkanjiD
  4. 95Alessandro BastoniD
  5. 7Piotr ZielińskiM
  6. 17Andy DioufM
  7. 23Nicolò BarellaM
  8. 21Curtis JonesM
  9. 32Federico DimarcoM
  10. 10Lautaro MartínezF
  11. 9Marcus ThuramF
Substitutes (12)

30 · Carlos Augusto

8 · Petar Sučić

11 · Luís Henrique

14 · Ange-Yoan Bonny

94 · Pio Esposito

49 · Ivan Provedel

12 · Raffaele Di Gennaro

28 · Benjamin Pavard

46 · Leonardo Bovio

22 · Henrikh Mkhitaryan

5 · Aleksandar Stanković

48 · Mattia Mosconi

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

AS Roma

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mile Svilar937.9———31—
Gianluca Mancini606.2—11201
Leonardo Balerdi666.6———253
Mario Hermoso816.9———353
Wesley936.9———421
Bryan Cristante936.9——1572
Manu Koné609.22—240—
Nahuel Molina606.9—1136—
Paulo Dybala937.9——346—
Matías Soulé937.5——152—
Donyell Malen936.9——221—
Evan Ndicka336.7———13—
Niccolò Pisilli336.3———18—
Devyne Rensch336.5———121
Daniele Ghilardi276.0———71
Konstantinos Koulierakis126.3———8—
Giorgio De Marzi———————
Pierluigi Gollini———————
Marten de Roon———————
Rodrigo Mora———————
Emanuele Lulli———————
Santiago Castro———————
Lorenzo Pellegrini———————

Inter

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Josep Martínez936.3———40—
Yann Bisseck937.6——1474
Manuel Akanji936.9——1563
Alessandro Bastoni636.5——1412
Piotr Zieliński936.7——143—
Andy Diouf937.2——1322
Nicolò Barella936.9———47—
Curtis Jones546.5———20—
Federico Dimarco546.6———24—
Lautaro Martínez908.92—5252
Marcus Thuram907.3—13232
Carlos Augusto396.6———24—
Petar Sučić397.3———292
Luís Henrique306.6———20—
Ange-Yoan Bonny3————11
Pio Esposito3——————
Ivan Provedel———————
Raffaele Di Gennaro———————
Benjamin Pavard———————
Leonardo Bovio———————
Henrikh Mkhitaryan———————
Aleksandar Stanković———————
Mattia Mosconi———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1AS Roma54101431113
DWWWW
2Inter5410158713
DWWWW
3Lazio541083513
WDWWW
4Cagliari540152312
WWWLW
5AC Milan5320104611
WDDWW
6Frosinone531194510
WDWWL
7Juventus531184410
WLDWW
8Como531196310
LWWWD
9Napoli52127617
DWLLW
10Sassuolo52129907
LWDWL
11Atalanta520357-26
LLLWW
12Lecce5203510-56
LWLLW
13Udinese5113811-34
LLLWD
14Torino511358-34
DLWLL
15Parma511347-34
WLDLL
16Monza5113812-44
WLDLL
17Fiorentina5113612-64
DWLLL
18Bologna502336-32
DLDLL
19Genoa5014310-71
LDLLL
20Venezia5005413-90
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAS RomaDrawInter
William Hill2.623.302.50
Bet3652.703.402.55
Marathonbet2.773.462.62
BetVictor2.633.702.40
Pinnacle2.793.442.64

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 14:22 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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