F. ParisiKnee Injury
Reported out
Serie AMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREFiorentina vs Napoli match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Jimenez51′
B. Gilmour23′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 11:02 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 10:09 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
FiorentinaNapoli
0.940Expected goals · API-Football1.450
4Shots on target4
16Total Shots12
41%Ball Possession59%
4Corner Kicks5
11Fouls9
3Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves3
383Total passes544
319Passes accurate483
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Fiorentina 2 reported
R. SottilBack Injury
Doubtful
Napoli 7 reported
Alisson SantosMuscle Injury
Reported out
A. BuongiornoKnee Injury
Reported out
GiovaneGroin Injury
Reported out
L. MarianucciKnee Injury
Reported out
S. McTominayHeart Problems
Reported out
A. MeretMuscle Injury
Reported out
L. SpinazzolaMuscle Injury
Reported outFetched 20 Sep, 10:06 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Fiorentina
4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Fiorentina’s resultsNapoli
5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Napoli’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Fiorentina
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Napoli
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BolognaHome · Serie A1–0ArsenalHome · UEFA Champions League0–1InterAway · Serie A2–3ComoHome · Serie A1–2GenoaAway · Serie A2–0Aris ThessalonikisHome · Friendlies Clubs6–2Celta VigoHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1OsasunaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1CarrareseHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0ArezzoHome · Friendlies Clubs1–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fiorentina at home with Napoli away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:58 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches
FiorentinaNapoli
4Matches played4
3Points earned6
1Wins2
1.3Goals scored / match1.5
2.8Goals conceded / match1.3
0Clean sheets2
2Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fiorentina at home with Napoli away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Fiorentina
0wins5MEETINGS
Napoli
4winsMay 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Fiorentina
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Paolo Vanoli
- 43
David De GeaG - 20
Álex JiménezD - 3
Radu DrăguşinD - 6
Luca RanieriD - 33
VieryD - 14
Arthur AttaM - 44
Nicolò FagioliM - 27
Cher NdourM - 30
Franco MastantuonoM - 25
Alieu NjieM - 32
Mateo PellegrinoF
Substitutes (12)
53 · Oliver Christensen
19 · Luca Lezzerini
21 · Víctor Valdepeñas
17 · João Mário
5 · Marin Pongračić
2 · Dodô
72 · Brando Mazzeo
42 · Christ Inao Oulaï
4 · Marco Brescianini
28 · Pedro Gonçalves
29 · Wilfried Gnonto
23 · Beto
Napoli
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Massimiliano Allegri
- 32
Vanja Milinković-SavićG - 22
Giovanni Di LorenzoD - 13
Amir RrahmaniD - 16
Rafa MarínD - 17
Mathías OliveraD - 6
Billy GilmourM - 68
Stanislav LobotkaM - 21
Matteo PolitanoM - 11
Kevin De BruyneM - 70
Noa LangM - 19
Rasmus HøjlundF
Substitutes (9)
12 · Claudio Pugliese
14 · Nikita Contini
31 · Sam Beukema
5 · Benoît Badiashile
2 · Costantino Favasuli
99 · Frank Anguissa
20 · Lorenzo Lucca
7 · David Neres
26 · Antonio Vergara
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Fiorentina
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David De Gea | 94 | 8.0 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Álex Jiménez | 94 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | — |
| Radu Drăguşin | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 40 | — |
| Luca Ranieri | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 31 | 2 |
| Viery | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 23 | 1 |
| Cher Ndour | 94 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Nicolò Fagioli | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 63 | 1 |
| Arthur Atta | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 26 | — |
| Franco Mastantuono | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 1 |
| Mateo Pellegrino | 66 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Alieu Njie | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Víctor Valdepeñas | 49 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 18 | — |
| Pedro Gonçalves | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 5 | — |
| Beto | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 5 | — |
| Wilfried Gnonto | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 4 | 1 |
| Marin Pongračić | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Oliver Christensen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Lezzerini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Mário | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dodô | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brando Mazzeo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christ Inao Oulaï | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Brescianini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Napoli
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanja Milinković-Savić | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 42 | — |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 51 | 4 |
| Amir Rrahmani | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 80 | 2 |
| Rafa Marín | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 3 |
| Mathías Olivera | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | 4 | 46 | 4 |
| Billy Gilmour | 94 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 77 | 1 |
| Stanislav Lobotka | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 58 | — |
| Matteo Politano | 73 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 38 | — |
| Noa Lang | 58 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| Rasmus Højlund | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Lorenzo Lucca | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| David Neres | 36 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 12 | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Frank Anguissa | 4 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Claudio Pugliese | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikita Contini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Beukema | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benoît Badiashile | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Vergara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie A table
Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WLDWW |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 | LWWWD |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | DWLLW |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | LLLWW |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | DWLLL |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DLDLL |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 3.25 | 3.42 | 2.24 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 10:09 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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