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DFB PokalRound of 64THE MATCH CENTRE

Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07 match centre

Phönix Lübeck badgePhönix LübeckHome
LWDWL
Momentum→ Steady47/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:4
UK time · Europe/London
SC Paderborn 07 badgeSC Paderborn 07Away
DWWDW
Momentum↑ Strong75/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Kretzer43′
T. Scheller75′ (og)
J. ter Horst22′
S. Castaneda41′
S. Marino61′
G. Vidovic71′
Stadium Airfield · LubeckSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Phönix LübeckSC Paderborn 07
8Corner Kicks9
17Fouls10
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves4
308Total passes536
210Passes accurate459

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Phönix Lübeck 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

SC Paderborn 07 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

SC Paderborn 07

3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect SC Paderborn 07’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Phönix Lübeck at home with SC Paderborn 07 away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:20 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

DFB Pokal · 2026/27 · all league matches

Phönix LübeckSC Paderborn 07
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Phönix Lübeck at home with SC Paderborn 07 away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Phönix Lübeck

Confirmed formation4-3-3Kevin Wolk
  1. 1T. KipsG
  2. 28J. FarrD
  3. 3J. VollertD
  4. 22P. Markvoort
  5. 30D. Haritonov
  6. 14M. KretzerM
  7. 8F. Maiolo
  8. 18O. RahimicM
  9. 11A. Ihde
  10. 23K. SkolikF
  11. 10J. Stover
Substitutes (9)

32 · C. Barkmann

24 · B. Luis

7 · J. J. Kliti

4 · K. Huneburg

6 · M. Dammeier

19 · J. Boccaccio

17 · M. Fernandes

80 · O. Touray

13 · J. Markvoort Beke

SC Paderborn 07

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ralf Kettemann
  1. 1M. SchubertG
  2. 21J. ter HorstD
  3. 25T. SchellerD
  4. 22M. HansenD
  5. 17L. CurdaM
  6. 28L. UlrichM
  7. 5S. CastanedaM
  8. 23R. ObermairM
  9. 19A. MillgrammF
  10. 40G. VidovicF
  11. 30S. MarinoF
Substitutes (9)

15 · N. Noll

3 · J. Sticker

29 · C. Lippmann

24 · N. Mohr

6 · T. Baack

7 · O. Batista Meier

8 · L. Djuric

27 · S. Tigges

38 · D. Zeitler

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Phönix Lübeck

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Tim Kips906.2—0—31—
Jannis Farr906.9—0—354
Jannes Vollert906.2—0—403
Philippe Markvoort906.2—0—234
Daniel Haritonov905.3—01303
Moritz Kretzer727.5101251
Fabio Maiolo906.3—0—381
Omar Rahimic666.9—02141
Anton Ihde666.2—0313—
Kilian Skolik456.7—0—6—
Jonathan Stöver736.3—0—9—
Julian Markvoort Beke456.5—0—12—
Julian Boccaccio246.3—0—10—
Ousman Touray246.3—0—4—
Julius Kliti186.9—0291
Miguel Fernandes176.7—029—
Christopher Barkmann———————
Karim Hüneburg———————
Michel Dammeier———————
Benjamin Luis———————

SC Paderborn 07

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Markus Schubert907.2—0—43—
Jano Ter-Horst907.2101661
Tjark Lasse Scheller907.0—0—713
Mattes Hansen777.7—11542
Laurin Curda907.9—01453
Laurin Ulrich907.0—1257—
Santiago Castañeda908.310165—
Raphael Obermair456.3—0220—
Albert Millgramm456.0—0—18—
Gabriel Vidović737.210233—
Stefano Marino726.9103261
Clemens Lippmann456.3—0—9—
Oliver Batista Meier457.2—1217—
Steffen Tigges186.2—025—
Deniz Zeitler176.9—0121
Jonah Sticker136.9—0—5—
Nahuel Noll———————
Luka Duric———————
Niklas Mohr———————
Tom Baack———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

DFB Pokal table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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