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BundesligaFinalTHE MATCH CENTRE

VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 match centre

VfL Wolfsburg badgeVfL WolfsburgHome · 16 in league
LLDLL
Momentum↓ Low7/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
SC Paderborn 07 badgeSC Paderborn 07Away
DWWWW
Momentum↗ Rising90/100OlderLatest
Volkswagen Arena · WolfsburgSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.8%VfL Wolfsburg
Draw92.4%at full time
Current result estimate2.8%SC Paderborn 07
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: VfL Wolfsburg 4.8% · no further goal 92.3% · SC Paderborn 07 2.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
VfL WolfsburgSC Paderborn 07
4Corner Kicks1
12Fouls16
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves6
590Total passes337
504Passes accurate259

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

FinalVfL Wolfsburg 0–0 SC Paderborn 07
Current progressionLevel
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

VfL Wolfsburg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

SC Paderborn 07 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

VfL Wolfsburg

2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect VfL Wolfsburg’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

SC Paderborn 07

4/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect SC Paderborn 07’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare VfL Wolfsburg at home with SC Paderborn 07 away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:22 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

VfL WolfsburgSC Paderborn 07
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares VfL Wolfsburg at home with SC Paderborn 07 away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

VfL Wolfsburg

Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Dieter Hecking
  1. 1K. GrabaraG
  2. 6J. BelocianD
  3. 3D. VavroD
  4. 4K. KoulierakisD
  5. 32M. SvanbergM
  6. 26S. KumbediM
  7. 31Y. GerhardtM
  8. 24C. EriksenM
  9. 21J. MaehleM
  10. 17D. PejcinovicF
  11. 11A. DaghimF
Substitutes (9)

12 · P. Pervan

15 · M. Jenz

19 · J. Lindstrom

10 · L. Majer

40 · K. Paredes

18 · J. Adjetey

9 · M. Amoura

25 · A. Zehnter

7 · K. Shiogai

SC Paderborn 07

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ralf Kettemann
  1. 41D. SeimenG
  2. 22M. HansenD
  3. 25T. SchellerD
  4. 4C. BrackelmannD
  5. 17L. CurdaM
  6. 7F. BilbijaM
  7. 5S. CastanedaM
  8. 3J. StickerM
  9. 2R. MullerF
  10. 26S. KlaasF
  11. 30S. MarinoF
Substitutes (9)

1 · M. Schubert

11 · S. Michel

8 · D. Kinsombi

27 · S. Tigges

33 · M. Hoffmeier

20 · F. Gotze

9 · N. Batzner

24 · N. Mohr

10 · K. Okpala

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

VfL Wolfsburg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kamil Grabara907.3—0—19—
Jeanuël Belocian908.3—0298—
Denis Vavro907.7—01903
Konstantinos Koulierakis908.5—0—923
Mattias Svanberg656.9—01301
Saël Kumbedi857.0—0—452
Yannick Gerhardt746.7—01311
Christian Eriksen907.2—03682
Joakim Mæhle907.2—01522
Dženan Pejčinović905.6—0220—
Adam Daghim656.7—0317—
Jesper Lindstrøm256.3—0—11—
Mohamed Amoura256.9—0—91
Lovro Majer167.3—0—101
Kevin Paredes126.9—0—7—
Pavao Pervan———————
Jonas Adjei Adjetey———————
Aaron Zehnter———————
Moritz Jenz———————
Kento Shiogai———————

SC Paderborn 07

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dennis Seimen909.7—0—29—
Mattes Hansen906.9—0—441
Tjark Lasse Scheller906.9—0—46—
Calvin Brackelmann907.2—0—413
Laurin Curda906.6—0—294
Filip Bilbija856.5—0—212
Santiago Castañeda907.6—01444
Jonah Sticker906.7—0—173
Ruben Müller606.2—0—20—
Sebastian Klaas606.7—0—152
Stefano Marino786.6—0—151
Nick Bätzner307.2—0—83
Steffen Tigges306.7—0—9—
Sven Michel126.2—0—2—
Felix Götze126.9—0—4—
Markus Schubert———————
Marcel Hoffmeier———————
David Kinsombi———————
Niklas Mohr———————
Kennedy Okpala———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Bundesliga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Bundesliga . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bayern München342851122368689
WWDWW
2Borussia Dortmund34227570343673
WWLWL
3RB Leipzig34205966471965
LWLWW
4VfB Stuttgart34188871492262
DWDDL
51899 Hoffenheim34187965521361
LWDWW
6Bayer Leverkusen34178968472159
DLWWL
7SC Freiburg34138135157-647
WLDLW
8Eintracht Frankfurt341111126165-444
DLLDL
9FC Augsburg34127154561-1643
LWWDW
10FSV Mainz 05341010144453-940
WLWLD
11Union Berlin34109154458-1439
WWDLL
12Borussia Mönchengladbach34911144253-1138
WLWDD
13Hamburger SV34911144054-1438
DWWLL
141. FC Köln34711164963-1432
LLDLD
15Werder Bremen3488183760-2332
LLLDW
16VfL Wolfsburg3478194569-2429
WLDDW
171. FC Heidenheim3468204172-3126
LWDWL
18FC St. Pauli3468202960-3126
LLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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