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Liga MXApertura - 4THE MATCH CENTRE

Necaxa vs Leon match centre

Necaxa badgeNecaxaHome · 15 in league
LLLWL
Momentum↗ Rising23/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Leon badgeLeonAway · 7 in league
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Espindola65′
D. Arcila27′
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco72′
Estadio Victoria · AguascalientesSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
NecaxaLeon
7Corner Kicks3
15Fouls14
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
5Goalkeeper Saves7
432Total passes282
377Passes accurate204

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Necaxa 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Leon 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Necaxa

5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Necaxa’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Leon

6/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Leon’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Necaxa at home with Leon away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:58 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2026/27 · all league matches

NecaxaLeon
9Matches played9
8Points earned14
2Wins4
1.1Goals scored / match1.3
1.8Goals conceded / match1.1
0Clean sheets3
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Necaxa at home with Leon away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Necaxa

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Martin Varini
  1. 12L. JimenezG
  2. 5NavesD
  3. 4A. PenaD
  4. 20F. MendezD
  5. 30R. MonrealM
  6. 6D. LeyvaM
  7. 8L. FaravelliM
  8. 88C. VargasM
  9. 21M. EspindolaF
  10. 10J. RuizF
  11. 90J. ValenciaF
Substitutes (10)

1 · C. Andrade

33 · R. Martinez

15 · D. Ochoa

14 · M. Zaleta

11 · J. P. Torres Patino

13 · O. Gonzalez

17 · R. Cortez

16 · P. Pedraza

27 · M. Pedroza

99 · E. Rodriguez

Leon

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Javier Gandolfi
  1. 23O. GarciaG
  2. 7I. MorenoD
  3. 14J. RomanaD
  4. 3J. GuevaraD
  5. 5S. VegasD
  6. 29I. RodriguezM
  7. 16J. CortizoM
  8. 20R. EcheverriaM
  9. 6F. Beltran Cruz
  10. 13D. ArcilaM
  11. 27D. CambindoF
Substitutes (10)

12 · J. Gonzalez

185 · C. Mora

4 · B. Colula

26 · S. Reyes

25 · P. Bellon

35 · L. Valadez

8 · J. P. Dominguez Chonteco

22 · S. Santos

203 · J. Lara

19 · A. Alvarado

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Necaxa

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luis Jimenez907.0—0—20—
Kaiky Naves646.5—0—292
Alexis Peña907.0—01701
Francisco Méndez906.6—0353—
Ricardo Monreal656.3—01161
Danny Leyva906.9—03502
Lorenzo Faravelli656.7—01222
Carlos Vargas456.6—01101
Matías Espíndola787.710117—
Javier Ruiz908.6—03343
Juan Valencia906.7—1213—
Juan Torres456.6—0221—
Raúl Martínez266.5—0—29—
Mauro Zaleta257.3—0—301
Emilio Rodriguez256.6—0—15—
Miguel Pedroza126.2—0—3—
Christopher Andrade———————
Diego Ochoa———————
Rogelio Cortéz Pineda———————
Owen González———————
Pedro Pedraza———————

Leon

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Oscar García907.3—0—38—
Iván Moreno456.9—01133
Jhohan Romaña906.6—0—292
Juan Guevara907.3—0—322
Sebastián Vegas746.6—0—212
José Rodríguez906.6—0—321
Jordi Cortizo646.9—0—241
Rodrigo Echeverría605.9—0—252
Fernando Beltrán647.3—0—191
Daniel Arcila857.5104121
Diber Cambindo907.3—03152
Bryan Colula456.5—01133
Juan Dominguez267.910141
Luis Valadez266.7—1131
Salvador Reyes166.6—0—2—
Paul Bellón126.6—0———
Julio González———————
Sebastián Santos———————
Christopher Mora———————
Jesús Lara———————
José Alvarado———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Liga MX table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Liga MX: Apertura. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Toluca96122091119
LWWWW
2Guadalajara Chivas9531178918
DWWDW
3Club America8521178917
DLWWW
4Cruz Azul95041615115
LWWWL
5Club Queretaro8422118314
DWWLD
6Club Tijuana84221210214
DLWLW
7Leon94231210214
DWLDW
8Puebla94231111014
DLWLW
9Atlas94231315-214
DLDLW
10Monterrey84131410413
WDLLW
11CF Pachuca93331510512
DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - Pumas93331213-112
DLWLD
13Atletico San Luis92341116-59
WLLWD
14Atlante FC9153813-58
DLDDL
15Necaxa92251016-68
LLDLD
16Tigres UANL9144913-47
LDDDW
17Santos Laguna9216915-67
WWLDL
18FC Juarez9108623-173
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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