Toluca
3/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s results
Liga MXApertura - 3THE MATCH CENTREToluca vs Necaxa match centre
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
I. Lopez29′
E. del Villar45+5′
L. Jimenez57′ (og)
J. Carranza42′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
TolucaNecaxa
1.510Expected goals · API-Football1.320
7Shots on target3
25Total Shots8
76%Ball Possession24%
6Corner Kicks2
14Fouls9
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
734Total passes237
679Passes accurate172
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Necaxa 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Necaxa
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Necaxa’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Toluca
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Cruz AzulHome · Campeón de Campeones1–3U.N.A.M. - PumasHome · Liga MX1–2Guadalajara ChivasAway · Liga MX2–0Atlante FCAway · Friendlies Clubs3–3CancúnAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1CF PachucaAway · Liga MX0–2Los Angeles FCHome · CONCACAF Champions League4–0Los Angeles FCAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–2LeonHome · Liga MX4–1MazatlánAway · Liga MX3–4
Necaxa
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
MonterreyHome · Liga MX2–1Atlante FCHome · Liga MX2–1LeonAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0AtlasAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0Correcaminos UatAway · Friendlies Clubs6–3MonarcasHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0Cruz AzulAway · Liga MX1–4Guadalajara ChivasHome · Liga MX0–0Tigres UANLHome · Liga MX1–1Club QueretaroAway · Liga MX1–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toluca at home with Necaxa away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga MX · 2026/27 · all league matches
TolucaNecaxa
9Matches played9
19Points earned8
6Wins2
2.2Goals scored / match1.1
1.0Goals conceded / match1.8
4Clean sheets0
1Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toluca at home with Necaxa away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Toluca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 22
L. GarciaG - 19
S. SimonD - 6
F. PereiraD - 25
E. del VillarD - 20
J. GallardoD - 29
J. Diaz PriceM - 5
F. RomeroM - 10
J. AnguloM - 35
E. GutierrezM - 9
A. VegaM - 21
I. LopezF
Substitutes (10)
1 · H. Gonzalez
13 · Luan
24 · F. Arce
11 · Helinho
16 · F. Vinas
15 · P. Perez
3 · A. Briseno
7 · V. Guzman
4 · Bruno Mendez
17 · B. A. Garcia Caprizo
Necaxa
Confirmed formation5-3-2Martin Varini
- 12
L. JimenezG - 99
E. RodriguezD - 33
R. MartinezD - 4
A. PenaD - 3
A. OliverosD - 88
C. VargasD - 8
L. FaravelliM - 6
D. LeyvaM - 10
J. RuizM - 11
J. P. Torres PatinoF - 9
J. CarranzaF
Substitutes (10)
1 · C. Andrade
5 · Naves
17 · R. Cortez
30 · R. Monreal
16 · P. Pedraza
27 · M. Pedroza
14 · M. Zaleta
21 · M. Espindola
90 · J. Valencia
20 · F. Mendez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis García | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Santiago Simón | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 71 | 1 |
| Federico Pereira | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 98 | — |
| Everardo López | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 89 | 2 |
| Jesús Gallardo | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 4 | 71 | 3 |
| Jorge Díaz | 59 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Franco Romero | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 96 | 5 |
| Jesús Ricardo Angulo | 65 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 34 | — |
| Érick Gutiérrez | 65 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 47 | 2 |
| Alexis Vega | 89 | 9.0 | — | 0 | 4 | 74 | — |
| Ivan López | 59 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | — |
| Víctor Guzmán | 31 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | — |
| Federico Viñas | 31 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Helinho | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Pavel Pérez | 25 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Antonio Briseño | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Hugo Gonzalez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Méndez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Arce Juárez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Necaxa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Jimenez | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Emilio Rodriguez | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 20 | 2 |
| Raúl Martínez | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Alexis Peña | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Agustín Oliveros | 80 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Carlos Vargas | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 2 |
| Lorenzo Faravelli | 67 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Danny Leyva | 85 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Javier Ruiz | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 2 |
| Juan Torres | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Julián Carranza | 51 | 6.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Pedro Pedraza | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Mauro Zaleta | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Juan Valencia | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Matías Espíndola | 23 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Francisco Méndez | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Christopher Andrade | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaiky Naves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogelio Cortéz Pineda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Pedroza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Monreal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Liga MX table
Current standings · Liga MX: Apertura. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 | LWWWL |
| 5 |  Club Queretaro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 | DWWLD |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | DLWLW |
| 7 |  Leon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | DWLDW |
| 8 |  Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 | DLWLW |
| 9 |  Atlas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 | DLDLW |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 12 | DWWDD |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 14 |  Atlante FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 | DLDDL |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 | LLDLD |
| 16 |  Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 | LDDDW |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 | WLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Toluca | Draw | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
Snapshot from 2 Aug 2026, 20:56 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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