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Liga MXApertura - 9THE MATCH CENTRE

Monterrey vs Cruz Azul match centre

Monterrey badgeMonterreyHome · 10 in league
LDLD
Momentum↓ Low18/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Cruz Azul badgeCruz AzulAway · 4 in league
WWWL
Momentum↘ Falling69/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
César Garza7′
Estadio BBVA · MonterreySeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 22:25 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 01:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.25Estimated chance 41.3%Pre-match estimate Draw3.40Estimated chance 23.7%Pre-match estimate Away win3.20Estimated chance 35.0%Pre-match estimate Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 01:01 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
MonterreyCruz Azul
5Corner Kicks4
12Fouls13
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves4
401Total passes464
310Passes accurate380

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Monterrey 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Cruz Azul 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 02:10 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Monterrey

4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Monterrey’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Cruz Azul

5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Cruz Azul’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Monterrey at home with Cruz Azul away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 14:11 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2026/27 · all league matches

MonterreyCruz Azul
7Matches played8
10Points earned15
3Wins5
1.9Goals scored / match2.0
1.4Goals conceded / match1.8
2Clean sheets1
2Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Monterrey at home with Cruz Azul away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Monterrey

0wins
2 draws

Cruz Azul

3wins

Mar 2025 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Monterrey

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1M. Almeyda
  1. 1E. AndradaG
  2. 2R. ChávezD
  3. 4V. GuzmánD
  4. 19A. AcevesD
  5. 18Cesar Garza CantuD
  6. 8Óliver TorresM
  7. 25O. PinedaM
  8. 10L. OrellanoM
  9. 17J. CoronaM
  10. 7L. OcamposM
  11. 99H. CuypersF
Substitutes (9)

22 · L. Cárdenas

5 · F. Ambríz

14 · É. Aguirre

33 · S. Medina

21 · L. Reyes

30 · J. Rodríguez

27 · R. de la Rosa

32 · U. Đurđević

11 · Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa

Cruz Azul

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Joel Huiqui
  1. 23K. MierG
  2. 16J. MárquezD
  3. 4W. DittaD
  4. 33G. PioviD
  5. 5J. OrozcoD
  6. 6É. LiraM
  7. 8A. PalavecinoM
  8. 20J. ParadelaM
  9. 19C. RodríguezM
  10. 3O. CamposM
  11. 21G. FernándezF
Substitutes (8)

2 · A. Mozo

15 · R. Orquin

10 · A. Montaño

60 · Viktor Joba

7 · N. Ibáñez

18 · L. Romero

12 · A. Montes

1 · A. Gudiño

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Monterrey

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
E. Andrada908.1000291
R. Chávez907.1001464
V. Guzmán907.7000432
A. Aceves617.1000382
Cesar Garza Cantu888.2101220
Óliver Torres886.6001464
O. Pineda906.7002492
L. Orellano766.9001252
J. Corona767.7012261
L. Ocampos906.6005331
H. Cuypers906.5002222
U. Đurđević00.000000
R. de la Rosa00.000000
A. De Nigris00.000000
J. Rodríguez146.900151
L. Reyes27.000010
S. Medina297.4000130
É. Aguirre00.000000
F. Ambríz147.200162
L. Cárdenas00.000000
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa27.400020

Cruz Azul

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
A. Gudiño00.000000
A. Montes00.000000
A. Mozo456.2000170
R. Orquin00.000000
A. Montaño00.000000
N. Ibáñez116.300030
L. Romero286.200190
G. Fernández796.4005160
O. Campos906.8001171
C. Rodríguez906.6000471
J. Paradela626.4001150
A. Palavecino626.1001374
É. Lira905.8000532
J. Orozco456.5000171
G. Piovi905.9000804
W. Ditta906.6001591
J. Márquez796.9002381
K. Mier907.6000430
Ariel Castro Sevilla116.000060
C. Ebere286.700061
R. Gonzalez00.000000
2026/27 STANDINGS

Liga MX table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Liga MX: Apertura. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Toluca96122091119
LWWWW
2Guadalajara Chivas9531178918
DWWDW
3Club America8521178917
DLWWW
4Cruz Azul95041615115
LWWWL
5Club Queretaro8422118314
DWWLD
6Club Tijuana84221210214
DLWLW
7Leon94231210214
DWLDW
8Puebla94231111014
DLWLW
9Atlas94231315-214
DLDLW
10Monterrey84131410413
WDLLW
11CF Pachuca93331510512
DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - Pumas93331213-112
DLWLD
13Atletico San Luis92341116-59
WLLWD
14Atlante FC9153813-58
DLDDL
15Necaxa92251016-68
LLDLD
16Tigres UANL9144913-47
LDDDW
17Santos Laguna9216915-67
WWLDL
18FC Juarez9108623-173
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMonterreyDrawCruz Azul
William Hill2.153.252.80
Bet3652.253.403.20
Marathonbet2.183.482.94
Betfair2.203.502.90
BetVictor2.203.503.00

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 01:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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