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First LeagueMatchweek 9THE MATCH CENTRE

Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia match centre

Ludogorets badgeLudogoretsHome · 3 in league
WWDDW
Momentum↑ Strong71/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Septemvri Sofia badgeSeptemvri SofiaAway · 10 in league
LWWDL
Momentum↘ Falling45/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Ivajlo ?o?ev21′
Aguibou Camara59′
Frantzety Herard81′
Huvepharma Arena · RazgradSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated 14 Sep 20:05 UK.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
5Corner Kicks5
—Fouls—
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Ludogorets 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Septemvri Sofia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Ludogorets

6/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Ludogorets’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Septemvri Sofia

3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Septemvri Sofia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ludogorets at home with Septemvri Sofia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:59 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2026/27 · all league matches

LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
8Matches played8
20Points earned8
6Wins2
1.8Goals scored / match0.9
0.8Goals conceded / match1.7
3Clean sheets2
0Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ludogorets at home with Septemvri Sofia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Ludogorets

4wins
0 draws

Septemvri Sofia

0wins

Jul 2025 – Jul 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Ludogorets first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Ludogorets

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1T. Reis
  1. 39H. BonmannG
  2. 3A. NedyalkovD
  3. 42S. ShishkovD
  4. 4Hossam AbdelmaguidD
  5. 17SonM
  6. 23Deroy DuarteM
  7. 11Caio VidalF
  8. 20A. CamaraM
  9. 18I. ChochevM
  10. 37B. TekpeteyF
  11. 12Rwan CruzF
Substitutes (10)

5 · G. Terziev

2 · J. Andersson

77 · Erick Marcus

13 · I. Grbić

26 · F. Kaloč

15 · E. Kurtulus

40 · A. Marinov

67 · A. Panayotov

22 · M. Polendakov

14 · P. Stanić

Septemvri Sofia

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Simão Freitas
  1. 12V. IvanovG
  2. 13K. ÖnaşçıM
  3. 4M. HristovD
  4. 5Y. BaurenskiM
  5. 3Sebastian WadeD
  6. 6Pedro FerreiraM
  7. 8B. PenchevM
  8. 19Pedro IgorF
  9. 33G. IvanovM
  10. 29F. HerardF
  11. 7E. RibeiroF
Substitutes (11)

30 · Viktor Dobrev

11 · A. Dzhamov

15 · P. Gospodinov

10 · N. Iliev

27 · André Filipe Rio Liberal

16 · V. Mihaylov

26 · V. Ozornwafor

1 · A. Radkov

28 · S. Stoichkov

20 · B. Tomovski

24 · Z. Atanasov

2026/27 STANDINGS

First League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · A PFG. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Levski Sofia98102141725
DWWWW
2CSKA Sofia107302471724
DWWDW
3Ludogorets9720167923
WWDDW
4CSKA 1948107121910922
WWLWL
5Arda Kardzhali105231512317
DLLWW
6Botev Plovdiv105141614216
WWWLL
7Slavia Sofia1025398111
LDWLD
8Spartak Varna102441015-510
LDDDL
9Botev Vratsa10235919-109
DDWLW
10Septemvri Sofia10226818-108
LLLDW
11Lokomotiv Sofia101451118-77
WLDLD
12Lokomotiv Plovdiv10217513-87
DLWLL
13Cherno More Varna101361120-96
DDLLW
14Dunav Ruse101271019-95
DLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerLudogoretsDrawSeptemvri Sofia
Bet3651.226.0011.00

Snapshot from 14 Sep 2026, 12:36 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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