Levski Sofia
5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Levski Sofia’s results
First LeagueMatchweek 10THE MATCH CENTRELevski Sofia vs Ludogorets match centre
Match Postponed
18:30
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 20 Sep 17:40 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Levski Sofia 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Ludogorets 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 17 Sep, 10:24 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
A SECOND MODEL VIEW
Pre-match onlyCompare the forecasts
Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.
Kickoff Edge
Our stored model estimate
No valid forecast received yet.
See the match forecast for model details.API-Football
Provider model estimate
Provider forecast under review
Provider forecast is missing a current timestamp or is more than two hours old.
Fetched 17 Sep, 10:24 UK · Older snapshotProvider percentages and advice are withheld when team identities, freshness, competition samples or large bookmaker disagreements fail our quality checks. Accepted percentages are shown as supplied; they are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.
FROM OUR STORED RESULTS
Experimental researchKickoff Edge history fallback
The provider forecast failed our quality checks and a verified primary forecast is unavailable. This separate estimate uses Levski Sofia’s 20 and Ludogorets’s 20 prior completed games across competitions.
Levski Sofia40.5%
Draw26.3%
Ludogorets33.2%
Up to 20 stored results per team in the previous year; 180-day decay; five-match prior at 1.35 goals; joint Poisson score model. No opponent-strength, lineup or xG adjustment; not calibrated or eligible for tips. The bookmaker comparison is a quality check; odds do not enter this model. Inspect the recorded results.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Ludogorets
6/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Ludogorets’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Levski Sofia
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Red Bull SalzburgHome · UEFA Europa League0–1Botev VratsaAway · First League0–0CSKA SofiaHome · Super Cup2–4CSKA 1948Home · First League1–0Slavia SofiaAway · First League2–1Botev PlovdivAway · First League3–1AEK Athens FCAway · UEFA Champions League0–4Spartak VarnaHome · First League6–0AEK Athens FCHome · UEFA Champions League0–0Kairat AlmatyAway · UEFA Champions League1–0
Ludogorets
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Septemvri SofiaHome · First League2–1Lokomotiv SofiaAway · First League2–1Spartak VarnaAway · First League1–1Slavia SofiaHome · First League1–1Botev PlovdivHome · First League2–0Cherno More VarnaAway · First League3–2Botev VratsaHome · First League2–1Hapoel Tel AvivHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–2Dunav RuseAway · First League2–0Hapoel Tel AvivAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Levski Sofia at home with Ludogorets away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 17:54 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
First League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Levski SofiaLudogorets
9Matches played8
25Points earned20
8Wins6
2.4Goals scored / match1.8
0.5Goals conceded / match0.8
5Clean sheets3
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Levski Sofia at home with Ludogorets away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Levski Sofia
0wins4MEETINGS
Ludogorets
3winsFeb 2026 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Levski Sofia first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Levski Sofia
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Ludogorets
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗First League table
Current standings · A PFG. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 24 | DWWDW |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 23 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 | WWLWL |
| 5 |  Arda Kardzhali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 17 | DLLWW |
| 6 |  Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 | WWWLL |
| 7 |  Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 8 |  Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 | LDDDL |
| 9 |  Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 10 |  Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 | LLLDW |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 | WLDLD |
| 12 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 | DLWLL |
| 13 |  Cherno More Varna | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 6 | DDLLW |
| 14 |  Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 | DLLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Levski Sofia | Draw | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.24 | 3.28 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.32 | 3.43 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 17:40 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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