NAC Breda
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect NAC Breda’s results
Eerste DivisieMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRENAC Breda vs Jong Ajax match centre
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Muzungu10′ (og)
P. Gladon71′
P. Reulen88′
D. Pugno59′
E. Unuvar80′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NAC BredaJong Ajax
2.290Expected goals · API-Football1.460
7Shots on target5
20Total Shots11
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks4
10Fouls21
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves5
409Total passes377
326Passes accurate304
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
NAC Breda 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Jong Ajax 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Jong Ajax
2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 8 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Jong Ajax’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
NAC Breda
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
VVV VenloHome · Eerste Divisie0–2FC OSSAway · Eerste Divisie2–1BoltonAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1OFIHome · Friendlies Clubs3–2Lokeren-TemseAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1ExcelsiorHome · Friendlies Clubs1–3HoekAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1FC EindhovenHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2AZ AlkmaarAway · Eredivisie3–3UtrechtAway · Eredivisie0–2
Jong Ajax
10 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 8 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game2.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
EmmenHome · Eerste Divisie4–6DordrechtAway · Eerste Divisie1–2Jong AZAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3Jong UtrechtHome · Eerste Divisie0–2Jong PSV U21Away · Eerste Divisie1–0FC OSSHome · Eerste Divisie1–2VitesseAway · Eerste Divisie1–6ADO Den HaagAway · Eerste Divisie2–4Almere City FCHome · Eerste Divisie0–2VVV VenloAway · Eerste Divisie1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare NAC Breda at home with Jong Ajax away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 06:44 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches
NAC BredaJong Ajax
7Matches played—
10Points earned—
3Wins—
1.9Goals scored / match—
2.1Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets—
1Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares NAC Breda at home with Jong Ajax away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
NAC Breda
Confirmed formation4-4-2Carl Hoefkens
- 1
M. VerripsG - 25
C. ValeriusD - 4
L. GreimlD - 12
J. Van den BerghD - 22
R. HillenD - 78
J. Van HeckeM - 8
F. JensenM - 6
M. BalardM - 10
M. NassohM - 7
C. BrymF - 9
M. SoumanoF
Substitutes (11)
31 · K. Lamprou
23 · R. Kortsmit
2 · B. Lucassen
5 · J. Candelaria
35 · M. Brouwers
32 · R. van Aarst
20 · M. Seuntjens
11 · R. Paula
34 · I. Nazih
19 · P. Gladon
26 · P. Reulen
Jong Ajax
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Carlos Garcia
- 1
J. HeerkensG - 2
L. FrankelD - 3
M. van der LansD - 4
M. MuzunguD - 5
S. de FalcoD - 6
J. JohnsonM - 8
M. AbdallaM - 7
E. UnuvarM - 10
J. MonserrateM - 11
P. NashM - 9
D. PugnoF
Substitutes (12)
30 · A. El Hani
12 · C. Setford
17 · A. Appiah
18 · L. Beekman
16 · J. Amour
21 · T. Peters
19 · M. Verkuijl
20 · L. Acheampong
24 · E. Mechrouh
23 · J. Simeon
25 · A. Moumane
22 · P. Da Silva
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
NAC Breda
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Verrips | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Cherrion Valerius | 66 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | 2 |
| Leo Greiml | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| Jan Van den Bergh | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 1 |
| Rio Hillen | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 4 |
| Jannes Van Hecke | 66 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Fredrik Jensen | 83 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | 4 |
| Maximilien Balard | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 5 |
| Mohamed Nassoh | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 3 |
| Charles-Andreas Brym | 67 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 4 | 19 | — |
| Moussa Soumano | 67 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 10 | — |
| Boyd Lucassen | 24 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Imran Nazih | 24 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Mats Seuntjens | 23 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Paul Gladon | 23 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | — |
| Pepijn Reulen | 11 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Kostas Lamprou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roy Kortsmit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mylan Brouwers | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan van Aarst | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Candelaria | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raul Paula | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Jong Ajax
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joeri Heerkens | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 49 | — |
| Leroy Frankel | 61 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Mylo van der Lans | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 2 |
| Marvyn Muzungu | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 55 | — |
| Sinclair de Falco | 77 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Jinairo Johnson | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 3 |
| Mohamed Abdalla | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Emre Ünüvar | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| Jano Monserrate | 77 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 2 |
| Pharrel Nash | 77 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 |
| Diego Pugno | 86 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 |
| Avery Appiah | 29 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Tijn Peters | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Levi Acheampong | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Jeshurun Simeon | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Paulo Da Silva | 8 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Charlie Setford | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aymean el Hani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jahyendrow Amour | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luuk Beekman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark Verkuijl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anass Moumane | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Mechrouch | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Eerste Divisie table
Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Almere City FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 16 | LWWLW |
| 3 |  MVV | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 4 |  VVV Venlo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Roda | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Emmen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 | WLLWL |
| 7 |  Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 | WWLLD |
| 10 |  Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 11 |  FC Volendam | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 13 |  FC Eindhoven | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 14 |  Helmond Sport | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 | LLWWL |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 16 |  Den Bosch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 17 |  Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 18 |  De Graafschap | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 | WLWLL |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 20 |  FC OSS | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWLLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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