Utrecht
5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Utrecht’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTREUtrecht vs NAC Breda match centre
90′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. de Wit86′
A. Blake90+9′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Utrecht
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%NAC Breda
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Utrecht 5.9% · no further goal 92.3% · NAC Breda 1.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.UtrechtNAC Breda
2.850Expected goals · API-Football0.450
9Shots on target1
26Total Shots8
66%Ball Possession34%
8Corner Kicks4
11Fouls13
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves8
493Total passes258
437Passes accurate177
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | — |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Ajax | 33 | +21 | 55 | — |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | +13 | 53 | ↑ 1 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | +4 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | +3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | — |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 34 | -25 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | -49 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Utrecht 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
NAC Breda 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
NAC Breda
2/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect NAC Breda’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Utrecht
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NAC Breda
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AjaxHome · Eredivisie0–2Fortuna SittardAway · Eredivisie1–1Sparta RotterdamHome · Eredivisie0–0PEC ZwolleAway · Eredivisie1–2GO Ahead EaglesAway · Eredivisie0–6FeyenoordHome · Eredivisie3–3TelstarAway · Eredivisie0–3FC VolendamHome · Eredivisie1–0HeraclesAway · Eredivisie1–0ExcelsiorHome · Eredivisie0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Utrecht at home with NAC Breda away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
UtrechtNAC Breda
30Matches played31
44Points earned25
12Wins5
1.7Goals scored / match1.0
1.2Goals conceded / match1.7
7Clean sheets5
5Failed to score13
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Utrecht at home with NAC Breda away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Utrecht
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ron Jans
- 1
V. BarkasG - 23
N. VesterlundD - 3
M. van der HoornD - 44
M. EerdhuijzenD - 16
S. El KarouaniD - 27
A. EngwandaM - 20
D. de WitM - 21
G. ZechielM - 77
A. AlarconF - 18
A. StepanovF - 10
Y. CathlineF
Substitutes (11)
33 · K. Gadellaa
51 · M. Eppink
24 · N. Viergever
11 · J. Karlsson
15 · A. Blake
5 · E. Adiele
91 · S. Haller
2 · S. Horemans
8 · C. Bozdogan
9 · D. Min
53 · N. Viereck
NAC Breda
Confirmed formation4-4-2Carl Hoefkens
- 99
D. BielicaG - 3
D. OdoiD - 15
E. MahmutovicD - 8
C. LeemansD - 4
B. KemperD - 25
C. ValeriusM - 10
M. NassohM - 16
M. BalardM - 14
K. SowahM - 90
L. HoltbyF - 24
A. AyewF
Substitutes (11)
31 · K. Lamprou
1 · R. Kortsmit
22 · R. Hillen
7 · C. Brym
11 · R. Paula
32 · J. Talvitie
55 · B. Ghalidi
19 · A. Salama
9 · M. Soumano
21 · J. Candelaria
26 · P. Reulen
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Utrecht
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasilis Barkas | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Niklas Vesterlund | 74 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | — |
| Mike Van der Hoorn | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 82 | — |
| Mike Eerdhuijzen | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | 1 |
| Souffian El Karouani | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 65 | 4 |
| Alonzo Engwanda | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 53 | 1 |
| Dani De Wit | 89 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 3 |
| Gjivai Zechiël | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 4 | 62 | — |
| Ángel Alarcón | 66 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Artem Stepanov | 65 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 10 | — |
| Yoann Cathline | 89 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| Jesper Karlsson | 45 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 4 | 19 | 1 |
| Sébastien Haller | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Adrian Blake | 24 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | — |
| Siebe Horemans | 16 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| David Min | 10 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Can Bozdoğan | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Mees Eppink | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Gadellaa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neal Viereck | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Viergever | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emeka Adeile | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NAC Breda
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bielica | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Denis Odoi | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 |
| Enes Mahmutović | 89 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Clint Leemans | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 2 |
| Boy Kemper | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 2 |
| Cherrion Valerius | 72 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 |
| Mohamed Nassoh | 35 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Maximilien Balard | 89 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Kamal Sowah | 89 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Lewis Holtby | 81 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 |
| André Ayew | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Rio Hillen | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Moussa Soumano | 18 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Jayden Candelaria | 9 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Raul Paula | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Pepijn Reulen | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Brahim Ghalidi | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Roy Kortsmit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kostas Lamprou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juho Talvitie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amine Salama | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles-Andreas Brym | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Utrecht | Draw | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
Snapshot from 1 May 2026, 21:06 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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