Ajax
7/10Wins
3.1Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Ajax’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTREAjax vs Willem II match centre
Full time
5:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Davy Klaassen41′
Julian Brandt45′
Viktor Tsygankov69′
Oscar Gloukh74′
Kasper Dolberg87′
Alessandro Ciranni76′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 15 Sep 17:12 UK.
Odds updated 15 Sep 17:33 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
AjaxWillem II
3.790Expected goals · API-Football1.580
12Shots on target4
33Total Shots10
70%Ball Possession30%
14Corner Kicks2
6Fouls3
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves7
755Total passes327
691Passes accurate266
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Ajax 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Willem II 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Willem II
3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Willem II’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Ajax
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game3.1
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Fortuna SittardAway · Eredivisie5–1PSV EindhovenHome · Eredivisie1–3TelstarAway · Eredivisie4–0FC SionHome · UEFA Europa Conference League5–3FC SionAway · UEFA Europa Conference League4–2HeerenveenHome · Eredivisie2–2ShelbourneAway · UEFA Europa Conference League2–2PEC ZwolleAway · Eredivisie2–0ShelbourneHome · UEFA Europa Conference League3–1FC VolendamAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1
Willem II
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AZ AlkmaarAway · Eredivisie1–1ExcelsiorHome · Eredivisie0–3HeerenveenHome · Eredivisie2–2NEC NijmegenHome · Eredivisie1–4GO Ahead EaglesAway · Eredivisie1–4OFIHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1KV MechelenHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0FC EindhovenHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2Quick BoysHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2DordrechtAway · Eerste Divisie2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ajax at home with Willem II away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:27 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2026/27 · all league matches
AjaxWillem II
5Matches played5
10Points earned2
3Wins0
2.8Goals scored / match1.0
1.2Goals conceded / match2.8
2Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ajax at home with Willem II away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Ajax
4wins4MEETINGS
Willem II
0winsDec 2021 – Apr 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Ajax first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Ajax
Confirmed formation4-3-3Míchel
- 26
M. PaesG - 2
Lucas RosaD - 6
T. KehrerD - 15
Y. BaasD - 5
O. WijndalD - 18
D. KlaassenM - 24
J. MokioM - 8
J. BrandtM - 23
S. BerghuisF - 9
K. DolbergF - 10
O. GloukhF
Substitutes (12)
99 · T. Arokodare
1 · M. ter Stegen
20 · O. Edvardsen
3 · A. Gaaei
36 · D. Janse
12 · Caio Henrique
68 · A. Ouazane
38 · Marcos Leonardo
51 · C. Setford
21 · Jofre Torrents
11 · V. Tsygankov
4 · S. Amrabat
Willem II
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1J. Stegeman
- 26
M. DelangheG - 5
H. ter AvestD - 3
F. StamD - 23
M. DekkerD - 24
N. Tjoe-A-OnD - 6
C. TwigtM - 52
T. VilhenaM - 22
Per van LoonM - 19
Uriel van AalstM - 7
J. SloryM - 9
D. HaenF
Substitutes (11)
83 · M. Lemmens
2 · A. Ciranni
15 · A. Et-Taïbi
50 · E. Gürbüz
14 · Jens Mathijsen
17 · O. Martin
10 · J. Schuurman
28 · T. Verheydt
18 · Anass Zarrouk
31 · K. de Leeuw
21 · W. van der Steen
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Ajax
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Amrabat | 33 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1 |
| V. Tsygankov | 33 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1 |
| Jofre Torrents | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Setford | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcos Leonardo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Ouazane | 23 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 1 |
| Caio Henrique | 23 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| D. Janse | 13 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| A. Gaaei | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Edvardsen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Arokodare | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. ter Stegen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Paes | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| Lucas Rosa | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1 |
| T. Kehrer | 77 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 107 | 1 |
| Y. Baas | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 116 | 0 |
| O. Wijndal | 67 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 0 |
| D. Klaassen | 57 | 8.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 1 |
| J. Mokio | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 46 | 1 |
| J. Brandt | 67 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 0 |
| S. Berghuis | 57 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 4 |
| K. Dolberg | 90 | 9.2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 0 |
| O. Gloukh | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 90 | 1 |
Willem II
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Delanghe | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 0 |
| H. ter Avest | 61 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 1 |
| F. Stam | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 1 |
| M. Dekker | 84 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 |
| N. Tjoe-A-On | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 |
| C. Twigt | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 1 |
| T. Vilhena | 45 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 |
| Uriel van Aalst | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1 |
| J. Slory | 70 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| M. Lemmens | 45 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| A. Ciranni | 45 | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| A. Et-Taïbi | 29 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| E. Gürbüz | 6 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Jens Mathijsen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Martin | 20 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| J. Schuurman | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Verheydt | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anass Zarrouk | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. de Leeuw | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| W. van der Steen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Per van Loon | 45 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| D. Haen | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Eredivisie table
Current standings · Eredivisie. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 17 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 14 | DWWLW |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 | WLWWL |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 11 | DLDWW |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 11 | WDDLL |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 10 | DDDLW |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 9 | WDLDL |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | DLDLW |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | LDLDL |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 | DWDLL |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 5 | LWDLD |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 | LLDLW |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 2 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 | LLDLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.11 | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.10 | 9.00 | 21.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.08 | 10.75 | 18.75 |
| Betfair | 1.08 | 10.50 | 20.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.08 | 12.00 | 23.00 |
Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 17:33 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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