G. KondogbiaInjury
Reported out
Ligue 1Matchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREMarseille vs Paris Saint Germain match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Angel Gomes72′
Ferrán Torres66′
Marcos Aoás Corrêa74′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 17:02 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MarseilleParis Saint Germain
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target10
11Total Shots31
39%Ball Possession61%
3Corner Kicks7
9Fouls3
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
8Goalkeeper Saves3
392Total passes618
320Passes accurate555
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Marseille 2 reported
T. NnadiInjury
Reported out
Paris Saint Germain 1 reported
A. HakimiThigh Injury
Reported outFetched 20 Sep, 17:46 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Marseille
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Marseille’s resultsParis Saint Germain
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Paris Saint Germain’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Marseille
10 matchesResults4 wins · 0 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Paris Saint Germain
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Stade Brestois 29Away · Ligue 11–0Slovan BratislavaHome · UEFA Champions League6–1MonacoHome · Ligue 11–2LilleAway · Ligue 12–2RennesAway · Ligue 12–2LensAway · Trophée des Champions0–1Aston VillaHome · UEFA Super Cup2–1Manchester UnitedHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1MallorcaAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3ArsenalHome · UEFA Champions League1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Marseille at home with Paris Saint Germain away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · all league matches
MarseilleParis Saint Germain
4Matches played4
3Points earned5
1Wins1
1.5Goals scored / match1.5
1.5Goals conceded / match1.5
1Clean sheets1
2Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Marseille at home with Paris Saint Germain away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Marseille
1wins5MEETINGS
Paris Saint Germain
3winsOct 2024 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Marseille
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Bruno Genesio
- 1
J. de LangeG - 22
T. WeahD - 4
C. Egan-RileyD - 21
N. AguerdD - 33
EmersonD - 8
H. AbdelliM - 23
P. HøjbjergM - 77
A. HaritM - 9
A. GouiriM - 14
Igor PaixãoM - 11
N. MaupayF
Substitutes (9)
13 · D. Cornelius
74 · K. Bezahaf
7 · A. Gomes
25 · U. Garcia
48 · K. Abdallah
46 · E. Mbondo
43 · T. Mmadi
29 · F. Moumbagna
92 · T. Vermot
Paris Saint Germain
Confirmed formation4-3-3Luis Enrique
- 39
M. SafonovG - 33
W. Zaïre-EmeryD - 5
MarquinhosD - 51
W. PachoD - 25
Nuno MendesD - 87
João NevesM - 17
VitinhaM - 8
Fabián RuizM - 14
D. DouéF - 10
O. DembéléF - 7
K. KvaratskheliaF
Substitutes (9)
11 · M. Akliouche
30 · L. Chevalier
12 · L. Digne
27 · Pedro Fernández
22 · M. Godts
4 · Beraldo
24 · Senny Mayulu
9 · Ferran Torres
6 · I. Zabarnyi
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Marseille
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. de Lange | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
| T. Weah | 77 | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| C. Egan-Riley | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 1 |
| N. Aguerd | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 0 |
| Emerson | 84 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 1 |
| P. Højbjerg | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 59 | 1 |
| T. Vermot | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Moumbagna | 6 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| T. Mmadi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Mbondo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Abdallah | 27 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| U. Garcia | 6 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| A. Gomes | 60 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| K. Bezahaf | 6 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| D. Cornelius | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Abdelli | 84 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 0 |
| A. Harit | 63 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 1 |
| A. Gouiri | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
| Igor Paixão | 30 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| N. Maupay | 84 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Zabarnyi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Akliouche | 25 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
| L. Chevalier | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Digne | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pedro Fernández | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Godts | 11 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| Beraldo | 11 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| Senny Mayulu | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ferran Torres | 31 | 8.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| M. Safonov | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| W. Zaïre-Emery | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 2 |
| Marquinhos | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 79 | 0 |
| W. Pacho | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 1 |
| Nuno Mendes | 90 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 66 | 0 |
| João Neves | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 59 | 5 |
| Vitinha | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 103 | 1 |
| Fabián Ruiz | 65 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 1 |
| D. Doué | 79 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 1 |
| O. Dembélé | 79 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 0 |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | 59 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Ligue 1 table
Current standings · Ligue 1. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | LWWWD |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 7 |  Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | WDLWL |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LDWWL |
| 9 |  Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 | WDDLD |
| 10 |  Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | WWLLL |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | LLWDD |
| 12 |  Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 | LDWLD |
| 13 |  Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 14 |  Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 | WLDLD |
| 15 |  Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.40 |
| Bet365 | 6.50 | 5.00 | 1.42 |
| Marathonbet | 6.70 | 5.30 | 1.44 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 5.00 | 1.40 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 5.25 | 1.40 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →