Skip to content
J1 LeagueMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTRE

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus match centre

FC Tokyo badgeFC TokyoHome · 5 in league
WWDWW
Momentum↗ Rising87/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Nagoya Grampus badgeNagoya GrampusAway · 17 in league
LWLLL
Momentum↘ Falling17/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Kota Tawaratsumida56′
Japan National Stadium · TokyoSeason 2027/28Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 10:34 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 10:41 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.53Our model 63.5%Market 61.4% Draw4.10Our model 20.3%Market 22.9% Away win6.00Our model 16.2%Market 15.7% Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 10:41 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
2Corner Kicks4
19Fouls11
2Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
343Total passes549
277Passes accurate472

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC Tokyo 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Nagoya Grampus 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 22:14 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FC Tokyo

6/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect FC Tokyo’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Nagoya Grampus

2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 8 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Nagoya Grampus’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Tokyo at home with Nagoya Grampus away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:45 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

J1 League · 2027/28 · all league matches

FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
7Matches played7
14Points earned6
4Wins2
1.9Goals scored / match1.0
1.2Goals conceded / match1.8
4Clean sheets0
0Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Tokyo at home with Nagoya Grampus away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

FC Tokyo

3wins
1 draw

Nagoya Grampus

0wins

Sep 2024 – Jul 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with FC Tokyo first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC Tokyo

Confirmed formation4-4-2R. Matsuhashi
  1. 81Kim Seung-GyuG
  2. 2S. MuroyaD
  3. 24A. ScholzD
  4. 4H. InamuraD
  5. 6K. BangnagandeD
  6. 7S. AnzaiM
  7. 27Kyota TokiwaM
  8. 8T. KoM
  9. 33K. TawaratsumidaM
  10. 10K. SatoF
  11. 9Marcelo RyanF
Substitutes (9)

1 · H. Tanaka

71 · F. Yamada

18 · K. Hashimoto

22 · H. Ishihara

3 · M. Morishige

26 · M. Nagakura

39 · T. Nakagawa

15 · R. Omori

44 · K. Suzuki

Nagoya Grampus

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Michael Petrovic
  1. 1D. SchmidtG
  2. 70T. HaraD
  3. 13H. FujiiD
  4. 55S. TokumotoD
  5. 17T. UchidaM
  6. 15S. InagakiM
  7. 31T. TakamineM
  8. 27K. NakayamaM
  9. 7R. IzumiM
  10. 22Y. KimuraM
  11. 11Y. YamagishiF
Substitutes (9)

33 · T. Kikuchi

19 · H. Koda

58 · T. Koyamatsu

10 · Mateus

14 · T. Morishima

2 · Y. Nogami

41 · M. Ono

3 · Y. Sato

36 · Hiroaki Hagi

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC Tokyo

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
S. Muroya906.7000232
Kim Seung-Gyu906.7000440
F. Yamada00.000000
H. Tanaka00.000000
K. Suzuki00.000000
R. Omori00.000000
T. Nakagawa00.000000
M. Nagakura326.400071
M. Morishige136.500020
H. Ishihara136.500020
K. Hashimoto206.300041
Marcelo Ryan706.2002160
K. Tawaratsumida587.8103140
Kyota Tokiwa907.1002351
T. Ko686.2001310
S. Anzai906.8000322
K. Bangnagande776.9010160
H. Inamura906.8000580
A. Scholz907.3000351
K. Sato776.3001312

Nagoya Grampus

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Y. Yamagishi616.4002100
Hiroaki Hagi00.000000
T. Kikuchi00.000000
H. Koda156.300150
T. Koyamatsu116.200090
Mateus296.600280
T. Morishima156.2000130
Y. Nogami00.000000
M. Ono00.000000
Y. Sato00.000000
Y. Kimura796.0005200
T. Uchida756.5000340
K. Nakayama906.7001330
S. Inagaki906.6000553
T. Takamine907.2001904
R. Izumi756.3000230
S. Tokumoto906.8000550
H. Fujii907.3001904
T. Hara906.7001480
D. Schmidt907.0000620
2027/28 STANDINGS

J1 League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · J-League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Vissel Kobe8611125719
WWWWW
2Kashiwa Reysol86021712518
WWLLW
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima85212061417
WWLWD
4Machida Zelvia852121101117
LDWWD
5FC Tokyo8521148617
WWWDW
6Yokohama F. Marinos8422139414
WDWDL
7Kawasaki Frontale83411612413
DWWLW
8Kashima84131716113
DLLLW
9Fagiano Okayama84131110113
LWWWL
10Urawa84041618-212
WLWWW
11Cerezo Osaka8323712-511
DLDWL
12Shimizu S-pulse831468-210
WWLDL
13Mito Hollyhock8233111109
LLDWD
14Kyoto Sanga82241115-48
WLLDW
15V-varen Nagasaki82241015-58
DWLDL
16Gamba Osaka8134814-66
LLLDD
17Nagoya Grampus8206714-76
LLLLW
18Avispa Fukuoka8116912-34
LLDLL
19Tokyo Verdy8044412-84
LDDLL
20JEF United Chiba8116718-114
LDWLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerFC TokyoDrawNagoya Grampus
William Hill1.504.205.00
Bet3651.534.106.00
Marathonbet1.504.355.60
BetVictor1.504.406.00
Pinnacle1.534.725.87

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 10:41 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →