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Lech Poznan vs Aarhus match centre

Lech Poznan badgeLech PoznanHome
WWWWD
Momentum↘ Falling83/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:3
UK time · Europe/London
Aarhus badgeAarhusAway
WLWLD
Momentum↘ Falling43/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
F. Jagiello95′
T. Bech32′
K. Arnstad55′ (pen)
F. Tingager75′
T. Kristjansson100′
Enea Poznań · PoznanSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Lech PoznanAarhus
13Corner Kicks3
9Fouls14
2Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves8
408Total passes470
321Passes accurate382

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Lech Poznan 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Aarhus 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Lech Poznan

7/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Lech Poznan’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Aarhus

5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Aarhus’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lech Poznan at home with Aarhus away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:24 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

UEFA Champions League · 2026/27 · all league matches

Lech PoznanAarhus
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lech Poznan at home with Aarhus away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Lech Poznan

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Niels Frederiksen
  1. 1M. LisG
  2. 20R. GumnyD
  3. 27W. MonkaD
  4. 59T. YegbeD
  5. 15M. GurgulD
  6. 22R. MurawskiM
  7. 43A. KozubalM
  8. 10P. WalemarkM
  9. 21P. RodriguezM
  10. 77L. PalmaM
  11. 9M. IshakF
Substitutes (11)

41 · B. Mrozek

35 · M. Pruchniewski

4 · J. Moutinho

7 · Y. Agnero

90 · H. Janyszka

24 · F. Jagiello

2 · J. Pereira

17 · A. Sayyadmanesh

11 · D. Hakans

72 · M. Skrzypczak

23 · G. Thordarson

Aarhus

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Jakob Poulsen
  1. 21M. HedenstadG
  2. 40J. Jensen-AbbewD
  3. 5F. TingagerD
  4. 19E. KahlD
  5. 23M. AndersonM
  6. 4M. KnudsenM
  7. 16J. JonssonM
  8. 39F. EmmeryM
  9. 31T. BechF
  10. 10K. ArnstadF
  11. 28J. BogereF
Substitutes (12)

41 · O. Lyhne

42 · M. van der Raad

29 · R. Carstensen

45 · C. Storch

13 · J. Serra

8 · S. Jorgensen

27 · S. Tchamche

22 · O. Haugstrup

46 · H. Sengooba

20 · T. Kristjansson

43 · Z. Grantzau

44 · M. Camara

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Lech Poznan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mateusz Lis1205.6—0—34—
Robert Gumny815.9—0—211
Wojciech Mońka1206.2—0—583
Terry Yegbe1205.9—0—57—
Michal Gurgul1206.2—01512
Radosław Murawski986.6—0—514
Antoni Kozubal1206.3—0—44—
Patrik Wålemark877.9—0220—
Pablo Rodríguez816.5—0113—
Luis Palma686.3—0315—
Mikael Ishak886.5—0214—
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh527.3—01192
Joel Pereira397.3—0—193
Filip Jagiełło397.910116—
Daniel Håkans336.7—0171
Yannick Agnero326.6—0110—
Gisli Thordarson226.3—017—
Mateusz Pruchniewski———————
Bartosz Mrozek———————
João Moutinho———————
Mateusz Skrzypczak———————
Hubert Janyszka———————

Aarhus

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mads Hedenstad1208.5—0—40—
Jonas Jensen-Abbew606.7—0—211
Frederik Tingager1208.9101731
Eric Kahl897.9—1—694
Mikael Anderson976.3—01382
Magnus Knudsen1206.9—0—372
Jens Jønsson706.9—0—28—
Frederik Emmery976.9—0127—
Tobias Bech1207.911127—
Kristian Arnstad1207.2112432
James Bogere706.0—0—9—
Christian Storch606.0—0—301
Rasmus Carstensen506.9—0116—
Stefen Tchamche506.3—0—6—
Mouhammade Camara316.6—0—162
Janni Serra236.6—0—71
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson237.71018—
Marius van der Raad———————
Otto Lyhne———————
Zander Grantzau———————
Hamuza Sengooba———————
Sebastian Jørgensen———————
Oskar Haugstrup———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

UEFA Champions League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · UEFA Champions League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain11006153
W
2Bayern München11005053
W
3Barcelona11005143
W
4Manchester United11004043
W
5Como11004133
W
6VfB Stuttgart11003123
W
7Sporting CP11003123
W
8Manchester City11002023
W
9Aston Villa11003213
W
10Lens11003213
W
11Real Betis11003213
W
12Borussia Dortmund11003213
W
13Liverpool11002113
W
14Real Madrid11002113
W
15Arsenal11001013
W
16AEK Athens FC11001013
W
17AS Roma10101101
D
18Shakhtar Donetsk10101101
D
19PSV Eindhoven10101101
D
20Fenerbahçe10101101
D
21Villarreal100123-10
L
22Lille100123-10
L
23Slavia Praha100123-10
L
24Club Brugge KV100123-10
L
25Inter100112-10
L
26Atletico Madrid100112-10
L
27Napoli100101-10
L
28Lask Linz100101-10
L
29Viking100113-20
L
30Galatasaray100113-20
L
31FC Porto100102-20
L
32RB Leipzig100114-30
L
33Feyenoord100115-40
L
34Sabah FA100104-40
L
35Slovan Bratislava100116-50
L
36Bodo/Glimt100105-50
L
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerLech PoznanDrawAarhus
Bet3651.733.704.33

Snapshot from 28 Jul 2026, 20:25 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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