Aarhus
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Aarhus’s results
SuperligaChampionship Group - 29THE MATCH CENTREAarhus vs FC Midtjylland match centre
81′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
81′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate11.9%Aarhus
Draw77.1%at full time
Current result estimate11.0%FC Midtjylland
Another goal24.4%before full time
Next goal: Aarhus 12.7% · no further goal 75.6% · FC Midtjylland 11.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AarhusFC Midtjylland
0.880Expected goals · API-Football1.540
2Shots on target2
12Total Shots9
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks3
8Fouls14
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
297Total passes229
221Passes accurate169
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Superliga , Championship RoundProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aarhus | 33 | +30 | 68 | — |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 33 | +36 | 61 | — |
| 3 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 32 | +5 | 50 | — |
| 4 |  Brondby | 32 | +9 | 45 | — |
| 5 |  Viborg | 32 | -2 | 44 | — |
| 6 |  Sonderjyske | 32 | -5 | 44 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Aarhus 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC Midtjylland 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC Midtjylland
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FC Midtjylland’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Aarhus
10 matchesResults3 wins · 6 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC NordsjaellandAway · Superliga1–1FC MidtjyllandAway · Superliga1–2FC NordsjaellandHome · Superliga1–1ViborgAway · Superliga2–1BrondbyHome · Superliga0–0SonderjyskeAway · Superliga1–1FC MidtjyllandAway · DBU Pokalen1–1VejleAway · Superliga2–1ViborgHome · Superliga5–2FC FredericiaAway · Superliga1–1
FC Midtjylland
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SonderjyskeAway · Superliga2–1AarhusHome · Superliga2–1BrondbyAway · Superliga2–1SonderjyskeHome · Superliga2–2ViborgAway · Superliga1–1Nottingham ForestHome · UEFA Europa League1–2FC NordsjaellandHome · Superliga0–1Nottingham ForestAway · UEFA Europa League1–0AarhusHome · DBU Pokalen1–1BrondbyHome · Superliga0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Aarhus at home with FC Midtjylland away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:31 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Superliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
AarhusFC Midtjylland
28Matches played28
57Points earned57
16Wins16
1.9Goals scored / match2.4
1.0Goals conceded / match1.1
7Clean sheets8
2Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Aarhus at home with FC Midtjylland away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Aarhus
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Jakob Poulsen
- 1
J. HansenG - 2
F. BeijmoD - 3
H. DalsgaardD - 19
E. KahlD - 11
G. LinksM - 4
M. KnudsenM - 17
K. YakobM - 26
J. AndersenM - 31
T. BechF - 10
K. Arnstad - 13
J. SerraF
Substitutes (9)
21 · M. Hedenstad
9 · P. Mortensen
40 · J. Jensen-Abbew
39 · F. Emmery
6 · N. Poulsen
5 · F. Tingager
14 · T. Molgaard
8 · S. Jorgensen
57 · J. Bogere
FC Midtjylland
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Mike Tullberg
- 16
E. OlafssonG - 4
O. DiaoD - 3
Lee Han-BeomD - 22
M. Bech SorensenD - 43
K. MbabuM - 19
P. BravoM - 8
P. BillingM - 55
V. BakM - 11
D. OsorioF - 58
A. SimsirF - 10
Cho Gue-SungF
Substitutes (9)
1 · J. Lossl
6 · M. Erlic
14 · E. Chilufya
29 · Paulinho
20 · V. Byskov
7 · Franculino
21 · D. Castillo
41 · M. Gogorza
38 · J. Emefile
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Aarhus
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Hansen | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Felix Beijmo | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 3 |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 45 | — |
| Eric Kahl | 89 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 3 |
| Gift Links | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 35 | 5 |
| Magnus Knudsen | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 2 |
| Kevin Yakob | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | — |
| Jacob Andersen | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| Tobias Bech | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Kristian Arnstad | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Janni Serra | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 3 |
| Patrick Mortensen | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Frederik Emmery | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Frederik Tingager | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Mads Hedenstad | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Mølgaard | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Jensen-Abbew | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Jørgensen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolai Poulsen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Bogere | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Midtjylland
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elías Ólafsson | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Ousmane Diao | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Han-Beom Lee | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Mads Bech Sørensen | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 2 |
| Kevin Mbabu | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 5 |
| Pedro Bravo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 3 |
| Philip Billing | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2 |
| Victor Bak Jensen | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 2 |
| Darío Osorio | 58 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Aral Şimşir | 69 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Gue-sung Cho | 58 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 4 | 7 | — |
| Denil Castillo | 32 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Franculino Djú | 32 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Mikel Gogorza | 21 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Jonas Lössl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Erlić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valdemar Byskov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julius Emefile | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edward Chilufya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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