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PremiershipMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian match centre

Falkirk badgeFalkirkHome · 11 in league
LDLLD
Momentum↓ Low14/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Heart Of Midlothian badgeHeart Of MidlothianAway · 3 in league
DWWWW
Momentum↗ Rising90/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Ben krauhaus8′
Owen Eames68′
James wilson22′
Falkirk Stadium · FalkirkSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 15 Sep 15:09 UK.

Odds updated 15 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win3.50Estimated chance 19.5%Pre-match estimate Draw3.60Estimated chance 22.2%Pre-match estimate Away win2.00Estimated chance 58.3%Pre-match estimate Bet365 · Updated 15 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
FalkirkHeart Of Midlothian
3Corner Kicks4
14Fouls12
4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
342Total passes463
262Passes accurate370

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Falkirk 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Heart Of Midlothian 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Falkirk

4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Falkirk’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Falkirk at home with Heart Of Midlothian away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 14:16 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premiership · 2026/27 · all league matches

FalkirkHeart Of Midlothian
5Matches played5
2Points earned12
0Wins4
0.6Goals scored / match2.4
1.4Goals conceded / match1.0
1Clean sheets1
2Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Falkirk at home with Heart Of Midlothian away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Falkirk

0wins
1 draw

Heart Of Midlothian

3wins

Dec 2025 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Falkirk first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Falkirk

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1J. McGlynn
  1. 19S. BainG
  2. 22R. StrainD
  3. 15L. NeilsonD
  4. 5L. HendersonD
  5. 3L. McCannD
  6. 16Finley Frank BarbrookM
  7. 8B. SpencerM
  8. 23E. RossM
  9. 28B. KrauhausM
  10. 42Owen EamesM
  11. 24J. MurrellF
Substitutes (9)

17 · S. Tanser

47 · A. Doherty

99 · C. Fodrey

1 · N. Hogarth

9 · R. MacIver

4 · J. McMillan

21 · D. Meļņiks

7 · Ben Parkinson

10 · C. Sibbald

Heart Of Midlothian

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1W. Vrancken
  1. 1B. ReusG
  2. 23J. AltenaD
  3. 5J. McCartD
  4. 17S. FindlayD
  5. 18H. MilneD
  6. 31Y. DhandaM
  7. 78L. MendyM
  8. 7C. MillerM
  9. 10Cláudio BragaM
  10. 15J. McPakeM
  11. 21J. WilsonF
Substitutes (9)

19 · S. Guendouz

30 · R. Fulton

74 · R. Mato

3 · S. Kingsley

29 · S. Kerjota

11 · P. Kabore

2 · C. Borchgrevink

77 · A. Ba-Sy

9 · J. Williams

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Heart Of Midlothian

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
S. Findlay806.0000650
J. Williams456.300120
R. Mato176.400051
S. Kingsley176.4000180
S. Kerjota176.300060
P. Kabore00.000000
S. Guendouz00.000000
R. Fulton00.000000
C. Borchgrevink106.0000110
J. Wilson457.610290
H. Milne735.7001442
C. Miller735.9001150
L. Mendy905.6000423
J. McPake736.7012152
J. McCart906.1000880
Y. Dhanda906.5001391
Cláudio Braga905.5000270
J. Altena906.1001553
B. Reus905.8000480
A. Ba-Sy00.000000

Falkirk

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
S. Bain906.3000450
R. Strain906.1010336
B. Spencer906.7000450
E. Ross906.3001133
L. Neilson906.7001371
J. Murrell786.4004141
L. McCann906.1000221
B. Krauhaus577.6102133
Owen Eames867.5102183
Finley Frank Barbrook796.2001350
S. Tanser00.000000
A. Doherty00.000000
C. Fodrey335.9001101
N. Hogarth00.000000
R. MacIver126.000080
J. McMillan00.000000
D. Meļņiks46.500030
Ben Parkinson00.000000
C. Sibbald116.600060
L. Henderson907.5001443
2026/27 STANDINGS

Premiership table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Celtic76011441018
LWWWW
2Rangers751184416
WWWWW
3Heart Of Midlothian7412148613
DLWWW
4Dundee731397210
WLDLW
5ST Mirren731389-110
LLLWD
6ST Johnstone7223910-18
DLWDL
7Aberdeen722378-18
DWDLL
8Dundee Utd7223911-28
WDLWL
9Motherwell7223911-28
LLLWD
10Hibernian7214811-37
DLLLW
11Falkirk713369-36
DWDLL
12Kilmarnock7124615-95
DWDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerFalkirkDrawHeart Of Midlothian
William Hill3.503.401.91
Bet3653.503.602.00
Marathonbet3.603.541.94
Betfair3.753.601.95
BetVictor3.503.701.95

Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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