Motherwell
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Motherwell’s results
PremiershipMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTREMotherwell vs Aberdeen match centre
Full time
0:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Gavin Molloy38′
Connor Patrick Ronan46′
Ayoub Mouloua76′
Kevin Nisbet87′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 15 Sep 15:09 UK.
Odds updated 15 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MotherwellAberdeen
0.770Expected goals · API-Football0.910
5Shots on target4
11Total Shots11
69%Ball Possession31%
4Corner Kicks2
7Fouls12
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
677Total passes305
594Passes accurate227
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Motherwell 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Aberdeen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Aberdeen
5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Aberdeen’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Motherwell
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
RangersAway · Premiership0–1Dundee UtdHome · Premiership3–0ST MirrenAway · Premiership3–3SC FreiburgAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–4SC FreiburgHome · UEFA Europa Conference League1–3StenhousemuirAway · League Cup0–0HJK HelsinkiHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–0HJK HelsinkiAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1HibernianAway · Premiership2–1HB TorshavnAway · UEFA Europa Conference League3–0
Aberdeen
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
KilmarnockAway · League Cup1–1KilmarnockHome · Premiership0–0CelticAway · Premiership0–3RangersHome · Premiership0–1DundeeHome · League Cup3–0DundeeAway · Premiership0–2Heart Of MidlothianHome · Premiership2–1Kelty HeartsHome · League Cup3–0Queen of the SouthAway · League Cup4–1Queen's ParkHome · League Cup2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Motherwell at home with Aberdeen away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:49 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premiership · 2026/27 · all league matches
MotherwellAberdeen
5Matches played5
8Points earned4
2Wins1
1.6Goals scored / match0.4
1.0Goals conceded / match1.4
2Clean sheets1
2Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Motherwell at home with Aberdeen away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Motherwell
2wins4MEETINGS
Aberdeen
1winsSep 2025 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Motherwell first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Motherwell
Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Alfred Johansson
- 1
A. PaulsenG - 7
T. SparrowD - 3
J. Girdwood-ReichD - 5
M. MoormannD - 45
M. EmmanuelD - 8
L. FadingerM - 71
J. HodgeM - 18
Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM - 11
A. LowryM - 13
J. KangaF - 17
R. Charles-CookF
Substitutes (9)
21 · M. Connelly
63 · D. Levitt
2 · S. O'Donnell
47 · S. Palmer-Houlden
19 · I. Said
15 · E. Björgólfsson
77 · W. Vogt
20 · Dylan Williams
4 · Jamie Knight-Lebel
Aberdeen
Confirmed formation5-3-2S. Robinson
- 27
M. MüllerG - 28
C. CaddenD - 23
L. MayoD - 5
M. KnoesterD - 21
G. MolloyD - 24
N. Guinness-WalkerD - 25
C. RonanM - 32
A. AremuM - 40
F. MarshallM - 20
T. OlusanyaF - 15
K. NisbetF
Substitutes (9)
10 · A. Briedl
26 · D. Happe
30 · D. Klein
22 · J. Milne
9 · A. Mouloua
31 · M. Ntelo
11 · Lewis Smith
17 · S. Armstrong
7 · Tony Yogane
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Motherwell
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Connelly | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Paulsen | 90 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
| T. Sparrow | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 2 |
| J. Girdwood-Reich | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 | 0 |
| M. Moormann | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 3 |
| M. Emmanuel | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 52 | 0 |
| L. Fadinger | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 1 |
| J. Hodge | 68 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 2 |
| J. Kanga | 53 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| A. Lowry | 75 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 56 | 2 |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | 53 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
| R. Charles-Cook | 67 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
| Dylan Williams | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| W. Vogt | 23 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| E. Björgólfsson | 15 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| I. Said | 37 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 0 |
| S. Palmer-Houlden | 37 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| S. O'Donnell | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Levitt | 22 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 0 |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Aberdeen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Yogane | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Armstrong | 18 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| A. Briedl | 26 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| D. Happe | 12 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| D. Klein | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Milne | 44 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| A. Mouloua | 18 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| M. Ntelo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lewis Smith | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Müller | 90 | 7.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
| C. Cadden | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
| L. Mayo | 46 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 |
| G. Molloy | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 2 |
| M. Knoester | 78 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 3 |
| N. Guinness-Walker | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 3 |
| A. Aremu | 64 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 3 |
| F. Marshall | 72 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 |
| C. Ronan | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 2 |
| T. Olusanya | 72 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| K. Nisbet | 90 | 8.4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premiership table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | WLDLW |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | LLLWD |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DLWDL |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 | DWDLL |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 9 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | DWDLL |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 | DWDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.10 |
Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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