Brighton
6/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Brighton’s results
Premier LeagueMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTREBrighton vs Leeds match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Vuskovic71′
J. Bogle15′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
BrightonLeeds
2.190Expected goals · API-Football2.490
5Shots on target5
20Total Shots10
67%Ball Possession33%
7Corner Kicks6
13Fouls16
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
522Total passes252
437Passes accurate171
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Brighton 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Leeds 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Leeds
6/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Leeds’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Brighton
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ChelseaAway · Premier League3–4TromsoHome · UEFA Europa Conference League4–0Aston VillaHome · Premier League4–0TromsoAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0BolognaHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0AS RomaHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0StrasbourgHome · Friendlies Clubs4–3Manchester UnitedHome · Premier League0–3LeedsAway · Premier League0–1WolvesHome · Premier League3–0
Leeds
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BrentfordHome · Premier League1–1Nottingham ForestAway · League Cup2–0Nottingham ForestAway · Premier League1–0FC AugsburgHome · Friendlies Clubs4–0Manchester UnitedAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1RB LeipzigHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0LiverpoolAway · Premier League - Summer Series4–2SunderlandAway · Premier League - Summer Series1–0WrexhamAway · Premier League - Summer Series2–3West HamAway · Premier League0–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Brighton at home with Leeds away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:06 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
BrightonLeeds
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Brighton at home with Leeds away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Brighton
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Fabian Hurzeler
- 1
B. VerbruggenG - 24
F. KadiogluD - 44
L. VuskovicD - 5
L. DunkD - 21
O. BoscagliD - 13
P. GrossM - 26
Y. AyariM - 25
D. GomezM - 35
M. YalcouyeM - 29
M. De CuyperM - 19
C. KostoulasF
Substitutes (9)
23 · J. Steele
20 · Costinha
3 · J. Hadjam
4 · P. Struijk
33 · M. O'Riley
14 · C. Andres
12 · P. David
49 · N. Oriola
15 · I. Osman
Leeds
Confirmed formation3-5-2Daniel Farke
- 1
J. TraffordG - 24
J. JustinD - 30
N. ElvediD - 5
T. MuharemovicD - 2
J. BogleM - 18
A. StachM - 4
E. AmpaduM - 22
A. TanakaM - 3
G. GudmundssonM - 9
D. Calvert-LewinF - 19
N. OkaforF
Substitutes (9)
16 · M. Zetterer
15 · J. Bijol
26 · M. Bard
7 · D. James
10 · H. Wilson
23 · J. Bahoya
8 · S. Longstaff
11 · B. Aaronson
14 · L. Nmecha
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Brighton
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bart Verbruggen | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 43 | — |
| Ferdi Kadıoğlu | 78 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Luka Vušković | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 2 |
| Lewis Dunk | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 83 | — |
| Olivier Boscagli | 89 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 64 | — |
| Pascal Groß | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 4 | 54 | — |
| Yasin Ayari | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 58 | — |
| Diego Gómez | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 31 | 3 |
| Malick Yalcouyé | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | — |
| Maxim De Cuyper | 77 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Charalampos Kostoulas | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Promise David | 13 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | — | — |
| Costinha | 12 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Pascal Struijk | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Jason Steele | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaouen Hadjam | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chema Andrés | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Osman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matt O'Riley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nehemiah Oriola | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Leeds
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Trafford | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| James Justin | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 |
| Nico Elvedi | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Tarik Muharemović | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Jayden Bogle | 61 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Anton Stach | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
| Ethan Ampadu | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 4 |
| Ao Tanaka | 73 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 2 |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 3 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 73 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | — |
| Noah Okafor | 62 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Jaka Bijol | 29 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 2 |
| Brenden Aaronson | 28 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Harry Wilson | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Lukas Nmecha | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Michael Zetterer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Melvin Bard | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Longstaff | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel James | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean-Mattéo Bahoya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | LDDWW |
| 9 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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