Bournemouth vs Liverpool match centre
Our view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 12:12 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
The match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Team news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bournemouth 4 reported
Liverpool 5 reported
Fetched 20 Sep, 10:08 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
Your match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bournemouth
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Bournemouth’s resultsLiverpool
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Liverpool’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bournemouth
10 matchesPast results, not predictions.
See results
Liverpool
10 matchesPast results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bournemouth at home with Liverpool away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:58 UK.
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bournemouth at home with Liverpool away. Small samples can be misleading.
Head-to-head

Bournemouth
1wins
Liverpool
4winsJan 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Lineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bournemouth
- 1
Đ. PetrovićG - 15
A. SmithD - 5
J. HillD - 14
António SilvaD - 3
A. TruffertD - 12
T. AdamsM - 8
A. ScottM - 37
RayanM - 10
R. ChristieM - 16
M. TavernierM - 9
EvanilsonF
Substitutes (9)
29 · D. Jebbison
27 · A. Tóth
24 · Juanlu Sánchez
11 · B. Doak
7 · D. Brooks
4 · L. Cook
18 · B. Diakité
6 · J. Soler
20 · M. Di Gregorio
Liverpool
- 1
Alisson BeckerG - 33
R. AraújoD - 4
V. van DijkD - 5
J. JacquetD - 6
M. KerkezD - 10
A. Mac AllisterM - 8
D. SzoboszlaiM - 29
B. BarcolaM - 7
F. WirtzM - 18
C. GakpoM - 9
A. IsakF
Substitutes (9)
73 · R. Ngumoha
67 · L. Koumas
23 · Víctor Muñoz
42 · T. Nyoni
38 · R. Gravenberch
30 · J. Frimpong
21 · K. Tsimikas
2 · J. Gomez
25 · G. Mamardashvili
Player statistics
Liverpool
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alisson Becker | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 |
| A. Isak | 81 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
| B. Barcola | 72 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 |
| F. Wirtz | 71 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 3 |
| C. Gakpo | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 2 |
| A. Mac Allister | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 2 |
| D. Szoboszlai | 81 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 2 |
| M. Kerkez | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 1 |
| V. van Dijk | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 0 |
| J. Jacquet | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 3 |
| R. Araújo | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 2 |
| R. Ngumoha | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Koumas | 9 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Víctor Muñoz | 18 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| T. Nyoni | 19 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| R. Gravenberch | 9 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| J. Frimpong | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Tsimikas | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Gomez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Mamardashvili | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Bournemouth
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Đ. Petrović | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| Evanilson | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 2 |
| M. Tavernier | 75 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 3 |
| A. Scott | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 53 | 0 |
| Rayan | 88 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 |
| R. Christie | 75 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 0 |
| T. Adams | 88 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 2 |
| A. Truffert | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 2 |
| António Silva | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 2 |
| J. Hill | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 4 |
| A. Smith | 75 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| D. Jebbison | 15 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| A. Tóth | 2 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Juanlu Sánchez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Doak | 2 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| D. Brooks | 15 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
| L. Cook | 15 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| B. Diakité | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Soler | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Di Gregorio | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WDDDW | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | LDDWW | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDWD | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDLWW | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | LWDDL | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLDWL | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL | |
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | WLDLL | |
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LDDDL | |
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL | |
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL | |
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
Match-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Bournemouth | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 3.05 | 3.78 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.15 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 13:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
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