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Bournemouth vs Liverpool match centre

Bournemouth badgeBournemouthHome · 17 in league
DDWDW
Momentum→ Steady64/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Liverpool badgeLiverpoolAway · 6 in league
DWWDW
Momentum↑ Strong75/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Alexander Isak57′
Vitality Stadium · BournemouthSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 12:12 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win3.00Our model 40.6%Market 31.8% Draw3.70Our model 25.7%Market 25.8% Away win2.25Our model 33.7%Market 42.4% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
BournemouthLiverpool
2Corner Kicks3
9Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
344Total passes451
267Passes accurate368

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Bournemouth 4 reported

A. AdliCalf Injury
Reported out
J. AraujoThigh Injury
Reported out
E. J. KroupiFoot Injury
Reported out
V. MilosavljevicInjury
Doubtful

Liverpool 5 reported

C. BradleyKnee Injury
Reported out
F. ChiesaBack Injury
Reported out
H. EkitikeAchilles Tendon Injury
Reported out
G. LeoniKnee Injury
Reported out
I. MabayaInjury
Doubtful

Fetched 20 Sep, 10:08 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Bournemouth

4/10Wins
3.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Bournemouth’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Liverpool

4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Liverpool’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bournemouth at home with Liverpool away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:58 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches

BournemouthLiverpool
4Matches played4
3Points earned6
0Wins1
1.5Goals scored / match1.5
1.8Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets2
0Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bournemouth at home with Liverpool away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Bournemouth

1wins
0 draws

Liverpool

4wins

Jan 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Bournemouth

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1M. Rose
  1. 1Đ. PetrovićG
  2. 15A. SmithD
  3. 5J. HillD
  4. 14António SilvaD
  5. 3A. TruffertD
  6. 12T. AdamsM
  7. 8A. ScottM
  8. 37RayanM
  9. 10R. ChristieM
  10. 16M. TavernierM
  11. 9EvanilsonF
Substitutes (9)

29 · D. Jebbison

27 · A. Tóth

24 · Juanlu Sánchez

11 · B. Doak

7 · D. Brooks

4 · L. Cook

18 · B. Diakité

6 · J. Soler

20 · M. Di Gregorio

Liverpool

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Andoni Iraola
  1. 1Alisson BeckerG
  2. 33R. AraújoD
  3. 4V. van DijkD
  4. 5J. JacquetD
  5. 6M. KerkezD
  6. 10A. Mac AllisterM
  7. 8D. SzoboszlaiM
  8. 29B. BarcolaM
  9. 7F. WirtzM
  10. 18C. GakpoM
  11. 9A. IsakF
Substitutes (9)

73 · R. Ngumoha

67 · L. Koumas

23 · Víctor Muñoz

42 · T. Nyoni

38 · R. Gravenberch

30 · J. Frimpong

21 · K. Tsimikas

2 · J. Gomez

25 · G. Mamardashvili

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Liverpool

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Alisson Becker907.1000400
A. Isak817.6103150
B. Barcola726.3001170
F. Wirtz716.6002373
C. Gakpo906.8002262
A. Mac Allister906.5000492
D. Szoboszlai816.5002382
M. Kerkez906.3001371
V. van Dijk907.3000790
J. Jacquet907.1000613
R. Araújo906.6000472
R. Ngumoha00.000000
L. Koumas96.400110
Víctor Muñoz186.700091
T. Nyoni196.7000110
R. Gravenberch96.200060
J. Frimpong00.000000
K. Tsimikas00.000000
J. Gomez00.000000
G. Mamardashvili00.000000

Bournemouth

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Đ. Petrović906.3000220
Evanilson906.3002242
M. Tavernier756.2000243
A. Scott906.6002530
Rayan886.4000162
R. Christie756.0004260
T. Adams886.5000462
A. Truffert906.2001382
António Silva906.7000532
J. Hill906.6000354
A. Smith755.9000150
D. Jebbison156.100030
A. Tóth25.800010
Juanlu Sánchez00.000000
B. Doak26.700030
D. Brooks156.4000140
L. Cook155.9000100
B. Diakité00.000000
J. Soler00.000000
M. Di Gregorio00.000000
2026/27 STANDINGS

Premier League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Manchester City5500135815
WWWWW
2Arsenal540184412
LWWWW
3Brighton53111651110
WWDLW
4Brentford523010469
WDDDW
5Leeds52307349
DWDDW
6Liverpool52307439
WDWDD
7Everton52306339
WDDDW
8Hull City52216428
LDDWW
9Newcastle52219908
WLDWD
10Chelsea52121012-27
LDLWW
11Ipswich5203711-46
LWLLW
12Manchester United51228805
DLDWL
13Nottingham Forest512245-15
LWDDL
14Sunderland5113610-44
LLDWL
15Crystal Palace5113611-54
DLWLL
16Aston Villa511349-54
WLDLL
17Bournemouth503268-23
LDDDL
18Coventry5104110-93
WLLLL
19Fulham502358-32
DDLLL
20Tottenham502328-62
LDDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerBournemouthDrawLiverpool
William Hill3.003.602.20
Bet3653.003.702.25
Marathonbet3.053.782.22
Betfair3.103.702.20
BetVictor3.003.902.15

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 13:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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