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ChampionshipMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Middlesbrough vs West Brom match centre

Middlesbrough badgeMiddlesbroughHome · 3 in league
DWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling68/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
West Brom badgeWest BromAway · 5 in league
WWWWL
Momentum↘ Falling74/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
W. Lankshear48′
W. Lankshear73′
A. Jones87′
J. Morgan65′
Riverside Stadium · MiddlesbroughSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
MiddlesbroughWest Brom
7Corner Kicks6
15Fouls6
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
518Total passes583
458Passes accurate519

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Middlesbrough 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

West Brom 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Middlesbrough

4/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Middlesbrough’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

West Brom

7/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect West Brom’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Middlesbrough at home with West Brom away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:34 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches

MiddlesbroughWest Brom
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Middlesbrough at home with West Brom away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Middlesbrough

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Kim Hellberg
  1. 1R. VitekG
  2. 2C. BrittainD
  3. 12L. AylingD
  4. 29A. MalandaD
  5. 30Neto BorgesD
  6. 10A. MorrisM
  7. 14M. Peart-HarrisM
  8. 11M. WhittakerM
  9. 8R. McGreeM
  10. 16J. SarmientoM
  11. 7W. LankshearF
Substitutes (9)

31 · S. Brynn

5 · A. Jones

4 · A. Phillips

6 · S. Berhalter

19 · L. Castledine

9 · T. Conway

13 · D. Strelec

22 · K. Joseph

17 · M. Arfsten

West Brom

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1M. O'LearyG
  2. 25N. GalvesD
  3. 3N. PhillipsD
  4. 6G. CampbellD
  5. 4C. StylesD
  6. 29H. WhitwellM
  7. 8J. MolumbyM
  8. 17O. DiakiteM
  9. 21I. PriceM
  10. 7F. MyhreF
  11. 11J. MorganF
Substitutes (9)

13 · M. Ingram

28 · A. Williams

22 · C. Townsend

2 · C. Mepham

20 · R. Nzingoula

19 · A. Heggebo

23 · T. Bany

26 · K. Tunde

9 · B. Stewart

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Middlesbrough

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Radek Vitek907.0—0—24—
Callum Brittain906.9—01424
Luke Ayling907.3—11711
Adilson Malanda907.3—0—792
Neto Borges907.5—0—57—
Aidan Morris906.9—0—751
Myles Peart-Harris456.6—0—291
Morgan Whittaker696.6—01242
Riley McGree696.3—0229—
Jeremy Sarmiento406.9—0—102
Will Lankshear867.620210—
Maximilian Arfsten506.7—0—193
Sebastian Berhalter457.2—01201
Alfie Jones217.310122—
Kyle Joseph216.3—026—
Tommy Conway96.6—0—11
Solomon Brynn———————
Ashley Phillips———————
Leo Castledine———————
David Strelec———————

West Brom

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Max O'Leary906.2—0—49—
Nolan Galves906.2—0—323
Nathaniel Phillips906.9—0—642
George Campbell907.2—0—992
Callum Styles905.9—0—651
Harry Whitwell706.5—0—232
Jayson Molumby776.6—0—65—
Ousmane Diakité906.6—0—611
Isaac Price906.3—1263—
Felix Horn Myhre776.3—0114—
Jimmy Morgan867.010129—
Rabby Nzingoula206.6—0181
Kareem Tunde136.9—013—
Aune Selland Heggebø136.3—0—4—
Barney Stewart96.3—0—4—
Matt Ingram———————
Alex Williams———————
Chris Mepham———————
Conor Townsend———————
Tammer Bany———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Championship table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Swansea8521136717
WWLDW
2West Ham843122111115
DWWWW
3Middlesbrough84311612415
DDWWD
4Wolves74211510514
WWDLW
5West Brom8422108214
LDWWD
6QPR8341107313
DDDLW
7Stoke City84131312113
WWDWW
8Bristol City84131112-113
WLLWW
9Charlton8332710-312
LDDLD
10Birmingham82511211111
DWLDD
11Millwall83231515011
DDLWL
12Lincoln832378-111
LWWDD
13Southampton84221910910
LWWDD
14Wrexham8242912-310
WLDDW
15Bolton83141115-410
WWLLL
16Blackburn8233121209
DWLLD
17Norwich83051617-19
LLWWL
18Sheffield Utd8233911-29
LLWLW
19Portsmouth7223910-18
DDWLL
20Watford8224710-38
LLWLL
21Cardiff81431012-27
WLDLL
22Derby8125714-75
DLLLW
23Preston8116815-74
DLLWL
24Burnley8044917-84
DLDLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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