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League TwoMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTRE

Colchester vs Cheltenham match centre

Colchester badgeColchesterHome · 15 in league
WWLLD
Momentum↘ Falling40/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Cheltenham badgeCheltenhamAway · 2 in league
LDWDW
Momentum↗ Rising59/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Moses Sesay66′
Andreas Weimann78′ (pen)
Colchester Community Stadium · ColchesterSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 09:52 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 11:12 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.00Our model 39.3%Market 46.7% Draw3.50Our model 24.4%Market 26.7% Away win3.50Our model 36.3%Market 26.7% Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 11:12 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
ColchesterCheltenham
3Corner Kicks9
14Fouls13
3Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
369Total passes443
285Passes accurate363

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Colchester 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Cheltenham 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 21:32 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Colchester

2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Colchester’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Cheltenham

4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Cheltenham’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Colchester at home with Cheltenham away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 08:21 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League Two · 2026/27 · all league matches

ColchesterCheltenham
7Matches played7
9Points earned12
2Wins3
1.1Goals scored / match2.0
1.4Goals conceded / match1.6
1Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Colchester at home with Cheltenham away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Colchester

3wins
0 draws

Cheltenham

1wins

Jan 2025 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Colchester first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Colchester

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1D. Cowley
  1. 22T. Lo-TutalaG
  2. 2R. HuntD
  3. 5J. TuckerD
  4. 20S. RaggettD
  5. 3E. IandoloD
  6. 12M. SesayM
  7. 26J. WilliamsM
  8. 27O. ThornM
  9. 10J. PayneM
  10. 7H. AndersonM
  11. 14K. KouassiF
Substitutes (7)

11 · L. Chiwome

6 · P. Digby

9 · B. Ihionvien

44 · S. Kuffour

1 · T. Smith

24 · F. Terry

17 · Jaden Williams

Cheltenham

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1S. Cotterill
  1. 23W. StanwayG
  2. 3J. TomkinsonD
  3. 5R. CundyD
  4. 25P. SweeneyD
  5. 4J. TomlinsonD
  6. 17S. McWilliamsM
  7. 7B. StevensonM
  8. 19J. EvansM
  9. 8C. McCannM
  10. 26J. ShipleyM
  11. 18A. WeimannF
Substitutes (7)

14 · R. Broom

1 · J. Day

10 · G. Miller

21 · G. Nurse

33 · F. Willcox

6 · J. Wilson

9 · K. Otchere

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Colchester

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
H. Anderson896.3001152
T. Lo-Tutala906.3000310
Jaden Williams145.900110
F. Terry00.000000
T. Smith00.000000
S. Kuffour00.000000
B. Ihionvien00.000000
P. Digby00.000000
L. Chiwome16.500010
J. Williams906.5000363
O. Thorn696.3000173
M. Sesay908.2104363
S. Raggett906.9000440
J. Payne906.1001314
K. Kouassi906.4001130
E. Iandolo906.9010403
R. Hunt906.6000480
J. Tucker906.7000561

Cheltenham

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
J. Tomlinson906.7001522
A. Weimann897.510180
R. Broom166.200130
J. Day00.000000
G. Miller00.000000
G. Nurse00.000000
F. Willcox166.4000101
J. Wilson00.000000
J. Tomkinson906.4000412
P. Sweeney906.8000522
B. Stevenson906.5001532
J. Shipley906.3002332
S. McWilliams746.1000456
C. McCann906.6003292
R. Cundy907.1000522
W. Stanway906.3000420
K. Otchere16.500010
J. Evans745.9003221
2026/27 STANDINGS

League Two table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League Two. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barnet74301710715
WWDDD
2Cheltenham84311612415
WDWDW
3Bristol Rovers85031311215
WLLWW
4York84221610614
WLWDL
5Walsall8350115614
DWDDD
6Grimsby8341128413
LWWDD
7Salford City84131210213
WWDWW
8Gillingham8332119212
LWWWD
9Crewe826086212
DDDDD
10Tranmere8251108211
DDLWD
11Chesterfield83231110111
LWWDD
12Swindon Town8323912-311
DLLWW
13Rotherham82421111010
DWDLD
14Fleetwood Town824299010
LLDWD
15Colchester82421012-210
DDDLL
16Rochdale8314911-210
WWDLW
17Newport County8233121209
WDDLL
18Shrewsbury8224713-68
DDWLL
19Accrington ST81431114-37
DDLWD
20Oldham8215913-47
LLLLD
21Exeter City813446-26
LDLDD
22Northampton713336-36
LLWDD
23Port Vale712439-65
LWLLD
24Crawley Town7115613-74
LLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerColchesterDrawCheltenham
William Hill2.053.303.30
Bet3652.003.503.50
Marathonbet1.993.443.42
BetVictor2.003.603.40
Pinnacle2.083.543.49

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 11:12 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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