Grimsby
4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Grimsby’s results
League TwoMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTREGrimsby vs Crawley Town match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Iwan Morgan30′ (pen)
Kieran Green42′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 09:52 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 11:12 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
GrimsbyCrawley Town
4.030Expected goals · API-Football1.050
9Shots on target1
20Total Shots13
44%Ball Possession56%
9Corner Kicks6
17Fouls13
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves7
275Total passes361
191Passes accurate263
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Grimsby 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Crawley Town 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 18 Sep, 21:30 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Crawley Town
2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Crawley Town’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Grimsby
10 matchesResults4 wins · 5 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Bristol RoversHome · League Two2–0CheltenhamAway · League Two2–2Accrington STAway · League Two2–2Fleetwood TownHome · League Two2–2WalsallAway · League Two0–0Exeter CityHome · League Two1–0BlackpoolHome · League Cup1–3Grimsby BoroughHome · Friendlies Clubs3–2WiganHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0Boston UnitedAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0
Crawley Town
10 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CheltenhamHome · League Two1–3Accrington STAway · League Two2–3NorthamptonAway · League Two1–1Bristol RoversHome · League Two0–2RochdaleAway · League Two2–1CreweHome · League Two0–1WatfordAway · League Cup0–1YorkAway · League Cup2–0ReadingHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1Oxford UnitedAway · Friendlies Clubs1–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Grimsby at home with Crawley Town away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 08:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League Two · 2026/27 · all league matches
GrimsbyCrawley Town
7Matches played7
13Points earned4
3Wins1
1.6Goals scored / match0.9
0.9Goals conceded / match1.9
4Clean sheets0
1Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Grimsby at home with Crawley Town away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Grimsby
2wins4MEETINGS
Crawley Town
2winsSep 2023 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Grimsby first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Grimsby
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1D. Artell
- 31
C. PymG - 5
H. RodgersD - 2
M. KacurriD - 17
C. McJannetD - 3
J. SweeneyD - 15
G. TuriM - 28
F. CartwrightM - 4
K. GreenM - 29
M. SheltonM - 30
C. VernamM - 9
Iwan MorganF
Substitutes (7)
7 · J. Walker
11 · Ryley Reynolds
26 · E. Pruti
41 · S. Auton
12 · J. Foulkes
10 · S. Finch
8 · Cian Doyle
Crawley Town
Confirmed formation4-4-2Colin Kazım-Richards
- 13
N. MichalskiG - 2
K. GordonD - 6
P. FarquharsonD - 24
A. OdimayoD - 16
J. RussellD - 22
A. AdeyemoM - 20
J. ArthursM - 35
Ty Ewens-FindlayM - 17
Osman KamaraM - 27Dylan MorganF
- 9
D. OrsiF
Substitutes (7)
11 · P. Aderoju
5 · C. Barker
31 · J. Izquierdo
7 · M. Ebiowei
28 · Nathan Tinsdale
8 · L. Watson
19 · D. Pereira
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Grimsby
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Auton | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cian Doyle | 1 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| S. Finch | 20 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| J. Foulkes | 1 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| C. Pym | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
| H. Rodgers | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| M. Kacurri | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 3 |
| C. McJannet | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 2 |
| J. Sweeney | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 0 |
| G. Turi | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 4 |
| F. Cartwright | 70 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 |
| K. Green | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 1 |
| M. Shelton | 54 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| C. Vernam | 89 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
| Iwan Morgan | 70 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| J. Walker | 36 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 |
| Ryley Reynolds | 20 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| E. Pruti | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Crawley Town
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Watson | 22 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| Nathan Tinsdale | 5 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Ebiowei | 5 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| D. Pereira | 22 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| J. Izquierdo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Barker | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Aderoju | 34 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| N. Michalski | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 |
| A. Odimayo | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 1 |
| P. Farquharson | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 2 |
| Ty Ewens-Findlay | 68 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| A. Adeyemo | 68 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 |
| K. Gordon | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 0 |
| J. Arthurs | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 5 |
| J. Russell | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 2 |
| Osman Kamara | 56 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| Dylan Morgan | 85 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1 |
| D. Orsi | 85 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗League Two table
Current standings · League Two. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 15 | WWDDD |
| 2 |  Cheltenham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  Bristol Rovers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 4 |  York | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 14 | WLWDL |
| 5 |  Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | DWDDD |
| 6 | Grimsby | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 13 | LWWDD |
| 7 |  Salford City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 12 | LWWWD |
| 9 |  Crewe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 | DDDDD |
| 10 |  Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 | DDLWD |
| 11 |  Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 | LWWDD |
| 12 |  Swindon Town | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 | DLLWW |
| 13 |  Rotherham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | DWDLD |
| 14 |  Fleetwood Town | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 15 |  Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | DDDLL |
| 16 |  Rochdale | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 17 |  Newport County | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | WDDLL |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 19 |  Accrington ST | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 7 | DDLWD |
| 20 |  Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 | LLLLD |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 | LDLDD |
| 22 |  Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 | LLWDD |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 | LWLLD |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LLLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Grimsby | Draw | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 4.85 | 6.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 5.28 | 7.35 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 11:12 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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