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World CupRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRE

Canada vs Morocco match centre

Canada badgeCanadaHome · 2 in league
DDWLW
Momentum→ Steady56/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:3
UK time · Europe/London
Morocco badgeMoroccoAway
DDWWD
Momentum→ Steady62/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Ounahi50′
A. Ounahi82′
S. Rahimi90+8′
NRG Stadium · HoustonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
CanadaMorocco
11Corner Kicks1
24Fouls14
4Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Canada 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Morocco 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Canada

5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Canada’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Morocco

4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Morocco’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Canada at home with Morocco away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:10 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

CanadaMorocco
4Matches played4
7Points earned10
2Wins3
2.3Goals scored / match2.0
0.8Goals conceded / match1.0
2Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Canada at home with Morocco away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Canada

Confirmed formation4-4-2Jesse Marsch
  1. 16M. CrepeauG
  2. 2A. JohnstonD
  3. 15M. BombitoD
  4. 4L. De FougerollesD
  5. 22R. LaryeaD
  6. 17T. BuchananM
  7. 23N. SigurM
  8. 7S. EustaquioM
  9. 20A. AhmedM
  10. 10J. DavidF
  11. 12T. OluwaseyiF
Substitutes (14)

1 · D. St.Clair

18 · O. Goodman

9 · C. Larin

5 · J. Waterman

19 · A. Davies

13 · D. Cornelius

14 · J. Shaffelburg

26 · J. Nelson

21 · J. Osorio

3 · A. Jones

11 · L. Millar

6 · M. Choiniere

25 · N. Saliba

24 · P. David

Morocco

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mohamed Ouahbi
  1. 1BonoG
  2. 2A. HakimiD
  3. 14I. DiopD
  4. 25R. HalhalD
  5. 3N. MazraouiD
  6. 6A. BouaddiM
  7. 24N. El AynaouiM
  8. 10B. DiazM
  9. 8A. OunahiM
  10. 23B. El KhannoussM
  11. 11I. SaibariF
Substitutes (15)

22 · A. Tagnaouti

12 · Munir

4 · S. Amrabat

20 · A. El Kaabi

19 · Y. Belammari

17 · A. Sbai

7 · C. Talbi

15 · S. El Mourabet

16 · G. Yassine

5 · M. Saadane

9 · S. Rahimi

26 · A. Salah-Eddine

18 · C. Riad

21 · A. Amaimouni

13 · Z. El Ouahdi

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Canada

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Maxime Crépeau905.9—0—22—
Alistair Johnston906.0—01341
Moise Bombito905.3—0—46—
Luc De Fougerolles905.6—0148—
Richie Laryea786.7—0—211
Tajon Buchanan875.9—01151
Niko Sigur876.9—0—331
Stephen Eustaquio907.5—0—644
Ali Ahmed786.9—0—134
Jonathan David906.5—02243
Tani Oluwaseyi637.3—0293
Cyle Larin276.3—0—4—
Jacob Shaffelburg126.9—0—7—
Promise David126.5—0—5—
Jonathan Osorio136.3—0—5—
Jayden Nelson136.6—017—
Owen Goodman———————
Dayne St. Clair———————
Joel Waterman———————
Alphonso Davies———————
Alfie Jones———————
Derek Cornelius———————
Mathieu Choinière———————
Nathan-Dylan Saliba———————
Liam Millar———————

Morocco

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Yassine Bounou907.6—0—40—
Achraf Hakimi907.2—1—562
Issa Diop877.3—0—75—
Redouane Halhal906.9—0—66—
Noussair Mazraoui907.9—0—362
Ayyoub Bouaddi637.0—0—321
Neil El Aynaoui906.7—0—55—
Brahim Díaz907.3—2—191
Azzedine Ounahi879.220242—
Bilal El Khannouss636.5—0—182
Ismael Saibari226.3—0—1—
Soufiane Rahimi687.2103102
Sofyan Amrabat276.2—0—11—
Chemsdine Talbi276.9—0—72
Marwane Saadane136.9—0—1—
Samir El Mourabet136.7—0—3—
Munir El Kajoui———————
Ahmed Reda Tagnaouti———————
Anass Salah-Eddine———————
Zakaria El Ouahdi———————
Youssef Belammari———————
Chadi Riad———————
Amine Sbai———————
Gessime Yassine———————
Ayoub El Kaabi———————
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

World Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Switzerland32107347
LWWWW
2Canada31118354
LWLWD
3Bosnia & Herzegovina311156-14
LWLD
4Qatar3012210-81
LLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerCanadaDrawMorocco
Bet3655.253.401.75

Snapshot from 4 Jul 2026, 08:02 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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