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AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid match centre

AD Ceuta FC badgeAD Ceuta FCHome · 21 in league
LLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Valladolid badgeValladolidAway · 16 in league
LDWL
Momentum↗ Rising35/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Carlos Hernández90+11′
Juan Miguel Latasa53′
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube · CeutaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 13:28 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 14:46 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win3.10Our model 33.1%Market 30.4% Draw3.20Our model 26.3%Market 29.5% Away win2.35Our model 40.7%Market 40.1% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 14:46 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AD Ceuta FCValladolid
3Corner Kicks3
15Fouls16
1Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
307Total passes392
235Passes accurate315

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

AD Ceuta FC 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Valladolid 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 10:04 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

AD Ceuta FC

3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect AD Ceuta FC’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Valladolid

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Valladolid’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AD Ceuta FC at home with Valladolid away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:22 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Segunda División · 2026/27 · all league matches

AD Ceuta FCValladolid
5Matches played5
0Points earned4
0Wins1
0.4Goals scored / match0.4
3.0Goals conceded / match1.4
0Clean sheets1
3Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AD Ceuta FC at home with Valladolid away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

2 recorded meetings

AD Ceuta FC

0wins
0 draws

Valladolid

2wins

Aug 2025 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

AD Ceuta FC

Confirmed formation4-3-3José Juan Romero
  1. 13Guille VallejoG
  2. 26Arick BetancourtD
  3. 6Carlos HernándezD
  4. 4Albert CaparrósD
  5. 3José MatosD
  6. 20Álex MeléndezM
  7. 17Mawuli MensahM
  8. 32Chidiebere Gabriel OkoroM
  9. 19E. SevikyanF
  10. 8KukiF
  11. 7Alejandro Camacho RamírezF
Substitutes (10)

29 · O. Sadik

9 · Jordi Escobar

28 · Abraham Bueno Espinosa

14 · Y. Bodiger

2 · Toni Abad

15 · Joaquín

27 · U. Konare

1 · Pedro López

34 · D. Mas

31 · Adrián Romero

Valladolid

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Fran Escribá
  1. 1Álvaro AcevesG
  2. 14Iván AlejoD
  3. 12Miguel RubioD
  4. 4David TorresD
  5. 27Iván GarrielD
  6. 24S. JurićM
  7. 21J. PonceauM
  8. 7Luis ChacónM
  9. 30Víctor FernándezM
  10. 19Adrian ArnuncioM
  11. 9Juanmi LatasaF
Substitutes (12)

17 · Victor Barberá

11 · Yeray Cabanzón

18 · Clerc

20 · R. Duiven

22 · K. de Rooij

15 · Pablo Tomeo

2 · Trilli

32 · Marcos Parriego

5 · Ramón Martínez

26 · L. Lavagnino

23 · T. Abed

16 · Álex Balboa

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

AD Ceuta FC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
O. Sadik265.800141
Adrián Romero00.000000
D. Mas00.000000
Pedro López00.000000
U. Konare00.000000
Joaquín206.2000130
Toni Abad456.6001131
Y. Bodiger456.3000222
Abraham Bueno Espinosa00.000000
Jordi Escobar267.001340
Guille Vallejo906.8000210
Arick Betancourt456.1000170
Carlos Hernández906.9101154
Albert Caparrós906.7001192
José Matos906.2000212
Mawuli Mensah456.4001202
Álex Meléndez646.3001331
Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro906.7001434
E. Sevikyan706.5001261
Kuki906.1001221
Alejandro Camacho Ramírez646.0000236

Valladolid

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
T. Abed00.000000
Álex Balboa175.500051
Victor Barberá00.000000
Yeray Cabanzón206.6001101
Clerc00.000000
R. Duiven86.500040
K. de Rooij206.600042
Pablo Tomeo15.800020
Trilli00.000000
Marcos Parriego00.000000
Ramón Martínez00.000000
L. Lavagnino00.000000
Álvaro Aceves906.6000360
Iván Alejo906.0000343
Miguel Rubio907.0000471
David Torres906.7000321
Iván Garriel907.5000319
Víctor Fernández707.0002234
J. Ponceau707.7011391
S. Jurić906.9000561
Luis Chacón896.3003403
Adrian Arnuncio706.900281
Juanmi Latasa827.4102251
2026/27 STANDINGS

Segunda División table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Segunda. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Castellón76101421219
WWWWW
2Eibar7601156918
WWWWW
3Almeria7502114715
WWWWL
4Burgos7421117414
WWWDD
5Girona7412148613
WWLWW
6Mallorca741283513
LWWDW
7Sabadell733186212
DWLWW
8Oviedo732274311
WLWDW
9Tenerife732289-111
DLWDL
10Leganes732267-111
LWLDW
11Las Palmas73131011-110
LLWDL
12Sporting Gijon731356-110
LWLLW
13Granada CF72231011-18
LLDLW
14Real Sociedad II7223910-18
LLWDD
15Celta de Vigo II7223811-38
DLLWL
16Valladolid722369-38
WDLWD
17FC Andorra72051215-36
WLLLL
18Cordoba72051016-66
LWLLL
19Eldense712449-55
LLWDL
20Cadiz7043710-34
DLLLD
21AD Ceuta FC7115617-114
WDLLL
22Albacete7016412-81
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAD Ceuta FCDrawValladolid
William Hill2.903.002.30
Bet3653.103.202.35
Marathonbet2.983.242.32
Betfair2.903.102.30
BetVictor2.903.132.30

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 14:46 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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