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Las Palmas vs Burgos match centre

Las Palmas badgeLas PalmasHome · 11 in league
WWLDW
Momentum→ Steady65/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Burgos badgeBurgosAway · 4 in league
WLDDW
Momentum↗ Rising54/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Jesé Rodríguez37′
Álex Forés58′
Gran Canaria · Las Palmas de Gran CanariaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 17:04 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 14:46 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.91Our model 36.3%Market 49.3% Draw3.40Our model 26.4%Market 27.7% Away win4.10Our model 37.3%Market 23.0% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 14:46 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Las PalmasBurgos
9Corner Kicks4
12Fouls21
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
559Total passes326
497Passes accurate255

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Las Palmas 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Burgos 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 10:44 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Las Palmas

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Las Palmas’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Burgos

4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Burgos’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Las Palmas at home with Burgos away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 05:13 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Segunda División · 2026/27 · all league matches

Las PalmasBurgos
6Matches played6
10Points earned11
3Wins3
1.3Goals scored / match1.7
1.3Goals conceded / match1.2
3Clean sheets1
1Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Las Palmas at home with Burgos away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Las Palmas

0wins
3 draws

Burgos

1wins

Nov 2022 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Las Palmas first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Las Palmas

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rubén De La Barrera
  1. 13José CaroG
  2. 25Valentín PezzolesiD
  3. 15Juan HerzogD
  4. 21G. BonfantiD
  5. 12E. LoiodiceD
  6. 20Kirian RodríguezM
  7. 6Iñaki González ZambranoM
  8. 11T. MiyashiroM
  9. 14Manu FusterM
  10. 24Iván JaimeM
  11. 10JeséF
Substitutes (12)

40 · Aidán Pieter Pérez Kraaijeveld

19 · Sandro Ramírez

9 · J. Recoba

23 · A. Rodriguez

29 · Elías Romero

42 · Rachid Saiah Bouchaiba

35 · Adrián Suárez

43 · Eduard Mohedano Serrano

30 · I. Medina

32 · Rafa Cruz

7 · Jefté Betancor

16 · Mateo Acimovic

Burgos

Confirmed formation4-4-2Sergio Francisco
  1. 13Ander CanteroG
  2. 23Alberto DadieD
  3. 15Oier LuengoD
  4. 8GregoD
  5. 22Brais MartínezD
  6. 14David GonzálezM
  7. 5Marcelo ExpósitoM
  8. 12Unai VencedorM
  9. 19Javi LlabrésM
  10. 16Curro SánchezF
  11. 7Jon KarrikaburuF
Substitutes (12)

36 · I. Martinez

17 · Mario Cantero

18 · Saúl del Cerro

9 · Álex Forés

4 · P. Galdames

21 · Fermin Garcia

20 · José Gragera

1 · Bruno Iribarne

24 · S. Lencinas

39 · David Hernáiz García

11 · Víctor Mollejo

3 · Ignasi Vilarrasa

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Las Palmas

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
José Caro905.9000460
Mateo Acimovic00.000000
Jefté Betancor196.200010
Rafa Cruz266.700181
I. Medina106.4000130
Eduard Mohedano Serrano00.000000
Valentín Pezzolesi906.5000443
Juan Herzog906.6002770
G. Bonfanti906.3000802
E. Loiodice905.9001674
T. Miyashiro716.2001191
Kirian Rodríguez806.7001720
Iñaki González Zambrano906.6000442
Manu Fuster646.9010360
Jesé807.5102220
Iván Jaime716.8004250
Adrián Suárez00.000000
Rachid Saiah Bouchaiba00.000000
Elías Romero106.300020
A. Rodriguez00.000000
J. Recoba00.000000
Sandro Ramírez196.1001110
Aidán Pieter Pérez Kraaijeveld00.000000

Burgos

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
I. Martinez156.400140
Ander Cantero906.2000280
Alberto Dadie906.2001363
Oier Luengo756.3000391
Grego906.3000401
Brais Martínez676.5000215
David González907.6102243
Unai Vencedor906.5000323
Marcelo Expósito456.8000253
Javi Llabrés907.4011191
Curro Sánchez456.7000191
Jon Karrikaburu677.001072
Mario Cantero00.000000
Saúl del Cerro00.000000
Álex Forés458.110370
P. Galdames00.000000
Fermin Garcia00.000000
José Gragera455.9001131
Bruno Iribarne00.000000
S. Lencinas00.000000
David Hernáiz García00.000000
Víctor Mollejo236.600090
Ignasi Vilarrasa236.000070
2026/27 STANDINGS

Segunda División table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Segunda. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Castellón76101421219
WWWWW
2Eibar7601156918
WWWWW
3Almeria7502114715
WWWWL
4Burgos7421117414
WWWDD
5Girona7412148613
WWLWW
6Mallorca741283513
LWWDW
7Sabadell733186212
DWLWW
8Oviedo732274311
WLWDW
9Tenerife732289-111
DLWDL
10Leganes732267-111
LWLDW
11Las Palmas73131011-110
LLWDL
12Sporting Gijon731356-110
LWLLW
13Granada CF72231011-18
LLDLW
14Real Sociedad II7223910-18
LLWDD
15Celta de Vigo II7223811-38
DLLWL
16Valladolid722369-38
WDLWD
17FC Andorra72051215-36
WLLLL
18Cordoba72051016-66
LWLLL
19Eldense712449-55
LLWDL
20Cadiz7043710-34
DLLLD
21AD Ceuta FC7115617-114
WDLLL
22Albacete7016412-81
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerLas PalmasDrawBurgos
William Hill1.913.103.90
Bet3651.913.404.10
Marathonbet1.943.184.10
Betfair1.903.004.00
BetVictor1.903.253.80

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 14:46 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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