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Mallorca vs Almeria match centre

Mallorca badgeMallorcaHome · 6 in league
WDWW
Momentum↗ Rising85/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Almeria badgeAlmeriaAway · 3 in league
LWWW
Momentum↗ Rising81/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Miguel De La Fuente35′
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix · ParmaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 27 Sep 14:49 UK.

Odds updated 27 Sep 13:54 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.00Our model 50.2%Market 46.3% Draw3.30Our model 26.5%Market 28.0% Away win3.60Our model 23.4%Market 25.7% Bet365 · Updated 27 Sep 13:54 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
MallorcaAlmeria
6Corner Kicks2
20Fouls17
5Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
438Total passes376
375Passes accurate319

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Mallorca 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Almeria 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 27 Sep, 12:38 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Mallorca

7/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Mallorca’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Almeria

6/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Almeria’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mallorca at home with Almeria away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:46 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Segunda División · 2026/27 · all league matches

MallorcaAlmeria
6Matches played6
13Points earned12
4Wins4
1.3Goals scored / match1.7
0.3Goals conceded / match0.7
5Clean sheets3
2Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mallorca at home with Almeria away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Mallorca

1wins
2 draws

Almeria

1wins

Sep 2022 – May 2024 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Mallorca

Confirmed formation4-4-2Luis García
  1. 1Arnau TenasG
  2. 34M. CalatayudD
  3. 15John NwankwoD
  4. 21RaílloD
  5. 22A. SouhmahoroD
  6. 7Álex SalaM
  7. 23Antoniu RocaM
  8. 8Manu MorlanesM
  9. 33Adrian LisoM
  10. 20Pablo TorreF
  11. 18FuentesF
Substitutes (12)

2 · Guille Fernández

16 · A. Buksa

3 · Toni Lato

4 · David López

5 · Alberto Moreno

9 · Abdón Prats

17 · Arnau Puigmal

6 · Antonio Sánchez

37 · Toni Dols

10 · Darder

25 · Iván Cuéllar

19 · Josep Cerdà

Almeria

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Xavier García Pimienta
  1. 1Andrés FernándezG
  2. 22D. ChirinoD
  3. 21ChumiD
  4. 18F. BoniniD
  5. 3Álex MuñozD
  6. 14Javi MuñozM
  7. 6Mikel VesgaM
  8. 23Adri EmbarbaM
  9. 11Sergio ArribasM
  10. 33Quim JunyentM
  11. 24Miguel de la FuenteF
Substitutes (12)

12 · Léo Baptistão

2 · Marcos Luna

13 · Fernando Martínez

10 · Nico Melamed

7 · Jon Morcillo

32 · A. Popov

5 · Jorge Pulido

20 · Álex Sola

9 · Thalys

31 · Á. Yaakobishvili

26 · K. Kone

15 · Leonardo Lelo

2026/27 STANDINGS

Segunda División table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Segunda. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Castellón76101421219
WWWWW
2Eibar7601156918
WWWWW
3Almeria7502114715
WWWWL
4Burgos7421117414
WWWDD
5Girona7412148613
WWLWW
6Mallorca741283513
LWWDW
7Sabadell733186212
DWLWW
8Oviedo732274311
WLWDW
9Tenerife732289-111
DLWDL
10Leganes732267-111
LWLDW
11Las Palmas73131011-110
LLWDL
12Sporting Gijon731356-110
LWLLW
13Granada CF72231011-18
LLDLW
14Real Sociedad II7223910-18
LLWDD
15Celta de Vigo II7223811-38
DLLWL
16Valladolid722369-38
WDLWD
17FC Andorra72051215-36
WLLLL
18Cordoba72051016-66
LWLLL
19Eldense712449-55
LLWDL
20Cadiz7043710-34
DLLLD
21AD Ceuta FC7115617-114
WDLLL
22Albacete7016412-81
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMallorcaDrawAlmeria
Marathonbet2.013.203.78
Betfair1.953.103.70
Pinnacle2.083.284.01
SBO2.083.163.22
William Hill2.053.203.40

Snapshot from 27 Sep 2026, 13:54 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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