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La LigaMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRE

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid match centre

Athletic Club badgeAthletic ClubHome · 10 in league
LLLLW
Momentum↗ Rising26/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Atletico Madrid badgeAtletico MadridAway · 2 in league
LWWDW
Momentum↑ Strong70/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
N. Williams46′
R. Navarro48′
O. Sancet90′
San Mamés · BilbaoSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid
3Corner Kicks8
8Fouls6
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves1
387Total passes631
316Passes accurate571

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Athletic Club 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Atletico Madrid 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Athletic Club

4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Athletic Club’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Atletico Madrid

6/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Atletico Madrid’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Athletic Club at home with Atletico Madrid away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:55 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Athletic Club at home with Atletico Madrid away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Athletic Club

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Edin Terzic
  1. 1U. SimonG
  2. 12J. AresoD
  3. 5Y. AlvarezD
  4. 14A. LaporteD
  5. 17Y. BerchicheD
  6. 16I. Ruiz de GalarretaM
  7. 24B. GerenabarrenaM
  8. 23R. NavarroM
  9. 8O. SancetM
  10. 10N. WilliamsM
  11. 9I. WilliamsF
Substitutes (12)

13 · A. Padilla

4 · A. Paredes

31 · J. Louis-Jean

20 · A. Rego

30 · I. Monreal

15 · H. Rincon

6 · B. Prados Diaz

18 · M. Jauregizar

44 · S. Sanchez

7 · A. Berenguer

11 · G. Guruzeta

21 · M. Sannadi

Atletico Madrid

Confirmed formation4-4-2Diego Simeone
  1. 13J. OblakG
  2. 14M. LlorenteD
  3. 18M. PubillD
  4. 17D. HanckoD
  5. 22A. GrimaldoD
  6. 20G. SimeoneM
  7. 8P. BarriosM
  8. 23M. HjulmandM
  9. 11A. LookmanM
  10. 7Lee Kang-InF
  11. 10A. BaenaF
Substitutes (12)

1 · J. Musso

24 · R. Le Normand

21 · C. Romero

30 · D. Martinez

27 · J. Dominguez

6 · Koke

4 · R. Mendoza

5 · J. Cardoso

46 · J. Castillo

15 · J. David

19 · J. Alvarez

16 · A. Ortiz

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Athletic Club

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Unai Simón908.9—0—47—
Jesús Areso907.2—0—344
Yeray Álvarez457.0—0—33—
Aymeric Laporte907.3—0—56—
Yuri Berchiche907.0—0—36—
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta606.9—0—33—
Beñat Gerenabarrena906.6—0—243
Robert Navarro668.3102214
Oihan Sancet907.910223—
Nico Williams767.6102181
Iñaki Williams666.2—11111
Aitor Paredes457.3—0—222
Mikel Jauregizar306.9—01143
Johaneko Louis Jean246.9—0—81
Álex Berenguer246.3—0—41
Gorka Guruzeta146.3—0—31
Alex Padilla———————
Hugo Rincón———————
Iker Monreal Agundez———————
Beñat Prados———————
Alejandro Rego Mora———————
Selton Sanchez———————
Maroan Sannadi———————

Atletico Madrid

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jan Oblak905.3—0—19—
Marcos Llorente906.3—0268—
Marc Pubill906.2—0—833
Dávid Hancko906.3—0—72—
Alejandro Grimaldo906.5—01562
Giuliano Simeone595.6—0234—
Pablo Barrios907.2—02732
Morten Hjulmand596.6—0—351
Ademola Lookman586.0—0114—
Kang-in Lee596.5—0123—
Alex Baena766.6—0229—
Arnau Ortiz326.3—016—
Cristian Romero316.6—0135—
Koke316.9—0—44—
Julián Alvarez316.7—0116—
Johnny Cardoso146.7—0—24—
Juan Musso———————
Robin Le Normand———————
Dani Martinez———————
Jorge Domínguez———————
Rodrigo Mendoza———————
Jorge Castillo———————
Jonathan David———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

La Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · La Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barcelona77003172421
WWWWW
2Atletico Madrid7511167916
WWWLW
3Real Betis751197216
DWWWL
4Real Madrid75021881015
LWWLW
5Sevilla7412109113
LWWDL
6Alaves7322116511
DLLWW
7Deportivo La Coruna7241108210
DLDWW
8Real Sociedad7313913-410
WLWDW
9Villarreal7223131218
WWLLL
10Athletic Club62227618
DDWWL
11Getafe722347-38
WLDDL
12Rayo Vallecano72231116-58
DWLWL
13Osasuna7223613-78
DLLLW
14Celta Vigo71428627
WDDDL
15Espanyol7214101007
LLWDL
16Racing Santander72141121-107
LLWLW
17Levante6123812-45
LLDWD
18Elche71241117-65
WLDLL
19Valencia7115413-94
LWLLL
20Malaga7034312-93
LLDDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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