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La LigaMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTRE

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna match centre

Atletico Madrid badgeAtletico MadridHome · 2 in league
DWLLW
Momentum→ Steady48/100OlderLatest
Full time
4:0
UK time · Europe/London
Osasuna badgeOsasunaAway · 13 in league
DWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling42/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Jonathan David24′
Lee Kang-In54′
Robin Le Normand63′
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez82′
Riyadh Air Metropolitano · MadridSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 16 Sep 15:24 UK.

Odds updated 16 Sep 17:53 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.30Our model 58.6%Market 72.8% Draw5.50Our model 22.8%Market 17.2% Away win9.50Our model 18.6%Market 10.0% Bet365 · Updated 16 Sep 17:53 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Atletico MadridOsasuna
8Corner Kicks0
7Fouls12
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves7
656Total passes314
580Passes accurate232

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Atletico Madrid 3 reported

J. AlvarezMuscle Injury
Reported out
P. BarriosMuscle Injury
Reported out
A. SorlothMuscle Injury
Reported out

Osasuna 4 reported

M. GomezHamstring Injury
Reported out
J. HerrandoMuscle Injury
Reported out
A. OrozMuscle Injury
Reported out
V. RosierHamstring Injury
Reported out

Fetched 16 Sep, 13:05 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Osasuna

5/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Osasuna’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico Madrid at home with Osasuna away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

Atletico MadridOsasuna
4Matches played5
7Points earned7
2Wins2
1.8Goals scored / match1.0
1.5Goals conceded / match1.6
1Clean sheets2
1Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico Madrid at home with Osasuna away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Atletico Madrid

3wins
0 draws

Osasuna

1wins

Jan 2025 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Atletico Madrid first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Atletico Madrid

Confirmed formation4-4-2D. Simeone
  1. 13J. OblakG
  2. 14Marcos LlorenteD
  3. 21C. RomeroD
  4. 24Robin Le NormandD
  5. 22Álex GrimaldoD
  6. 7Lee Kang-InM
  7. 5J. CardosoM
  8. 6KokeM
  9. 11A. LookmanM
  10. 15J. DavidF
  11. 10Álex BaenaF
Substitutes (12)

25 · Salvador Esquivel

1 · J. Musso

18 · Marc Pubill

17 · D. Hancko

27 · J. Dominguez

20 · G. Simeone

23 · M. Hjulmand

3 · O. Vargas

16 · Arnau Ortiz

4 · Rodrigo Mendoza

46 · J. Castillo

30 · Dani Martínez

Osasuna

Confirmed formation5-4-1Luis Miguel Ramis
  1. 13Aitor FernándezG
  2. 27Íñigo ArguibideD
  3. 48R. YeboahD
  4. 22F. BoyomoD
  5. 35U. SantosD
  6. 23Abel BretonesD
  7. 21Jonathan DubasinM
  8. 29Asier OsambelaM
  9. 6Lucas TorróM
  10. 18Raul MoroM
  11. 9Raúl GarcíaF
Substitutes (12)

11 · Kike Barja

14 · Rubén García

20 · R. Del Castillo

8 · Iker Muñoz

26 · Mauro Echegoyen

17 · A. Budimir

7 · Moncayola

15 · Diego Rico

24 · Catena

1 · Sergio Herrera

30 · Asier Bonel

31 · Rafa Fernández

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Osasuna

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rafa Fernández00.000000
Íñigo Arguibide715.6000101
R. Yeboah906.3000324
F. Boyomo906.3000481
Abel Bretones905.0000160
Jonathan Dubasin595.8000250
Asier Osambela745.5000208
Lucas Torró905.4000271
Raul Moro596.0001100
Raúl García606.1001130
Sergio Herrera00.000000
Aitor Fernández906.5000360
Catena00.000000
Diego Rico00.000000
Moncayola195.9000121
Mauro Echegoyen00.000000
Iker Muñoz00.000000
R. Del Castillo165.800060
Rubén García315.7000122
Kike Barja316.200041
A. Budimir306.700010
Asier Bonel00.000000
U. Santos905.6001420

Atletico Madrid

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Salvador Esquivel00.000000
Marcos Llorente907.1000624
C. Romero687.4002603
Robin Le Normand908.0101681
Álex Grimaldo857.6002542
Lee Kang-In908.2106512
J. Cardoso857.7011814
Koke906.9000865
A. Lookman686.4003311
J. David688.8116180
Álex Baena908.2105511
J. Musso00.000000
J. Oblak906.8000300
Marc Pubill226.8001270
D. Hancko56.500090
J. Dominguez00.000000
G. Simeone226.5000130
M. Hjulmand56.7000110
O. Vargas00.000000
Arnau Ortiz226.200040
Rodrigo Mendoza00.000000
J. Castillo00.000000
Dani Martínez00.000000
2026/27 STANDINGS

La Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · La Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barcelona77003172421
WWWWW
2Atletico Madrid7511167916
WWWLW
3Real Betis751197216
DWWWL
4Real Madrid75021881015
LWWLW
5Sevilla7412109113
LWWDL
6Alaves7322116511
DLLWW
7Deportivo La Coruna7241108210
DLDWW
8Real Sociedad7313913-410
WLWDW
9Villarreal7223131218
WWLLL
10Athletic Club62227618
DDWWL
11Getafe722347-38
WLDDL
12Rayo Vallecano72231116-58
DWLWL
13Osasuna7223613-78
DLLLW
14Celta Vigo71428627
WDDDL
15Espanyol7214101007
LLWDL
16Racing Santander72141121-107
LLWLW
17Levante6123812-45
LLDWD
18Elche71241117-65
WLDLL
19Valencia7115413-94
LWLLL
20Malaga7034312-93
LLDDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAtletico MadridDrawOsasuna
William Hill1.334.809.00
Bet3651.305.509.50
Marathonbet1.365.309.30
Betfair1.255.009.50
BetVictor1.295.5010.50

Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 17:53 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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