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La LigaMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTRE

Levante vs Athletic Club match centre

Levante badgeLevanteHome · 17 in league
DWDLL
Momentum↘ Falling28/100OlderLatest
Pre-match
19:00
UK time · Europe/London
Athletic Club badgeAthletic ClubAway · 10 in league
LWWDD
Momentum↘ Falling53/100OlderLatest
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia · ValenciaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

A likely outcome and a good betting price are separate decisions.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 16 Sep 15:28 UK.

Odds updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Match winner · 90 minutes Home win3.30Our model 48.4%Market 28.8% Draw3.50Our model 23.9%Market 27.1% Away win2.15Our model 27.7%Market 44.1% Bet365 · Updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Levante 3 reported

K. Etta EyongInjury
Reported out
A. PrimoShoulder Injury
Reported out
H. SoteloKnee Injury
Reported out

Athletic Club 3 reported

P. CanalesMuscle Injury
Reported out
U. EgiluzKnee Injury
Reported out
D. VivianHamstring Injury
Reported out

Fetched 16 Sep, 18:40 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

A SECOND MODEL VIEW

Compare the forecasts

Pre-match only

Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.

Kickoff Edge

Our stored model estimate

Stored forecast is out of date. See the match verdict for the current data status.

See the match forecast for model details.

API-Football

Provider model estimate

Home10.0%
Draw45.0%
Away45.0%

Double chance : draw or Athletic Club

Fetched 16 Sep, 20:02 UK · Older snapshot

Provider percentages are shown as supplied, including any 0% or 100% values; those are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Levante

4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Levante’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Athletic Club

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Athletic Club’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Levante at home with Athletic Club away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:58 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

LevanteAthletic Club
5Matches played5
5Points earned7
1Wins2
1.4Goals scored / match1.4
1.8Goals conceded / match1.2
2Clean sheets2
3Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Levante at home with Athletic Club away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Levante

0wins
1 draw

Athletic Club

3wins

Nov 2021 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Levante first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Levante

Confirmed formation4-3-3Luís Castro
  1. 13M. RyanG
  2. 29Nacho PérezD
  3. 4DelaD
  4. 3IfeanyiIfeanyi NdukweD
  5. 23Manu SánchezD
  6. 8Jon Ander OlasagastiM
  7. 20Oriol ReyM
  8. 18E. BardeliM
  9. 27Paco CortésF
  10. 9Iván RomeroF
  11. 24T. FernándezF
Substitutes (12)

6 · Reque

33 · M. Santos

16 · A. Tape

10 · P. Ratkov

22 · J. Toljan

7 · Brugui

11 · Yanis Musuayi

14 · Jorge Cabello

1 · Pablo Cuñat

17 · Víctor García

36 · I. Galdin

2 · A. Mandi

Athletic Club

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1E. Terzić
  1. 1Unai SimónG
  2. 31J. Louis-JeanD
  3. 4Aitor ParedesD
  4. 14Aymeric LaporteD
  5. 17YuriD
  6. 16Ruíz de GalarretaM
  7. 18Mikel JauregizarM
  8. 23Robert NavarroM
  9. 8Oihan SancetM
  10. 7Álex BerenguerM
  11. 21Maroan SannadiF
Substitutes (12)

12 · Jesús Areso

24 · Beñat Gerenabarrena

11 · Gorka Guruzeta

13 · Álex Padilla

6 · Beñat Prados

20 · Alejandro Rego

15 · Hugo Rincón

22 · Nico Serrano

9 · I. Williams

10 · Nico Williams

5 · Yeray

25 · Álvaro Djaló

2026/27 STANDINGS

La Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · La Liga. Both teams are highlighted.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barcelona77003172421
WWWWW
2Atletico Madrid7511167916
WWWLW
3Real Betis751197216
DWWWL
4Real Madrid75021881015
LWWLW
5Sevilla7412109113
LWWDL
6Alaves7322116511
DLLWW
7Deportivo La Coruna7241108210
DLDWW
8Real Sociedad7313913-410
WLWDW
9Villarreal7223131218
WWLLL
10Athletic Club62227618
DDWWL
11Getafe722347-38
WLDDL
12Rayo Vallecano72231116-58
DWLWL
13Osasuna7223613-78
DLLLW
14Celta Vigo71428627
WDDDL
15Espanyol7214101007
LLWDL
16Racing Santander72141121-107
LLWLW
17Levante6123812-45
LLDWD
18Elche71241117-65
WLDLL
19Valencia7115413-94
LWLLL
20Malaga7034312-93
LLDDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerLevanteDrawAthletic Club
William Hill3.303.302.10
Bet3653.303.502.15
Marathonbet3.353.522.17
Betfair3.303.402.10
BetVictor3.253.702.10

Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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