A. AznouMuscle Injury
Reported out
La LigaMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTREMalaga vs Villarreal match centre
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Carlos Dotor12′
Alberto Moleiro40′
Pape Gueye45+2′
Pape Gueye86′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 17 Sep 17:46 UK.
Odds updated 17 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MalagaVillarreal
0.630Expected goals · API-Football3.330
1Shots on target7
5Total Shots16
37%Ball Possession63%
4Corner Kicks8
17Fouls9
5Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves0
338Total passes588
273Passes accurate529
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Malaga 7 reported
J. CajusteInjury
Reported out
M. DiarraCalf Injury
Reported out
J. LobeteKnee Injury
Reported out
D. MurilloInjury
Reported out
A. OchoaKnee Injury
Reported out
F. CaleroRibs Injury
Doubtful
Villarreal 1 reported
J. FoythAchilles Tendon Injury
Reported outFetched 17 Sep, 08:40 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Malaga
1/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Malaga’s resultsVillarreal
2/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Villarreal’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Malaga
10 matchesResults1 wins · 6 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Celta VigoAway · La Liga1–1LevanteHome · La Liga0–0Real MadridAway · La Liga0–4Deportivo La CorunaHome · La Liga1–1Atletico MadridAway · La Liga0–2FulhamHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2AD Ceuta FCAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2Al-Arabi SCHome · Friendlies Clubs4–2Al-Ittihad FCHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2LeicesterHome · Friendlies Clubs3–3
Villarreal
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Real BetisHome · La Liga1–2Borussia DortmundAway · UEFA Champions League2–3Deportivo La CorunaHome · La Liga2–3AlavesAway · La Liga0–1Atletico MadridAway · La Liga2–2Racing SantanderAway · La Liga2–2GalatasarayAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1LevanteHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0LensAway · Como Cup1–3ComoHome · Como Cup1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Malaga at home with Villarreal away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
MalagaVillarreal
5Matches played4
3Points earned2
0Wins0
0.4Goals scored / match1.5
1.6Goals conceded / match2.0
1Clean sheets0
3Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Malaga at home with Villarreal away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Malaga
1wins4MEETINGS
Villarreal
2winsSep 2016 – Apr 2018 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
Scores shown with Malaga first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Malaga
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Funes
- 1
Alfonso HerreroG - 3
PugaD - 15
Ángel RecioD - 4
Einar GalileaD - 12
José SalinasD - 23
Izan MerinoM - 19
Juan CruzM - 10
David LarrubiaM - 8
Carlos DotorM - 18
Pablo MartínezM - 9
ChupeF
Substitutes (11)
25 · Juan Berrocal
32 · J. Fernandez
31 · Rafita
17 · Eneko Jauregi
22 · Dani Lorenzo
13 · Carlos López
11 · Joaquín Muñoz
21 · Adrián Niño Heredia
5 · Álex Pastor
14 · Rafa Rodríguez
6 · Ramón Enríquez
Villarreal
Confirmed formation4-4-2Iñigo Pérez
- 25
P. GulácsiG - 3
A. FreemanD - 6
Pau NavarroD - 12
Renato VeigaD - 23
Sergi CardonaD - 11
Ilias AkhomachM - 24
N. SalibaM - 14
Santi ComesañaM - 17
T. BuchananM - 10
Alberto MoleiroF - 22
Ayoze PérezF
Substitutes (12)
13 · Rubén Gómez
18 · P. Gueye
9 · G. Mikautadze
7 · Gerard Moreno
15 · S. Mouriño
21 · T. Oluwaseyi
19 · N. Pépé
1 · Luíz Júnior
20 · Carlos Romero
5 · A. Diatta
2 · Logan Costa
16 · C. Macia
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Malaga
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero | 90 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
| Puga | 75 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 6 |
| Ángel Recio | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 3 |
| Einar Galilea | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 3 |
| José Salinas | 45 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 |
| Izan Merino | 61 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| Juan Cruz | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 |
| Ramón Enríquez | 15 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| Rafa Rodríguez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Álex Pastor | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adrián Niño Heredia | 29 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Joaquín Muñoz | 29 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Carlos López | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dani Lorenzo | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 1 |
| Eneko Jauregi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rafita | 45 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 |
| J. Fernandez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juan Berrocal | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Larrubia | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 3 |
| Carlos Dotor | 61 | 7.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 0 |
| Pablo Martínez | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Chupe | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
Villarreal
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Costa | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Diatta | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Gueye | 53 | 8.2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 47 | 0 |
| Rubén Gómez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Macia | 10 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| G. Mikautadze | 27 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| Gerard Moreno | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Mouriño | 10 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| T. Oluwaseyi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Pépé | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luíz Júnior | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos Romero | 27 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| P. Gulácsi | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| A. Freeman | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 1 |
| Pau Navarro | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 1 |
| Renato Veiga | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 92 | 0 |
| Sergi Cardona | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 79 | 3 |
| T. Buchanan | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 3 |
| Santi Comesaña | 37 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 0 |
| N. Saliba | 80 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 2 |
| Alberto Moleiro | 80 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 54 | 0 |
| Ayoze Pérez | 63 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| Ilias Akhomach | 63 | 7.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗La Liga table
Current standings · La Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 | LWWDL |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 | DLLWW |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 | DLDWW |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 8 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | DDWWL |
| 11 |  Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 | WLDDL |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 | DWLWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 | DLLLW |
| 14 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 15 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | WLDLL |
| 19 |  Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 20 | Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | LLDDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Malaga | Draw | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.70 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.80 | 3.78 | 1.94 |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.75 | 3.70 | 1.93 |
Snapshot from 17 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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