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BundesligaMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRE

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV match centre

RB Leipzig badgeRB LeipzigHome · 9 in league
LWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling37/100OlderLatest
Full time
5:0
UK time · Europe/London
Hamburger SV badgeHamburger SVAway · 16 in league
DWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling42/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Tidiam Gomis17′
Antonio Nusa28′
Willi Orbán72′
Christopher Nkunku74′
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz77′
Leipzig Red Bull Arena · LeipzigSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
RB LeipzigHamburger SV
8Corner Kicks7
11Fouls13
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
622Total passes350
555Passes accurate284

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

RB Leipzig 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Hamburger SV 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

RB Leipzig

5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect RB Leipzig’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Hamburger SV

4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Hamburger SV’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare RB Leipzig at home with Hamburger SV away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:57 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches

RB LeipzigHamburger SV
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares RB Leipzig at home with Hamburger SV away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

RB Leipzig

Confirmed formation4-3-3M. Demichelis
  1. 26M. VandevoordtG
  2. 39B. HenrichsD
  3. 4W. OrbánD
  4. 23C. LukebaD
  5. 22D. RaumD
  6. 6E. BanzuziM
  7. 21N. El AynaouiM
  8. 8A. OuédraogoM
  9. 10B. GrudaF
  10. 27T. GomisF
  11. 7A. NusaF
Substitutes (9)

40 · Rômulo

3 · M. Estève

35 · Max Finkgräfe

9 · Marc Guiu

1 · Ø. Nyland

30 · A. Maksimović

28 · C. Nkunku

17 · R. Baku

13 · N. Seiwald

Hamburger SV

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1M. Polzin
  1. 1Daniel Heuer FernandesG
  2. 43S. NandjaD
  3. 23J. TorunarighaD
  4. 24N. CapaldoD
  5. 7Z. El OuahdiM
  6. 6A. Sambi LokongaM
  7. 21N. RembergM
  8. 3D. Møller WolfeM
  9. 27P. DakaM
  10. 11A. GrønbækM
  11. 15Y. PoulsenF
Substitutes (9)

5 · M. Adeline

18 · B. Jatta

37 · L. Lemke

9 · T. Moffi

4 · B. Nadir

17 · W. Omari

19 · Otto Emerson Stange

12 · S. Tangvik

20 · Fábio Vieira

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

RB Leipzig

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
M. Vandevoordt907.9000350
B. Henrichs747.0002392
W. Orbán907.9103920
C. Lukeba736.2000720
D. Raum907.1001750
N. El Aynaoui907.1002611
E. Banzuzi907.6010493
A. Ouédraogo356.8001110
A. Nusa789.0122291
N. Seiwald00.000000
R. Baku166.8000270
C. Nkunku558.1104280
A. Maksimović00.000000
Ø. Nyland00.000000
Marc Guiu00.000000
Rômulo167.810161
M. Estève177.2000210
Max Finkgräfe126.500090
B. Gruda906.5002441
T. Gomis748.8101241

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
D. Møller Wolfe905.6001290
N. Capaldo905.4001271
P. Daka736.3003152
Z. El Ouahdi896.1002240
A. Grønbæk906.5000385
A. Sambi Lokonga786.2000351
S. Nandja735.5000351
Y. Poulsen456.300160
N. Remberg906.4001382
J. Torunarigha906.0000370
Daniel Heuer Fernandes905.6000450
M. Adeline00.000000
B. Jatta15.700020
L. Lemke00.000000
T. Moffi456.700151
B. Nadir00.000000
W. Omari175.600040
Otto Emerson Stange126.200010
S. Tangvik00.000000
Fábio Vieira175.900091
2026/27 STANDINGS

Bundesliga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Borussia Dortmund440092712
WWWW
2Bayern München43101421210
WWDW
3SC Freiburg4310123910
DWWW
4FC Augsburg421111657
LDWW
5Bayer Leverkusen421110557
WDWL
6FSV Mainz 05421110647
WLWD
7SV Elversberg42118717
DLWW
8Werder Bremen42118807
WDWL
9RB Leipzig42029546
LWLW
10Eintracht Frankfurt4121910-15
DWLD
11FC Schalke 04412134-15
DWDL
12SC Paderborn 07411235-24
WLLD
131. FC Köln411269-34
LDLW
141899 Hoffenheim4103710-33
LWLL
15VfB Stuttgart410369-33
LLWL
16Hamburger SV4103213-113
WLLL
17Union Berlin4013417-131
LLLD
18Borussia Mönchengladbach4004616-100
LLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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