Bayer Leverkusen
4/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Bayer Leverkusen’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 34THE MATCH CENTREBayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
N. Remberg78′ (og)
F. Vieira61′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.9%Bayer Leverkusen
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.7%Hamburger SV
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Bayer Leverkusen 4.0% · no further goal 92.3% · Hamburger SV 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Bayer LeverkusenHamburger SV
3.150Expected goals · API-Football1.790
5Shots on target5
21Total Shots17
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks3
7Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves5
550Total passes365
499Passes accurate296
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 35 | +21 | 60 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 35 | -14 | 39 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayer Leverkusen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Hamburger SV 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Hamburger SV
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Hamburger SV’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayer Leverkusen
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga1–3RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga4–11. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga2–1Bayern MünchenHome · DFB Pokal0–2FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga1–2Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga1–0VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga6–31. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga3–3ArsenalAway · UEFA Champions League0–2Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga1–1
Hamburger SV
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC FreiburgHome · Bundesliga3–2Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga2–11899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga1–2Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga1–3VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga0–4FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga1–1Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga2–31. FC KölnHome · Bundesliga1–1VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga2–1RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayer Leverkusen at home with Hamburger SV away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:52 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Bayer LeverkusenHamburger SV
32Matches played32
58Points earned34
17Wins8
2.1Goals scored / match1.2
1.4Goals conceded / match1.6
8Clean sheets6
4Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayer Leverkusen at home with Hamburger SV away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayer Leverkusen
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Kasper Hjulmand
- 1
M. FlekkenG - 4
J. QuansahD - 8
R. AndrichD - 12
E. TapsobaD - 42
M. CulbreathM - 24
A. GarciaM - 25
E. PalaciosM - 20
A. GrimaldoM - 10
M. TillmanF - 30
I. MazaF - 14
P. SchickF
Substitutes (9)
28 · J. Blaswich
21 · Lucas
6 · E. Fernandez
5 · L. Bade
15 · T. Oermann
7 · J. Hofmann
19 · E. Poku
17 · E. Ben Seghir
13 · Arthur
Hamburger SV
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Merlin Polzin
- 12
S. TangvikG - 17
W. OmariD - 44
L. VuskovicD - 25
J. TorunarighaD - 24
N. CapaldoM - 21
N. RembergM - 6
A. S. LokongaM - 23
A. GronbaekM - 20
F. VieiraF - 14
R. PhilippeF - 49
O. StangeF
Substitutes (9)
1 · D. Heuer Fernandes
18 · B. Jatta
2 · W. Mikelbrencis
45 · F. Balde
15 · Y. Poulsen
28 · M. Muheim
16 · G. Gocholeishvili
8 · D. Elfadli
43 · S. Nandja
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Flekken | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Jarell Quansah | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 64 | 1 |
| Robert Andrich | 62 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 55 | — |
| Edmond Tapsoba | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 75 | 1 |
| Montrell Culbreath | 62 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 3 |
| Aleix García | 84 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 88 | 1 |
| Exequiel Palacios | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 85 | — |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 62 | 3 |
| Malik Tillman | 62 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Ibrahim Maza | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 5 | 32 | 1 |
| Patrik Schick | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| Arthur | 28 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Jonas Hofmann | 28 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Eliesse Ben Seghir | 28 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Lucas Vázquez | 15 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Janis Blaswich | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïc Badé | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Oermann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ernest Poku | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hamburger SV
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sander Tangvik | 90 | 8.9 | — | 0 | — | 51 | — |
| Warmed Omari | 77 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Luka Vušković | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | — |
| Jordan Torunarigha | 89 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 1 |
| Nicolás Capaldo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1 |
| Nicolai Remberg | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 54 | — |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 50 | 2 |
| Albert Grønbæk | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 2 |
| Fábio Vieira | 77 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 1 |
| Rayan Philippe | 63 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 8 | — |
| Otto Stange | 77 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Miro Muheim | 27 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Shafiq Nandja | 13 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Fabio Baldé | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| William Mikelbrencis | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Daniel Fernandes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgi Gocholeishvili | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Elfadli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bakery Jatta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.27 | 7.00 | 8.50 |
Snapshot from 16 May 2026, 04:22 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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