L. AssignonShoulder Injury
Reported out
BundesligaMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTREVfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Maximilian Beier70′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 14:52 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 15:37 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target2
12Total Shots13
56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks2
9Fouls14
2Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
534Total passes425
467Passes accurate332
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
VfB Stuttgart 9 reported
J. DiehlMuscle Injury
Reported out
L. JaquezMuscle Injury
Reported out
D. SeimenThigh Injury
Reported out
T. TomasMuscle Injury
Reported out
D. ZagadouMuscle Injury
Reported out
M. HerwerthInjury
Doubtful
N. NarteyThigh Injury
DoubtfulA. StillerKnee Injury
Doubtful
Borussia Dortmund 5 reported
E. CanKnee Injury
Reported out
M. KabaInjury
Reported out
G. KonstanteliasKnee Injury
Reported out
J. LermaMuscle Injury
Reported out
F. ManeMuscle Injury
Reported outFetched 18 Sep, 23:10 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
VfB Stuttgart
6/10Wins
3.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect VfB Stuttgart’s resultsBorussia Dortmund
7/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Borussia Dortmund’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
VfB Stuttgart
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game3.1
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga1–2VikingHome · UEFA Champions League3–11. FC KölnHome · Bundesliga4–1Bayern MünchenAway · Bundesliga1–5Hansa RostockAway · DFB Pokal4–0FulhamAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1EvertonHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1Paris FCHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2Kickers OffenbachAway · Friendlies Clubs8–1HollenbachAway · Friendlies Clubs5–0
Borussia Dortmund
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC Paderborn 07Home · Bundesliga3–0VillarrealHome · UEFA Champions League3–21899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga3–2HEBCAway · DFB Pokal5–0Hamburger SVHome · Bundesliga2–0Bayern MünchenHome · Super Cup1–2AS RomaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2ArsenalAway · Emirates Cup3–2FC TokyoAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0Cerezo OsakaAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare VfB Stuttgart at home with Borussia Dortmund away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches
VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund
3Matches played3
3Points earned9
1Wins3
2.0Goals scored / match2.7
2.7Goals conceded / match0.7
0Clean sheets2
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares VfB Stuttgart at home with Borussia Dortmund away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
VfB Stuttgart
2wins4MEETINGS
Borussia Dortmund
1winsSep 2024 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with VfB Stuttgart first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
VfB Stuttgart
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1S. Hoeneb
- 1
F. BredlowG - 29
Finn JeltschD - 24
J. ChabotD - 7
M. MittelstädtD - 4
J. VagnomanM - 21
G. PrömelM - 6
A. StillerM - 10
C. FührichM - 11
B. El KhannoussM - 26
D. UndavM - 9
E. DemirovićF
Substitutes (9)
28 · N. Nartey
17 · D. Pejčinović
44 · L. Sauer
2 · A. Al Dakhil
33 · M. Funk
3 · R. Hendriks
47 · Y. Spalt
16 · A. Karazor
18 · J. Leweling
Borussia Dortmund
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1N. Kovač
- 1
G. KobelG - 22
Kouakou Joane GadouD - 3
W. AntonD - 4
N. SchlotterbeckD - 26
J. RyersonM - 25
J. VeermanM - 8
F. NmechaM - 24
D. SvenssonM - 18
E. NwaneriM - 14
M. BeierM - 9
S. GuirassyF
Substitutes (9)
17 · C. Chukwuemeka
40 · S. Inacio
19 · K. Karetsas
33 · A. Meyer
49 · L. Reggiani
20 · M. Sabitzer
21 · Fábio Silva
7 · J. Bellingham
5 · R. Bensebaïni
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Chabot | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 2 |
| F. Bredlow | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 0 |
| Y. Spalt | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Sauer | 6 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| D. Pejčinović | 26 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| N. Nartey | 6 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| J. Leweling | 26 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| A. Karazor | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Hendriks | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Funk | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Al Dakhil | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Undav | 64 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 |
| A. Stiller | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 0 |
| G. Prömel | 84 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 52 | 1 |
| M. Mittelstädt | 90 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 68 | 0 |
| Finn Jeltsch | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 2 |
| C. Führich | 64 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 3 |
| B. El Khannouss | 84 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 1 |
| E. Demirović | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| J. Vagnoman | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 54 | 0 |
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Veerman | 62 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 55 | 2 |
| J. Bellingham | 28 | 6.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| R. Bensebaïni | 8 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| C. Chukwuemeka | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Inacio | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Karetsas | 28 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| A. Meyer | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Reggiani | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Sabitzer | 8 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Fábio Silva | 16 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| D. Svensson | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 2 |
| N. Schlotterbeck | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 1 |
| J. Ryerson | 82 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
| E. Nwaneri | 62 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| F. Nmecha | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 4 |
| S. Guirassy | 74 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
| Kouakou Joane Gadou | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 2 |
| M. Beier | 82 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 3 |
| W. Anton | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 1 |
| G. Kobel | 90 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Bundesliga table
Current standings · Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 | WWDW |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | LDWW |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | WDWL |
| 6 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 | WLWD |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DLWW |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WDWL |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 | LWLW |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | DWLD |
| 11 |  FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WLLD |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 | LDLW |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | LWLL |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 |  Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 | WLLL |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | VfB Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.90 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.46 | 3.84 | 2.74 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 4.10 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44 | 3.93 | 2.75 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 15:37 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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