VfB Stuttgart
5/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect VfB Stuttgart’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTREVfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund match centre
90′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
K. Adeyemi90+4′
J. Brandt90+6′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%VfB Stuttgart
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Borussia Dortmund
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: VfB Stuttgart 4.8% · no further goal 91.8% · Borussia Dortmund 3.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund
0.580Expected goals · API-Football0.500
3Shots on target2
12Total Shots4
67%Ball Possession33%
5Corner Kicks2
10Fouls12
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
608Total passes300
513Passes accurate210
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 35 | +38 | 76 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 35 | +20 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
VfB Stuttgart 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Borussia Dortmund 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Borussia Dortmund
7/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Borussia Dortmund’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
VfB Stuttgart
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC AugsburgAway · Bundesliga5–2FC PortoAway · UEFA Europa League0–2RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–0FC PortoHome · UEFA Europa League1–2FSV Mainz 05Away · Bundesliga2–2VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga4–0CelticHome · UEFA Europa League0–11. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga3–3CelticAway · UEFA Europa League4–11. FC KölnHome · Bundesliga3–1
Borussia Dortmund
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Hamburger SVHome · Bundesliga3–2FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga2–01. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga2–1Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga2–3AtalantaAway · UEFA Champions League1–4RB LeipzigAway · Bundesliga2–2AtalantaHome · UEFA Champions League2–0FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga4–0VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga2–11. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga3–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare VfB Stuttgart at home with Borussia Dortmund away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund
27Matches played27
53Points earned61
16Wins18
2.1Goals scored / match2.2
1.3Goals conceded / match1.0
10Clean sheets12
2Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares VfB Stuttgart at home with Borussia Dortmund away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
VfB Stuttgart
4wins5MEETINGS
Borussia Dortmund
0winsDec 2023 – Nov 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with VfB Stuttgart first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
VfB Stuttgart
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Sebastian Hoeness
- 33
A. NubelG - 29
F. JeltschD - 24
J. ChabotD - 3
R. HendriksD - 22
L. AssignonM - 16
A. KarazorM - 6
A. StillerM - 7
M. MittelstadtM - 28
N. NarteyF - 10
C. FuhrichF - 26
D. UndavF
Substitutes (9)
1 · F. Bredlow
9 · E. Demirovic
2 · A. Al Dakhil
18 · J. Leweling
30 · C. Andres
4 · J. Vagnoman
8 · T. Tomas
14 · L. Jaquez
11 · B. El Khannouss
Borussia Dortmund
Confirmed formation3-5-2Niko Kovac
- 1
G. KobelG - 3
W. AntonD - 4
N. SchlotterbeckD - 5
R. BensebainiD - 26
J. RyersonM - 20
M. SabitzerM - 7
J. BellinghamM - 17
C. ChukwuemekaM - 24
D. SvenssonM - 9
S. GuirassyF - 14
M. BeierF
Substitutes (9)
33 · A. Meyer
25 · N. Sule
21 · F. Silva
40 · S. Inacio
49 · L. Reggiani
10 · J. Brandt
6 · S. Ozcan
27 · K. Adeyemi
2 · Y. Couto
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Nübel | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Finn Jeltsch | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 59 | 1 |
| Jeff Chabot | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 58 | — |
| Ramon Hendriks | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 1 |
| Lorenz Assignon | 72 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | 2 |
| Atakan Karazor | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 73 | 3 |
| Angelo Stiller | 88 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 100 | 1 |
| Maximilian Mittelstädt | 88 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 64 | — |
| Nikolas Nartey | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Chris Führich | 69 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 37 | 2 |
| Deniz Undav | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 21 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 18 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Tiago Tomás | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Ermedin Demirović | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Chema Andrés | 10 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Luca Jaquez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabian Bredlow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ameen Al-Dakhil | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josha Vagnoman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Waldemar Anton | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 3 |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Ramy Bensebaini | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 3 |
| Julian Ryerson | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Jobe Bellingham | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 4 |
| Carney Chukwuemeka | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Daniel Svensson | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Serhou Guirassy | 64 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Maximilian Beier | 72 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Karim Adeyemi | 26 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Fábio Silva | 26 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 2 |
| Julian Brandt | 18 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Yan Couto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuele Inacio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niklas Süle | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Meyer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salih Özcan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Reggiani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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