Nacional
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Nacional’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 2THE MATCH CENTRENacional vs Estoril match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Ze Vitor68′
Leo Santos77′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NacionalEstoril
2.030Expected goals · API-Football0.860
3Shots on target5
20Total Shots9
59%Ball Possession41%
7Corner Kicks4
13Fouls13
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
5Goalkeeper Saves1
451Total passes316
391Passes accurate253
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nacional 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Estoril 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Estoril
1/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Estoril’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nacional
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga2–2EstrelaAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2LeganesHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0TondelaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1LeixoesHome · Friendlies Clubs3–3MachicoHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2GuimaraesHome · Primeira Liga2–0Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga0–2AVSHome · Primeira Liga1–2TondelaAway · Primeira Liga2–0
Estoril
10 matchesResults1 wins · 5 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga1–1CF Os BelenensesAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1TorreenseHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0AlvercaAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2Atlético CPHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0BenficaHome · Primeira Liga1–3AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga1–1SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga1–1FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga0–1MoreirenseAway · Primeira Liga0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nacional at home with Estoril away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:57 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
NacionalEstoril
0Matches played1
0Points earned1
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match1.0
—Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nacional at home with Estoril away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nacional
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Giao Joao
- 1
R. MarinG - 34
Leo SantosD - 6
Matheus DiasD - 38
Ze VitorD - 52
Wesley GasolinaM - 28
LizieroM - 22
F. SoaresM - 7
M. JensenM - 8
M. BaezaF - 10
Daniel JuniorF - 99
Pablo RuanF
Substitutes (12)
13 · Joao Goncalves
50 · K. V. Medeiros de Freitas
14 · I. Fernandes
2 · D. I. de la Cruz
33 · C. Goncalves
55 · M. Silva
15 · C. Labidi
30 · Watts
26 · J. Silva
23 · Mateus Iseppe
88 · Deivison
11 · S. Gavriel
Estoril
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Matos
- 1
J. RoblesG - 2
R. SanchezD - 4
FerroD - 15
I. SierraD - 3
F. MedranoD - 8
XekaM - 5
A. TsounguiM - 99
R. GuitaneM - 12
J. CarvalhoM - 7
A. LacximicantM - 14
Y. BegraouiF
Substitutes (11)
16 · M. Turk
23 · D. Dias
18 · G. Costa
25 · S. Andreou
19 · T. Parente
22 · P. Carvalho
42 · J. Arnolin
6 · Jandro
90 · T. Brito
80 · L. Gomes
98 · F. Garcia
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Nacional
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Marin | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Léo Santos | 90 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 72 | 1 |
| Matheus Dias | 66 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Ze Vitor | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 76 | 2 |
| Wesley Gasolina | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | — |
| Liziero | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 4 |
| Filipe Soares | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 39 | 2 |
| Markus Jensen | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 2 |
| Miguel Baeza | 66 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Daniel Júnior | 81 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | — |
| Pablo Messias Cardozo | 88 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| Stavros Gavriel | 24 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Deivison Souza Brito | 24 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Daniel De la Cruz | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Joel Silva | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| João Gonçalves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevyn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivanildo Fernandes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Gonçalves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chiheb Labidi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateus Jose Iseppe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martim Gustavo Watts | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Estoril
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Robles | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Ricard Sánchez | 75 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Ferro | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 3 |
| Ismael Sierra Arnal | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | — |
| Fernando Medrano | 75 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 2 |
| Xeka | 32 | 5.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | — |
| Antef Tsoungui | 85 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Rafik Guitane | 63 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| João Carvalho | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| André Lacximicant | 63 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | — |
| Yanis Begraoui | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Tiago Brito | 27 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Fabrício Garcia | 27 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Pedro Carvalho | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Gonçalo Costa | 15 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Jandro Orellana | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Diogo Dias | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Turk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Arnolin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Parente | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stelios Andreou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Gomes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 15 | DDWWW |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 | DWWDW |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 | DLDWL |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 8 |  Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | DLLDW |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 | DWLLW |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 | LLDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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