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Primeira LigaMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRE

Benfica vs Estoril match centre

Benfica badgeBenficaHome · 2 in league
DDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising79/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Estoril badgeEstorilAway · 18 in league
DDLLL
Momentum↘ Falling10/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
V. Pavlidis40′
C. Lenglet51′
Y. Begraoui82′
Estádio da Luz · LisbonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
BenficaEstoril
9Corner Kicks0
14Fouls12
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves6
616Total passes327
547Passes accurate243

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Benfica 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Estoril 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Benfica

7/10Wins
3.5Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Benfica’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Estoril

1/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Estoril’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Benfica at home with Estoril away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:55 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

BenficaEstoril
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Benfica at home with Estoril away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Benfica

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Marco Silva
  1. 24S. SoaresG
  2. 6A. BahD
  3. 44T. AraujoD
  4. 2C. LengletD
  5. 26S. DahlD
  6. 18L. BarreiroM
  7. 5E. BarrenecheaM
  8. 27Rafa SilvaM
  9. 10G. SudakovM
  10. 25G. PrestianniM
  11. 14V. PavlidisF
Substitutes (12)

1 · A. Trubin

62 · J. Neto

3 · A. Circati

36 · J. Palhinha

16 · Manu Silva

77 · G. Moreira

20 · R. Rios

13 · J. Kaminski

22 · J. Duran

72 · Anisio

11 · D. Lukebakio

21 · A. Schjelderup

Estoril

Confirmed formation3-4-3Vasco Matos
  1. 1J. RoblesG
  2. 25S. AndreouD
  3. 4FerroD
  4. 15I. SierraD
  5. 2R. SanchezM
  6. 8XekaM
  7. 5A. TsounguiM
  8. 3F. MedranoM
  9. 7A. LacximicantF
  10. 14Y. BegraouiF
  11. 12J. CarvalhoF
Substitutes (11)

16 · M. Turk

23 · D. Dias

19 · T. Parente

22 · P. Carvalho

42 · J. Arnolin

90 · T. Brito

10 · J. Holsgrove

80 · L. Gomes

99 · R. Guitane

98 · F. Garcia

17 · Peixinho

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Benfica

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira106.400021
A. Circati00.000000
J. Durán106.600040
Samuel Soares906.5000240
A. Bah907.6001563
Tomás Araújo907.50111132
C. Lenglet907.9101840
S. Dahl907.7004731
E. Barrenechea316.9000301
L. Barreiro906.6001321
Rafa636.2002272
H. Sudakov807.2003420
G. Prestianni806.8005380
V. Pavlidis808.2104230
Manu00.000000
R. Rios00.000000
A. Schjelderup276.300080
D. Lukebakio106.500040
João Palhinha597.2003573
J. Kamiński00.000000
J. Neto00.000000
A. Cabral00.000000
A. Trubin00.000000

Estoril

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Joel Robles907.0000330
S. Andreou726.4001232
Ferro906.9000452
Isma Sierra906.0000302
Ricard Sánchez726.1000202
A. Tsoungui905.8000273
Xeka456.100181
Fernando Medrano826.4010281
André Lacximicant716.5001161
R. Guitane86.000021
Diogo Dias00.000000
Tiago Brito00.000000
Fabrício Garcia186.200060
J. Holsgrove455.8000290
Tiago Parreira Parente00.000000
Peixinho196.400061
Pedro Carvalho186.200040
J. Arnolin00.000000
M. Turk00.000000
Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes00.000000
João Carvalho905.9000341
Y. Begraoui907.5101160
2026/27 STANDINGS

Primeira Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto77001831521
WWWWW
2Benfica75112271516
LWWWW
3Sporting CP7430178915
DDWWW
4Santa Clara7430114715
DWWDW
5Arouca7322107311
DLDWL
6SC Braga632175211
DWLWW
7Academico Viseu732299011
WWWLD
8Estrela72411414010
LDWDW
9GIL Vicente62225508
DLLDW
10Alverca7223911-28
WWLDL
11Maritimo7223812-48
DLLLD
12Moreirense7223814-68
DWLLW
13Famalicao71429727
WDDDL
14Vitória SC712458-35
DLDLW
15Nacional7115715-84
LLLLL
16Rio Ave7115515-104
LDLLW
17Casa Pia7115316-134
WLDLL
18Estoril7025310-72
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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