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Primeira LigaMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTRE

Casa Pia vs FC Porto match centre

Casa Pia badgeCasa PiaHome · 17 in league
LLLLD
Momentum↓ Low8/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:4
UK time · Europe/London
FC Porto badgeFC PortoAway · 1 in league
WWWWL
Momentum↘ Falling74/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Henrique Araújo43′ (pen)
André Silva45+3′
Jakub Kiwior60′
Borja Sainz66′
Santiago Giménez90+1′ (pen)
Venue to be confirmed · Rio MaiorSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Casa PiaFC Porto
5Corner Kicks10
13Fouls10
4Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves4
237Total passes411
161Passes accurate333

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Casa Pia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

FC Porto 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Casa Pia

2/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Casa Pia’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

FC Porto

8/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect FC Porto’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Casa Pia at home with FC Porto away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 05:15 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

Casa PiaFC Porto
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Casa Pia at home with FC Porto away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Casa Pia

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Filipe Coelho
  1. 95Ivan MandićG
  2. 18GeraldesD
  3. 3KalyD
  4. 43David SousaD
  5. 75Pedro RosasD
  6. 16SilviM
  7. 80L. OforiM
  8. 11M. El BoukammiriM
  9. 70João Pedro Seno Luís RêgoM
  10. 77B. PauwelsM
  11. 9Henrique AraújoF
Substitutes (12)

4 · João Goulart

8 · Gabi Pereira

90 · Cassiano

59 · Abdu Dafe

10 · Rochinha

20 · A. Jatta

17 · E. Maurin

19 · K. Prieto

24 · S. Pérez

1 · P. Sequeira

21 · A. Zouin

98 · JP

FC Porto

Confirmed formation4-3-3F. Farioli
  1. 99Diogo CostaG
  2. 20Alberto BaioD
  3. 5J. BednarekD
  4. 4J. KiwiorD
  5. 74Francisco MouraD
  6. 16Hwang In-BeomM
  7. 13P. RosarioM
  8. 10Gabri VeigaM
  9. 7WilliamF
  10. 19André SilvaF
  11. 11Pepê AquinoF
Substitutes (12)

33 · Souza

42 · S. Fofana

29 · S. Giménez

52 · Martim Fernandes

14 · Cláudio Ramos

21 · D. Prpić

18 · N. Pérez

17 · Borja Sainz

22 · A. Varela

58 · T. Silva

50 · J. Afonso

37 · Gabriel Mec

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC Porto

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Diogo Costa906.9000290
Alberto Baio806.3002220
J. Bednarek907.0001720
J. Kiwior907.3101911
Francisco Moura906.6000352
Gabri Veiga807.2013210
Gabriel Mec00.000000
J. Afonso00.000000
T. Silva00.000000
A. Varela206.2000180
Borja Sainz287.410151
N. Pérez00.000000
D. Prpić00.000000
Cláudio Ramos00.000000
Martim Fernandes106.200060
S. Giménez287.710131
S. Fofana105.800041
Hwang In-Beom706.5000271
P. Rosario906.8012272
William626.4003140
André Silva628.0103110
Pepê Aquino906.1000261
Souza00.000000

Casa Pia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
João Goulart00.000000
Gabi Pereira00.000000
Cassiano166.600120
Abdu Dafe00.000000
Rochinha00.000000
Ivan Mandić905.3000370
Geraldes905.0000200
Kaly905.5000192
David Sousa905.7000143
Pedro Rosas905.9000141
Silvi906.5002281
L. Ofori906.0000173
M. El Boukammiri746.1002181
João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo885.9005243
B. Pauwels685.800160
Henrique Araújo746.8102160
A. Jatta00.000000
E. Maurin226.3002100
K. Prieto00.000000
S. Pérez00.000000
P. Sequeira00.000000
A. Zouin26.300000
JP166.0000124
2026/27 STANDINGS

Primeira Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto77001831521
WWWWW
2Benfica75112271516
LWWWW
3Sporting CP7430178915
DDWWW
4Santa Clara7430114715
DWWDW
5Arouca7322107311
DLDWL
6SC Braga632175211
DWLWW
7Academico Viseu732299011
WWWLD
8Estrela72411414010
LDWDW
9GIL Vicente62225508
DLLDW
10Alverca7223911-28
WWLDL
11Maritimo7223812-48
DLLLD
12Moreirense7223814-68
DWLLW
13Famalicao71429727
WDDDL
14Vitória SC712458-35
DLDLW
15Nacional7115715-84
LLLLL
16Rio Ave7115515-104
LDLLW
17Casa Pia7115316-134
WLDLL
18Estoril7025310-72
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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